The Dark Underbelly of India’s Rising Income Inequality

A key feature of the rising income inequality is due to the growing importance of capital income derived from interest, dividends, retained earnings and rents.

On a recent vacation to Sint Maarten, a small Caribbean island of some 50,000 people, I asked the Sindhi owner of one of its many jewellery stores how business was going. He smiled and said business has been great. Just the other day, a rich businessman from India had flown in with his friends and family on a private jet and the ladies had gone on a shopping spree. Sales have been brisk given his well-heeled clientele in India and elsewhere. 

According to the IMF, India is now the fastest-growing major economy. Yet, many of its cities are pockmarked by slums sprawling right next to expensive real estate. Dharavi in Mumbai happens to be Asia’s largest. This booming India and broken India is a tale of two cities where people live entirely different lives. In the first, money is often no object while in the second, want and deprivation keep constant company. 

There is a reason why India’s economic growth has been so lop-sided. Nobel prize winning economist Amartya Sen noted that since independence, India’s income inequality has been mainly driven by low investment in good-quality education and healthcare. So, while the educated and healthy workers in upper-income groups take advantage of new opportunities to make more money in a growing economy, poorly educated and unproductive workers in low-income groups struggle to make ends meet.

Today, India is one of the most unequal countries in the world where the top 1% income group captures a larger share of the pie than it does in South Africa, Brazil, or the United States (World Inequality Report 2022). Inequality within this group is also increasing, outpacing the rest of the affluent. 

Meanwhile, media reports hyping India’s rise often obscure the underlying issues. For instance, a recent article touted the fact that more Indians are travelling abroad. While this sounds as if growth is bringing about shared prosperity, the converse has been true. Consider the fact that even if the middle class was to expand by 1% in a population of more than 1.4 billion people, that development alone would enable at least a million more to travel internationally. However, a small increase in the middle class can also be accompanied by a large decline in the share of incomes going to the relatively poor.

Another case in point is the United States. More Americans have been travelling by air even as U.S. income inequality steadily increased to become an outlier among developed countries. In other words, an increasing number of people travelling abroad does not necessarily mean that the country’s income distribution is improving. 

India’s Income Inequality: 1950-2020

Income inequality is widely measured by the Gini coefficient – an index between zero and one, where the former represents perfect equality, or that everyone has the same income, and one represents perfect inequality where only one person makes all the money. In other words, the Gini measures the extent to which the distribution of a country’s pre-tax income is skewed. 

The following graph tracks Gini based on income data stored in two global databases – the United Nations University (UNU) WIDER and the World Inequality Lab (World Inequality Database, WID). While the UNU WIDER GINI (yellow) is based on incomes reported in household surveys, the WID GINI (blue) reflects inequality based on a more comprehensive source of data on incomes. The latter combines survey-based income information with those using secondary sources such as administrative data, list of rich citizens, fiscal and national accounts sources. Thus, the WID captures inequality due to incomes not reported in household surveys. We call this “actual” income inequality. 

Piketty and others have noted that inequality estimates based on household surveys rely almost wholly on self-reported incomes which are typically understated for the top 10% and 1% income groups. Hence, they also make an adjustment to the incomes of the rich based on their unreported incomes from foreign sources. The total unreported income or black money is the most important reason why actual inequality is worse than reported inequality. 

The widening gap between the two also reflects the following major trends: 

  • Income inequality declined significantly from 1950 to 1990, barring a few years between the late 70s and early 80s when the two GINIs somewhat diverged. The downward trend in inequality was largely due to a number of “socialist” policies such as the integration of the princely states under a democratic Constitution, ending of royalties and privy purses, agricultural land ceilings and redistribution, nationalisations, government control over prices, etc. In general, the two indices tracked each other quite well during this pre-reform period. 
  • India’s income inequality started widening after the economic liberalisation policies began in 1991. A number of economists have noted these trends. As economic growth accelerated from the “Hindu-rate” of growth, the rich became richer while the share of national income going to others declined. The gap between the two GINIs reached the highest level after the BJP came to power in 2014. The worsening of inequality is consistent with observations regarding crony capitalism and the rise of the billionaire raj

There is a parallel between the significant increase in unreported (and hence, untaxed) incomes and the rise of an opaque global financial system which afford greater anonymity and ease in the transfer of black money from developing countries like India. In other words, the income and wealth of those who are effectively connected to the global financial system increased much faster than the rest of the population who do not have the necessary financial capacity or knowledge.  

  • The change in inequality in recent years is not actually flat as shown in the chart. The flat lines simply reflect the fact that the government has not released detailed income and tax data since 2015, compelling researchers to simply extrapolate the last reported data. 

A key feature of the rising income inequality within countries is due to the growing importance of capital income derived from interest, dividends, retained earnings and rents. This has been observed in India too, where increasing share of capital incomes of the rich has been one of the key drivers of rising income inequality in the post-liberalisation period. Meanwhile, data shows that the incomes of people in the middle 50% of the distribution are shrinking.

The unreported incomes of the rich, from black money stashed tax havens and developed country banks (DCBs), is likely to be much higher than incomes derived from domestic investments. This is because the uber-rich typically prefer to accumulate a larger portion of their black money holdings abroad rather than domestically in order to avoid the risk of confiscation by regulatory agencies like the income tax department and the enforcement directorate. They easily avoid that risk by depositing the money in tax havens and DCBs using shell companies, anonymous trusts and financial derivatives. 

The Panama Papers was a one-of-a-kind information leak by the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists (ICIJ) in 2013. The consortium exposed the holdings of the rich and famous in Panama, a nondescript tax haven. While the names of several Indian celebrities came up, ultimately none of them could be convicted given the difficult and protracted nature of transnational litigation involved. Generally speaking, national tax and investigative agencies have no clue about the actual owners of offshore accounts thanks to the loopholes in global financial regulations. For instance, tax havens are seldom signatories to financial disclosure agreements between nations nor are their financial institutions subject to the reporting requirements of onshore banks. 

Small wonder then that the World Bank’s Stolen Asset Recovery (StAR) initiative, which was officially launched on September 17, 2007, and endorsed by its near-universal membership, has only managed to recover a miniscule portion of the tens of billions of dollars stolen from developing countries each year (Few and Far: The Hard Facts on Stolen Asset Recovery). In fact, India’s own experience with the recovery of stolen money has been rather dismal – it has yet to recover a dime from fugitives like Nirav Modi and Vijay Mallaya. 

Meanwhile, the volume of black money transfers from the country has been copious and growing. According to research at Global Financial Integrity (GFI), a think-tank based in Washington DC, a total of US$ 213.2 billion was shifted out of India over the period 1948-2008 through deliberate trade mis-invoicing alone. This was one of the earliest studies pointing out the counterintuitive – outflow of black money from India increased after the economic reforms of 1991. 

Revenue performance and income inequality

Normally, as an economy grows, it should generate more revenue from tax and non-tax sources. As businesses make more profits, they pay more corporate tax, increasing employment generates more income tax, and GST collection increases as people spend more. But, if rapid growth does not generate enough formal sector jobs – forcing most to eke out a living working in the informal sector where incomes are not taxed – revenue performance, defined as total government revenue to GDP, will be sluggish even if the economy expands at a healthy clip. 

The relatively poor revenue performance may also reflect tax evasion, resulting from tax fatigue, as a small number of taxpayers are forced to carry the tax burden of the nonpaying majority. In fact, India’s average revenue performance over the past 25 years (2000-2024) not only lags behind China’s but also that of developing countries, whether in Asia or otherwise. Over the period 2000 to 2022 (excluding estimated data for the last two years), India’s revenue performance increased by just 2.1% of the GDP while China’s nearly doubled from 13.4 to 26% of its GDP. At the same time, developing countries as a group improved revenue collections by 4.5% of GDP.

Given the need to spend more on health, education, defence, infrastructure and other areas in the coming years, any expansion of social benefits will place further strain on government finances. Meanwhile, various government initiatives to help the poor, such as cash transfers, housing, subsidies and health care for the poor often do not reach many eligible beneficiaries due to corruption and weaknesses in the administrative machinery. For example, access to good quality healthcare is not just unequal and inadequate. 

Concluding observations

Research at the IMF shows that when rapid rates of economic growth largely benefit the rich, growth itself may be derailed. While many poor countries have been able to achieve impressive rates of economic growth, they face the far more serious challenge of sustaining them rather than to simply get growth going. One way inequality short-circuits economic growth is by limiting the increase in personal consumption, which is often a major driver. After all, there are limits to how much more the rich can consume out of a rising income. They cannot make up for the decline or stagnation in the consumption of the vast majority whose inflation-adjusted incomes are stagnant or eroding. 

Countries with a highly unequal distribution of wealth and income also tend to face a much greater risk of democratic backsliding. While there is strong public confidence and respect for institutions and media freedom in inclusive societies, governments of unequal societies tend to weaken institutions and co-opt the media for propaganda purposes. There has been an unmistakable link between the sharply rising income inequality and democratic backsliding since the Bharatiya Janata Party came to power in 2014.

Inclusive economic policies aimed at reducing income inequality take time to work, just like we cannot expect today’s investment in high quality primary education to start producing skilful workers tomorrow. Meanwhile, the increasing government handouts and subsidies to support the poor have not only failed to stem income inequality, but also failed to garner enough electoral support for Prime Minister Modi. Despite this, politicians would rather play vote-bank politics than set out for widespread human development. 

Dev Kar, a fellow at the Global Justice Program, Yale University, is chief economist emeritus at Global Financial Integrity, a think tank based in Washington DC. Prior to joining GFI, he was a senior economist at the International Monetary Fund. His book, India: Still A Shackled Giant, was published by Penguin Random House India in October 2019.

No ‘Labharthi’, Citizen Must be Seen as a Verb

No matter what one’s political persuasion is, it must worry us all that the kind of politics brandished by the current BJP regime is a dangerous precedent from the perspective of imagining citizens as a verb by systemic impoverishment of our mental and physical capabilities.

In a recent conversation with Mohan (name changed), a 22-year-old Dalit youth from Bihar, I learned that by the time he reached class 12, he had already worked in 6 different places as a migrant worker across states from Assam to Haryana.

The examination centre for his class 12 board exams was in a town 50 kms from his village. He had to relocate to the town for the duration of his exams because commuting daily for his exams meant spending 5 hours on the road. But, relocation meant incurring additional costs for food and renting a room. With no savings or financial support, two months before his exams, he migrated again to West Bengal to work as a daily wage labourer earning Rs 350 a day. With these earnings, not only did he have to sustain himself during his stint in West Bengal but he had to also save to support himself to write his board exams.

Mohan – and millions like him – serve as extraordinary examples of dogged resilience. However, his struggles spawn several haunting, uncomfortable questions. Why should certain segments of the population be disproportionately subject to a stress test of resilience? What is the role of the government in this ? What are the implications of these to citizenship at large?

By putting an individual’s well-being at the centre, Nobel prize-winning economist Amartya Sen argued that the government can play a pivotal role in expanding human capabilities so that each person is able to ‘be’ and ‘do’ what they value. Being well-nourished, not having to work as a child, having access to quality education, not being discriminated against and having equal access to justice are vital for this. When these conditions are not adequately met, an individual is deprived of physical and analytical capabilities to actively participate as a citizen. In India, citizenship is at least premised on having liberty of thought, worship and action, equality in status, opportunities and access to justice. When the pre-conditions among individuals owing to accidents of birth are so varied, there is extra onus on elected governments to create an enabling ecosystem ensuring that such essential ingredients of citizenship are honoured. As such, we need to understand poverty as lacking human freedoms, to engage as a citizen.

The black American writer and comedian, Baratunde Thurston, runs a podcast called ‘How to citizen’ where a citizen is reimagined as a verb instead of a noun. In such an interpretation of citizen as a verb, ‘to citizen is (a) to participate, (b) to invest in relationships (c) to understand power and (d) to value the collective.’

Such a reframing of citizenship can help us go beyond the putative, to develop more actionable barometers of enfranchisement. In other words, are citizens able to go beyond survival and engage? Being economically secure is a necessary condition for ‘doing’ citizenship and needs to be thought of as one of the inputs in a bouquet of non-negotiable basic rights for democratic engagement. Baratunde’s framing of ‘doing’ citizenship is premised on the state being able to deliver the platform for citizens to ‘be’ and ‘do’. Any political regime’s performance review must involve interrogation by its polity on whether citizens are actionable agents to ‘do’ or are being rendered passive. As a caveat, ‘doing citizenship’ must not violate the constitutional values of liberty, fraternity, dignity and equality.

Where does India stand today on all this?

On the economic front, we are experiencing damaging levels of wage stagnation and inequality. Based on an analysis of government’s National Sample Survey data from 2012 and Periodic Labour Force Survey data up to 2022-23, a report titled ‘Ten Years of NDA · A Guarantee Check’ by the civil society platform, Bahutva Karnataka, observes that 30 crore workers in India earn less than the recommended national minimum wage of Rs 375 per day.

Not just individual income, but even the entire household income of at least 1 in 3 households, nationally, is less than Rs 375 per day.  In Uttar Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, the household income of more than half the households are less than this while nearly half the households in Madhya Pradesh and Bihar are earning less than these threshold daily wages.

A committee of experts on wages, called the Anoop Satpathy Committee, at the behest of the BJP government in 2019, had made these minimum wage recommendations using the amount of money needed for a daily balanced diet. However, the recommendations have been ignored without any rationale.

Bahutva’s report also demonstrates that wages across all types of employment categories have been stagnant since 2012 and women workers across the spectrum are at the bottom of this earnings pyramid. Effectively, owing to their economic situation, a significant majority are deprived of building their capabilities and are rendered to be in a situation where they can’t ‘do’ as a citizen.

Contrast this with the fact that the nominal per capita GDP has increased by 60% between 2012 and 2023. Another recent paper authored by Thomas Pikkety, Lucas Chancel, Nitin Bharti and Anmol Somanchi of the World Inequality Lab demonstrates historic levels of wealth inequality in India with the top 1% holding 40% of the national wealth. What are the implications of such high levels of wealth inequality from the standpoint of power, citizenship and capabilities?

On power, paraphrasing Eric Liu, Baratunde says that ‘it is the ability to have others do what we want.’ Owing to high concentration of wealth among the few, the wealthy elite in India will inevitably bend political parties for favours with contracts and tax cuts in lieu of quid pro quo like political funding. This is precisely what the electoral bonds scam has revealed. When a few are able to wield such extraordinary pull with political parties, it bodes disaster for India as it can lead to mass disenfranchisement.

For others to exercise power, as conceived by Baratunde, it is imperative that the poor have an equal say as the elite. But the playing field is highly uneven. To mitigate this, the annual budget, seen as a moral signal of the government’s priorities, needs to create a level playing field. However, from the budget allocations, the government’s continued tilt towards the elite becomes obvious.

The budget allocation for health, education, and employment are all one-third or one-fourth of what they should be. In conjunction with low incomes, worsening quality of public education and expensive privatised healthcare pushes the poor to be under-nourished, run helter-skelter for good education, face discrimination and remain stuck in a cycle of debt trap. In summary, the poor are left to scavenge the crumbs of crony capitalism. Such a structural deprivation of human freedoms further marginalises the poor. When plagued with such hazardous levels of asymmetry and lopsided abilities to influence the political class, how will those from socio-economically marginalised backgrounds ever be able to exercise power in the way Baratunde has laid out?

Citizenship has also been a vital plank for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) to garner Hindu votes by targeting Muslims. There is a wealth of evidence to suggest that under the BJP regime, there is State sanction in subjugating Indian Muslims. Documenting the cruel callisthenics of power, Amnesty International observed that just between April and June 2022, there were a total of 128 demolitions, robbing numerous Muslims – and only Muslims – of their basic rights by rendering them homeless. Recently, the government has announced the formulation of rules for the Citizenship Amendment Act (CAA). It cannot be mistaken that, seen along with the National Register of Citizens, the CAA is an obvious attempt to legalise religious discrimination and a mechanism to further strip the ability of Muslim citizens ‘to be’ and ‘to do.’

What we are witnessing therefore is a structural stripping away of enfranchisement on communal lines and of those from socio-economically marginalised backgrounds. While a handful can exercise a broad suite of freedoms, the majority are deprived of even basic freedoms. It makes the Mohans of the country appear to be living in a virtual reality show where they are made to run on a treadmill as the scenery around them is altered to create a make believe world of progress. This process has assumed a more expansive form as any form of dissent is being crushed. Indeed, the repeated crackdown on any kind of protests, incarcerating peaceful dissenters, curbing academic freedom and by arbitrarily shrinking the space for peaceful resistance against government actions, the regime has attempted to further reduce the essence of citizens ‘to be’ or ‘to do.’  The systematic targeting of opposition parties further narrows the space for common people for ‘doing’ citizenship. When the amendment of citizen as a verb is near completion, how will Indians lift themselves out of being passive nouns ?

No matter what one’s political persuasion is, it must worry us all that the kind of politics brandished by the BJP regime is a dangerous precedent from the perspective of imagining citizens as a verb owing to the systemic impoverishment of our mental and physical capabilities. At present, only a handful of affluent are able to disproportionately exercise their power. We need to choose what kind of citizenship we want. Do we want to be clipped of capabilities and be abstract nouns or do we want to be truly engaged in democratic nation building as active verbs? The choice is ours.

Rajendran Narayanan teaches at Azim Premji University, Bangalore and is affiliated with LibTech India. The views expressed are personal.

Acknowledgements: Thanks to Laavanya Tamang for valuable feedback on an earlier draft. 

The World May Have Its First Trillionaire in 10 Years, but Eradicating Poverty Will Take 230: Oxfam

The opening statistic of Oxfam’s latest report is that since 2020, five billion people – 60% of the global population – grew poorer but the world’s five richest men doubled their wealth.

New Delhi: The 2020s are a decade of crisis, the relief NGO Oxfam said in its latest report, arguing that the world today faces a fundamental choice between ushering in an age of “billionaire supremacy” and repurposing the economy to serve the interests of the many.

The opening statistic of this report, titled ‘Inequality Inc.’, is that since 2020, five billion people – 60% of the global population – grew poorer but the world’s five richest men doubled their wealth.

Oxfam also estimated that if the wealth of the five richest billionaires continued to rise at the same rate as it has over the past half-decade, the world will see its first trillionaire within ten years.

“However, we will not eliminate poverty for 230 years,” it added.

In just three years, the world has seen a global pandemic, war and a cost-of-living crisis, Oxfam said, adding that these did not just widen the gulf between the rich and poor, but “between an oligarchic few and the vast majority”.

The NGO said that increasing monopolisation had “supercharged” global corporate power, which it described as pursuing higher returns to shareholders above all other goals.

It went on to identify four ways in which corporate power fuelled inequality: forcing wages down and directing profits to the super-rich; avoiding taxes; privatising public services; and driving (and spinning the truth about) climate change.

Oxfam highlighted how the latter two ways could drive inequalities along gender, race, caste or class.

In the case of privatisation in India, it said that Dalits faced higher costs and overt discrimination in the private healthcare and education sectors.

Oxfam also said that while the World Bank’s private sector arm had invested over half a billion dollars in India’s private health sector, it has “not published a single evaluation of its health projects in India since these started over 25 years ago.”

“Supporting private healthcare in a context where 37% of Indians experience catastrophic health expenditures in private hospitals appears to run counter to the World Bank Group’s focus on poverty reduction,” it had said in an earlier study published in June.

It also said that this arm of the World Bank had invested in high-end urban hospitals in India, adding that several such hospitals had consistently failed to provide free care to the poor despite being required to do so in return for receiving subsidised government land.

Also read: Four Things India Must Do to Achieve Economic Equality, Social Justice

Near the end of its report, Oxfam called on governments to reduce wealth inequality by creating a dynamic and effective state, reining in corporate power and freeing businesses from “shareholder greed”.

“This is not radical. What’s radical is letting such extremes persist,” said Rebecca Riddell, one of the report’s authors, on X (formerly Twitter).

Amitabh Behar, Oxfam International’s interim executive director, also emphasised the need to rein in “runaway corporate power”.

“We have the evidence. We know the history. Public power can rein in runaway corporate power and inequality – shaping the market to be fairer and free from billionaire control,” he was quoted as saying by an Oxfam press release.

He continued: “Governments must intervene to break up monopolies, empower workers, tax these massive corporate profits and, crucially, invest in a new era of public goods and services.”

1% Of India’s Richest Control 21% Of Country’s Wealth: UN Report

The average life expectancy at birth in India decreased by nearly three years over the first two years of the pandemic.

New Delhi: The UN Development Programme (UNDP) released a sobering report on various indices of human development on September 8. The report, which describes the Human Development Index (HDI) for all countries, said COVID-19 has reversed decades of progress and has called for a “jolt” so countries can exit a “global policy paralysis”.

While the values of many indicators have slipped across the planet, India also dropped a rank, to stand at #132 on the list of countries ordered by HDI.

For the first time in 32 years (i.e. since the UNDP has been publishing the HDI), the value of the HDI has declined worldwide for two consecutive years. HDI measures a nation’s health, education and standard of living. “Human development has fallen back to its 2016 levels, reversing much of the progress towards the Sustainable Development Goals.” The HDIs of 90% of the world’s countries dropped either in 2020 or 2021.

The decline is not nearly uniform, however. The HDIs of 40% of the countries declined both in 2020 and 2021 – “signalling that the crisis is still deepening for many”. Countries of Latin America, the Caribbean, Subsaharan Africa and South Asia have been particularly affected.

“There is a nagging sense that whatever control we have over our lives is slipping away, that the norms and institutions we used to rely on for stability and prosperity are not up to the task of today’s uncertainty complex.”

Here is a list of eight important takeaways vis-à-vis India.

  1. Medium HDI – India’s HDI score is 0.633. The maximum score is 1 and the minimum is 0. The HDI is calculated as a geometric mean of 12 indicators in three dimensions: “long and healthy life”, knowledge and “standard of living”. India’s HDI score has dropped for two consecutive years, although it still lies in the “medium HDI” group along with most of Southeast Asia and Africa. However, India is also behind Bangladesh, Iraq and Brazil.

  1. Poverty – The report also discusses a “multidimensional poverty index” (MPI), which tries to capture how people experience poverty in multiple ways. It accounts for 12 indicators of health, education and schooling. A little more than a quarter of India’s people (27.9%) live in multidimensional poverty, the report concluded while 22% live with less than Rs 160 a day. India’s MPI score is 0.123 – just ahead of Indonesia and behind Haiti. The lower the score, the better it is.
  2. Wealth inequality – That India is home to so many people experiencing multidimensional poverty – which affects every aspect of life – is only one side of the story. The report also said that India’s richest 1% control 21.7% of the country’s wealth – while 40% of the country’s population controls only 19.8% of the wealth.
  3. Gender-based inequality – In India, the gender inequality index (GII) was 0.490 in 2021; 0.493 in 2020; and 0.486 in 2019. That is, in 2021, it was worse than it was in 2019 but better than in 2020. The GII includes three factors: reproductive health, empowerment and participation in the labour market. India ranked 132 in this category, between Ghana and the Marshall Islands. Note: 13.4% of seats in parliament are occupied by women in India while their participation in the labour market was 19.2%.

  1. Better for men – The Gender Development Index (GDI) is based on the average number of years of schooling of females (6.3) and males (7.2), the gross national income per capita of females ($2,277 dollars) and males ($10,633 dollars) and life expectancies of females (65.8 years) and males (68.9 years). Overall, the HDI score for India’s women stood at 0.567 and for men, at 0.668.
  2. Pressures on the planet – The planetary-pressures adjusted HDI (PHDI) is the level of human development adjusted by carbon dioxide emissions per person and the material footprint per capita. Ideally, when there are no pressures on the planet, the PHDI equals the HDI; as the pressures increase, the PHDI falls below the HDI. India’s PHDI was 0.609 – only 3% less than its HDI score. The difference was highest for the UK – 12%.
  3. Good initiatives – The report hailed Delhi government’s policy to reserve 20% of seats for the poor in “elite schools” to render space for diversity, inclusion and de-stigmatisation. The report also lauded a community initiative in Bengaluru, where 1,200 households have been working together to manage waste. Finally, the report was appreciative of the idea of universal basic income – currently a pilot project in some states – but expressed concerns about it being tax-dependent.
  4. Polarisation – The report hasn’t singled out India in its deliberation on growing polarisation around the world, but it is no secret that India has become a highly polarised society. Polarisation adversely affects human development by leaving “large numbers of people … frustrated by and alienated from their political systems”.

Watch | Common Person’s Income Dips as the Rich Become Richer: Report

Pravin Jha, professor at JNU’s Centre for Economic Studies and Planning, discusses the various findings included in Oxfam’s ‘Inequality Kills’ report, which details how the incomes of the poor have decreased while those of India’s billionaires have only gone up in the year of the pandemic.

A recently-published Oxfam report titled ‘Inequality Kills’ has revealed that in 2021, as the pandemic wreaked havoc on India’s economy, 84% of families in the country saw their incomes fall. However, during the same period, the number of billionaires in the country increased, going from 102 before the pandemic to a total of 142 presently.

What’s more, the collective wealth of these billionaires shot up this year to the record high of 57.3 lakh crore, lending truth to the ever-popular maxim in the country: the rich get richer and the poor get poorer.

The Oxfam report has also raised the popular question of whether the Modi administration is, in actuality, a government for businessmen, seeing as the wealth of two popular individuals who have often been accused of being close to the administration – Mukesh Ambani and Gautam Adani – has increased drastically, with the latter accounting for almost one-fifth of the total increase in the wealth of India’s wealthiest citizens.

To unpack these revelations and the many more covered in the Oxfam report and to better understand the challenges India faces going forward, The Wire‘s Mukul Singh Chauhan spoke to Pravin Jha, a professor at the JNU Centre for Economic Studies and Planning.

To Best Utilise its Demographic Dividend, India Must Aim For Equitable Growth

Trickle-down economics does not work in a stratified country like ours. In order to make the most of our demographic dividend, we must get money into the hands of the poor and focus on equitable, inclusive growth.

In the 1990s, India liberalised its economy, paving the way for more private investment. For the next two decades, India grew at a rapid pace, lifting millions out of poverty. Many in the 2000s considered India the next ‘Asian miracle’.

However, India in 2021 is a shadow of its former self. Even before COVID-19, the Indian economy was in shambles, with growth and investments plummeting since 2016. According to the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE), as of March, 2019, India’s unemployment had hit a 45-year high; car sales had hit a contraction for the first time in decades and the total industrial production went from worse to worst.

The onset of COVID has only exacerbated existing troubles and the economy has reached a point of nadir. In 2021 alone, more than 20 million Indians lost their jobs and, according to Grant Thornton, about 40% of the white collar workers experienced a pay cut. Lest these issues appear transient, it is worth noting that the economy also suffers from serious structural issues such as reduction in aggregate demand, rising inequality and plunging investment.

Also read: Here’s What We Know About COVID’s Impact on India’s Workers – and What We Can Do About it

The dangerous vicious cycle

Everything that has been wrong with the Indian economy has been on the aggregate demand side. However, instead of undertaking efforts to boost demand, the government has taken been trying  to address the supply side (by improving productive capacities). The reliance on indirect taxes such as the regressive GST –  which taxes all citizens, both poor and rich equally – as a source of income is hurting the poor badly, thus suppressing demand. 

Until recently, the strategy appeared to be dramatically reducing corporate taxes –  from 35% to 22% – and drastically increasing the price of fuel and other essentials. 

Indians on an average spent 17% of their income on fuel, by far the highest in the world. Only in recent times have the Union government and various state governments taken some steps to reduce this burden. Citizens of countries such as China and the US spend on an average 2% and 0.5% of their income on fuel respectively. 

As per Laffer’s curve, the reduction in corporate taxes can increase revenue for the state significantly, under the assumption that corporations significantly ramp up their production capacity by incurring additional capital expenditure. But for the production to ramp up, there has to be demand and since aggregate demand in India was low even before governments’ intervention to ramp up capacity, the additional capital did not result in additional expenditure.

Manufacturing firms, due to the lack of aggregate demand, sent the gain in profits abroad or stored them as deposits instead of investing. This is very similar to what happened in Japan in the 80s, where, when demands dried up due to an ageing population, firms, instead of investing the excess profits, simply stored them as savings.  

The reduction in corporate taxes cost India somewhere between Rs 2 lakh crore and Rs 6 lakh crore. But in order to offset loss of revenue witnessed due to reduced corporate taxes and other factors, such as loss of demand and COVID, the government further increased indirect taxes on essentials, such as fuel, significantly, again hindering demand.

This mindless increase of taxes on essentials, coupled with the lack of demand, has resulted in the risk of an artificially created “stagflation” – a dangerous situation where inflation is coupled with the lack of growth.  The threat of stagflation is aggravated by the COVID-related global supply chain crisis. Now with omicron, demand is likely to fall further and prices might significantly rise due global supply chain bottlenecks, raising the risk of stagflation significantly. Stagflation, in economic circles, is considered much worse than economic depression. 

Also read: Why Do the ‘Nationalist’ Poor Speak in Defence of Price Rise?

Concentration of wealth

In the recent past, there has been a massive concentration of wealth in the hands of the top 0.001% of the population. According to the World Inequality Database, developed by scholars at the Paris School of Economics, the share in the national income of the middle 40% of the Indian population fell from 41% in 1998 to 30% in 2019. More worryingly, the percentage of profits earned by the top 20 companies in the country increased from 40% (of total corporate profits) in 2014 to about 60% by 2019. Such a grotesque concentration of wealth has increased India’s Gini coefficient and has made capital’s contribution to the economy more profound than that of labour. 

The farmers protest also recognised the growing corporate-political nexus, as seen by this ‘dharna’ outside the Adani Logistics Park, Kila Raipur. Photo by Aranya Rai Singh

Most academic studies point to the rise in inequality and the Gini index as a hindrance to economic growth; An Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) study published in 2014 highlighted that high inequality can impede economic growth by as much as 10% of the total GDP. When inequality increases, it transfers income from low-income households – which have virtually zero savings – to high-income households – with high levels of savings. When income moves in this direction, demand naturally falls.

Furthermore, when the concentration of wealth increases, the influence of the super rich in politics and on the policies of the government increases significantly, thereby widening the income cleavages further and resulting in a ‘vicious cycle’. The rise in inequality is also be associated with a lack of social trust, rise in crime rates and social unrest – all of which are attributes of growth inhibitors. 

A paradigm shift

India will have to reform as a priority. Trickle-down economics does not work in a stratified country like India. In the short term, the first thing the government needs to do is put money in the hands of the poor. The current reduction in fuel price is a move in the right direction, but one that has come too little, too late. Money in the hands of the poor is worth two to three times more than the expenditure the government would incur, thanks to the multiplier effect.

Universal basic income (UBI), as proposed by economists such as Thomas Piketty, should be explored. The idea of offering Rs 1,000 per month to every citizen (with an opt-out option) is definitely feasible and would cost the country about Rs 14 lakh crore per annum. India currently spends about Rs 9 lakh crores on various Union government schemes; before factoring in the leakages and expenditures involved in implementing these welfare programs.

All the existing Union government welfare schemes, apart from sub-national governmental schemes, could be dovetailed into one single UBI. State and local governments could be made partners in such a UBI scheme to ensure its effective implementation. More importantly, a UBI would play a profound role in rekindling aggregate demand, apart from partly eliminating the corrupt, expensive and highly inefficient process of identifying participants for the current targeted social interventions. 

Workers protesting in Manika. Credit: Jean Dreze

NREGA workers protesting against low pay in Manika. Photo: Jean Dreze

Introduction of Inheritance and Wealth taxes on ultra-rich individuals would, apart from partly funding the UBI, play a major role in reducing inequality.  

Further, in real terms, the Union government’s expenditure on new projects has fallen by 42%, though relative revenue receiptshave increased. Increased expenditure on capital spending will have to be coupled with radical reforms to remove red-tapism. When the BJP came to power in 2014, there was talk of shaking up red-tape regime, but nothing much has actually happened. More than 60% of the state-sponsored schemes have experienced delays and overrun costs.

In the medium term, India must embrace transformational change instead of taking incremental steps to shape an economic policy that supports rapid growth. This will require a continued commitment to wide-ranging and systemic sectoral reforms, with strong measures to restore fiscal balance and reform the banking system. As per the Solow model of economic growth, capital, human capital and sustained innovation are very important for sustained economic growth. 

Therefore, apart from taking efforts to ramp up infrastructure development, efforts have to be taken to improve the quality of education and healthcare. Since health is a state subject and education is on the concurrent list, no progress in these areas can happen without empowering the states and embracing fiscal federalism. However, the Union government could assist the state  governments in capacity building, as in Kerala or Tamil Nadu. 

No country can sustain growth for a prolonged period of time without innovation. Innovation increases productivity. In order to increase innovation, we will have to start focusing on research  and development. Currently, India’s R&D budget of 0.65% of its GDP – compared to China’s 3% and 4.5% of Israel’s 4.5% – is one of the lowest in the world. We may boast of IITs, IIMs, IIITs and NITs but none of these are hardcore research universities.

In the long term, instead of focusing too heavily on GDP growth – a metric that does not capture societal cleavages, environmental degradation the wellbeing of citizens – the growth philosophy should tilt towards providing equitable growth that fosters social cohesion and trust. From classical economists such as Adam Smith to behavioural economists such as Daniel Kanneman, all have emphasised the role of social trust in providing equitable growth.

A 2020 study by the Victoria University of Wellington cited by Deloitte shows that a ten percentage point increase in the share of trusting people within a country should raise annual per capita real GDP growth by about 0.5 percentage points. Social trust and institutional stability have a direct correlation. For social trust to improve, India will have to improve its institutions and foster cohesion between different groups. 

Over the years, as with institutional degradation, social cohesion between different groups has been at an all time low. More importantly, the institutions of India should work in a transparent and inclusive manner; no investor would want to operate in a country where its institutions such as the judiciary, police or tax office work in an arbitrary manner. The law of the land has to be same for all, irrespective of religion, social status or political inclination. 

Therefore, to achieve growth for a sustained period of time, India would have to undertake a completely new path which focuses on equitable growth; where people from all walks of life are able to grow together and coexist happily. A mere reduction of corporate taxes will not make India a developed nation; no divided or highly unequal country has achieved the status of a developed nation. If we do not act fast, we risk losing (along with the economy) our biggest advantage: our demographic dividend. 

Salem Dharanidharan is an alumnus of the University of Oxford and the Paris Institute of Political Studies (Sciences Po, Paris). He is an executive coordinator at Dravidian Professionals Forum and co-founder of the Oxford Policy Advisory Group. He tweets at @dharanisalem.

Puhazl Gandhi is an Advocate and executive coordinator at Dravidian Professionals Forum. He is also the joint secretary of DMKs NRI Wing. 

How Billionaires Like Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk and Warren Buffett Effectively Avoid Income Tax

ProPublica has obtained a vast cache of the US’s Internal Revenue Service information, which shows how the super-wealthy pay little in income tax compared to their massive wealth — sometimes, even nothing.

ProPublica is a Pulitzer Prize-winning investigative newsroom. Sign up for The Big Story newsletter to receive stories like this one in your inbox.

In 2007, Jeff Bezos, then a multibillionaire and now the world’s richest man, did not pay a penny in federal income taxes. He achieved the feat again in 2011. In 2018, Tesla founder Elon Musk, the second-richest person in the world, also paid no federal income taxes.

Michael Bloomberg managed to do the same in recent years. Billionaire investor Carl Icahn did it twice. George Soros paid no federal income tax three years in a row.

ProPublica has obtained a vast trove of Internal Revenue Service data on the tax returns of thousands of the nation’s wealthiest people, covering more than 15 years. The data provides an unprecedented look inside the financial lives of America’s titans, including Warren Buffett, Bill Gates, Rupert Murdoch and Mark Zuckerberg. It shows not just their income and taxes, but also their investments, stock trades, gambling winnings and even the results of audits.

Taken together, it demolishes the cornerstone myth of the American tax system: that everyone pays their fair share and the richest Americans pay the most. The IRS records show that the wealthiest can — perfectly legally — pay income taxes that are only a tiny fraction of the hundreds of millions, if not billions, their fortunes grow each year.

Many Americans live paycheck to paycheck, amassing little wealth and paying the federal government a percentage of their income that rises if they earn more. In recent years, the median American household earned about $70,000 annually and paid 14% in federal taxes. The highest income tax rate, 37%, kicked in this year, for couples, on earnings above $628,300.

The confidential tax records obtained by ProPublica show that the ultrarich effectively sidestep this system.

America’s billionaires avail themselves of tax-avoidance strategies beyond the reach of ordinary people. Their wealth derives from the skyrocketing value of their assets, like stock and property. Those gains are not defined by US laws as taxable income unless and until the billionaires sell.

To capture the financial reality of the richest Americans, ProPublica undertook an analysis that has never been done before. We compared how much in taxes the 25 richest Americans paid each year to how much Forbes estimated their wealth grew in that same time period.

We’re going to call this their true tax rate.

The results are stark. According to Forbes, those 25 people saw their worth rise a collective $401 billion from 2014 to 2018. They paid a total of $13.6 billion in federal income taxes in those five years, the IRS data shows. That’s a staggering sum, but it amounts to a true tax rate of only 3.4%.

It’s a completely different picture for middle-class Americans, for example, wage earners in their early 40s who have amassed a typical amount of wealth for people their age. From 2014 to 2018, such households saw their net worth expand by about $65,000 after taxes on average, mostly due to the rise in value of their homes. But because the vast bulk of their earnings were salaries, their tax bills were almost as much, nearly $62,000, over that five-year period.

No one among the 25 wealthiest avoided as much tax as Buffett, the grandfatherly centibillionaire. That’s perhaps surprising, given his public stance as an advocate of higher taxes for the rich. According to Forbes, his riches rose $24.3 billion between 2014 and 2018. Over those years, the data shows, Buffett reported paying $23.7 million in taxes.

No one among the 25 wealthiest avoided as much tax as Warren Buffett, the grandfatherly centibillionaire. That’s perhaps surprising, given his public stance as an advocate of higher taxes for the rich. Photo: Reuters

That works out to a true tax rate of 0.1%, or less than 10 cents for every $100 he added to his wealth.

In the coming months, ProPublica will use the IRS data we have obtained to explore in detail how the ultrawealthy avoid taxes, exploit loopholes and escape scrutiny from federal auditors.

Experts have long understood the broad outlines of how little the wealthy are taxed in the United States, and many lay people have long suspected the same thing.

But few specifics about individuals ever emerge in public. Tax information is among the most zealously guarded secrets in the federal government. ProPublica has decided to reveal individual tax information of some of the wealthiest Americans because it is only by seeing specifics that the public can understand the realities of the country’s tax system.

Also read: When It Comes to Alleviating COVID’s Economic Pain, Why Are India’s Billionaires Unmoved?

Consider Bezos’ 2007, one of the years he paid zero in federal income taxes. Amazon’s stock more than doubled. Bezos’ fortune leapt $3.8 billion, according to Forbes, whose wealth estimates are widely cited. How did a person enjoying that sort of wealth explosion end up paying no income tax?

In that year, Bezos, who filed his taxes jointly with his then-wife, MacKenzie Scott, reported a paltry (for him) $46 million in income, largely from interest and dividend payments on outside investments. He was able to offset every penny he earned with losses from side investments and various deductions, like interest expenses on debts and the vague catchall category of “other expenses.”

In 2011, a year in which his wealth held roughly steady at $18 billion, Bezos filed a tax return reporting he lost money — his income that year was more than offset by investment losses. What’s more, because, according to the tax law, he made so little, he even claimed and received a $4,000 tax credit for his children.

His tax avoidance is even more striking if you examine 2006 to 2018, a period for which ProPublica has complete data. Bezos’ wealth increased by $127 billion, according to Forbes, but he reported a total of $6.5 billion in income. The $1.4 billion he paid in personal federal taxes is a massive number — yet it amounts to a 1.1% true tax rate on the rise in his fortune.

The revelations provided by the IRS data come at a crucial moment. Wealth inequality has become one of the defining issues of our age. The president and Congress are considering the most ambitious tax increases in decades on those with high incomes. But the American tax conversation has been dominated by debate over incremental changes, such as whether the top tax rate should be 39.6% rather than 37%.

ProPublica’s data shows that while some wealthy Americans, such as hedge fund managers, would pay more taxes under the current Biden administration proposals, the vast majority of the top 25 would see little change.

The tax data was provided to ProPublica after we published a series of articles scrutinising the IRS. The articles exposed how years of budget cuts have hobbled the agency’s ability to enforce the law and how the largest corporations and the rich have benefited from the IRS’ weakness. They also showed how people in poor regions are now more likely to be audited than those in affluent areas.

ProPublica is not disclosing how it obtained the data, which was given to us in raw form, with no conditions or conclusions. ProPublica reporters spent months processing and analyzing the material to transform it into a usable database.

We then verified the information by comparing elements of it with dozens of already public tax details (in court documents, politicians’ financial disclosures and news stories) as well as by vetting it with individuals whose tax information is contained in the trove. Every person whose tax information is described in this story was asked to comment. Those who responded, including Buffett, Bloomberg and Icahn, all said they had paid the taxes they owed.

A spokesman for Soros said in a statement: “Between 2016 and 2018 George Soros lost money on his investments, therefore he did not owe federal income taxes in those years. Mr. Soros has long supported higher taxes for wealthy Americans.” Personal and corporate representatives of Bezos declined to receive detailed questions about the matter. ProPublica attempted to reach Scott through her divorce attorney, a personal representative and family members; she did not respond. Musk responded to an initial query with a lone punctuation mark: “?” After we sent detailed questions to him, he did not reply.

One of the billionaires mentioned in this article objected, arguing that publishing personal tax information is a violation of privacy. We have concluded that the public interest in knowing this information at this pivotal moment outweighs that legitimate concern.

The consequences of allowing the most prosperous to game the tax system have been profound. Federal budgets, apart from military spending, have been constrained for decades. Roads and bridges have crumbled, social services have withered and the solvency of Social Security and Medicare is perpetually in question.

There is an even more fundamental issue than which programs get funded or not: Taxes are a kind of collective sacrifice. No one loves giving their hard-earned money to the government. But the system works only as long as it’s perceived to be fair.

Our analysis of tax data for the 25 richest Americans quantifies just how unfair the system has become.

By the end of 2018, the 25 were worth $1.1 trillion.

For comparison, it would take 14.3 million ordinary American wage earners put together to equal that same amount of wealth.

The personal federal tax bill for the top 25 in 2018: $1.9 billion.

The bill for the wage earners: $143 billion.

Also read: Wealth of Indian Billionaires Rose by Over a Third During the COVID-19 Lockdown

The idea of a regular tax on income, much less on wealth, does not appear in the country’s founding documents. In fact, Article 1 of the US Constitution explicitly prohibits “direct” taxes on citizens under most circumstances. This meant that for decades, the US government mainly funded itself through “indirect” taxes: tariffs and levies on consumer goods like tobacco and alcohol.

With the costs of the Civil War looming, Congress imposed a national income tax in 1861. The wealthy helped force its repeal soon after the war ended. (Their pique could only have been exacerbated by the fact that the law required public disclosure. The annual income of the moguls of the day — $1.3 million for William Astor; $576,000 for Cornelius Vanderbilt — was listed in the pages of The New York Times in 1865.)

By the late 19th and early 20th century, wealth inequality was acute and the political climate was changing. The federal government began expanding, creating agencies to protect food, workers and more. It needed funding, but tariffs were pinching regular Americans more than the rich. The Supreme Court had rejected an 1894 law that would have created an income tax. So Congress moved to amend the Constitution. The 16th Amendment was ratified in 1913 and gave the government power “to lay and collect taxes on incomes, from whatever source derived.”

In the early years, the personal income tax worked as Congress intended, falling squarely on the richest. In 1918, only 15% of American families owed any tax. The top 1% paid 80% of the revenue raised, according to historian W. Elliot Brownlee.

But a question remained: What would count as income and what wouldn’t? In 1916, a woman named Myrtle Macomber received a dividend for her Standard Oil of California shares. She owed taxes, thanks to the new law. The dividend had not come in cash, however. It came in the form of an additional share for every two shares she already held. She paid the taxes and then brought a court challenge: Yes, she’d gotten a bit richer, but she hadn’t received any money. Therefore, she argued, she’d received no “income.”

Four years later, the Supreme Court agreed. In Eisner v. Macomber, the high court ruled that income derived only from proceeds. A person needed to sell an asset — stock, bond or building — and reap some money before it could be taxed.

Since then, the concept that income comes only from proceeds — when gains are “realised” — has been the bedrock of the US tax system. Wages are taxed. Cash dividends are taxed. Gains from selling assets are taxed. But if a taxpayer hasn’t sold anything, there is no income and therefore no tax.

Contemporary critics of Macomber were plentiful and prescient. Cordell Hull, the congressman known as the “father” of the income tax, assailed the decision, according to scholar Marjorie Kornhauser. Hull predicted that tax avoidance would become common. The ruling opened a gaping loophole, Hull warned, allowing industrialists to build a company and borrow against the stock to pay living expenses. Anyone could “live upon the value” of their company stock “without selling it, and of course, without ever paying” tax, he said.

Hull’s prediction would reach full flower only decades later, spurred by a series of epochal economic, legal and cultural changes that began to gather momentum in the 1970s. Antitrust enforcers increasingly accepted mergers and stopped trying to break up huge corporations. For their part, companies came to obsess over the value of their stock to the exclusion of nearly everything else. That helped give rise in the last 40 years to a series of corporate monoliths — beginning with Microsoft and Oracle in the 1980s and 1990s and continuing to Amazon, Google, Facebook and Apple today — that often have concentrated ownership, high profit margins and rich share prices. The winner-take-all economy has created modern fortunes that by some measures eclipse those of John D. Rockefeller, J.P. Morgan and Andrew Carnegie.

In the here and now, the ultrawealthy use an array of techniques that aren’t available to those of lesser means to get around the tax system.

Certainly, there are illegal tax evaders among them, but it turns out billionaires don’t have to evade taxes exotically and illicitly — they can avoid them routinely and legally.

Most Americans have to work to live. When they do, they get paid — and they get taxed. The federal government considers almost every dollar workers earn to be “income,” and employers take taxes directly out of their paychecks.

The Bezoses of the world have no need to be paid a salary. Bezos’ Amazon wages have long been set at the middle-class level of around $80,000 a year.

For years, there’s been something of a competition among elite founder-CEOs to go even lower. Steve Jobs took $1 in salary when he returned to Apple in the 1990s. Facebook’s Zuckerberg, Oracle’s Larry Ellison and Google’s Larry Page have all done the same.

Yet this is not the self-effacing gesture it appears to be: Wages are taxed at a high rate. The top 25 wealthiest Americans reported $158 million in wages in 2018, according to the IRS data. That’s a mere 1.1% of what they listed on their tax forms as their total reported income. The rest mostly came from dividends and the sale of stock, bonds or other investments, which are taxed at lower rates than wages.

As Congressman Hull envisioned long ago, the ultrawealthy typically hold fast to shares in the companies they’ve founded. Many titans of the 21st century sit on mountains of what are known as unrealised gains, the total size of which fluctuates each day as stock prices rise and fall. Of the $4.25 trillion in wealth held by US billionaires, some $2.7 trillion is unrealised, according to Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman, economists at the University of California, Berkeley.

Also read: It’s Time for a Solidarity Tax

Buffett has famously held onto his stock in the company he founded, Berkshire Hathaway, the conglomerate that owns Geico, Duracell and significant stakes in American Express and Coca-Cola. That has allowed Buffett to largely avoid transforming his wealth into income. From 2015 through 2018, he reported annual income ranging from $11.6 million to $25 million. That may seem like a lot, but Buffett ranks as roughly the world’s sixth-richest person — he’s worth $110 billion as of Forbes’ estimate in May 2021. At least 14,000 US taxpayers in 2015 reported higher income than him, according to IRS data.

There’s also a second strategy Buffett relies on that minimises income, and therefore, taxes. Berkshire does not pay a dividend, the sum (a piece of the profits, in theory) that many companies pay each quarter to those who own their stock. Buffett has always argued that it is better to use that money to find investments for Berkshire that will further boost the value of shares held by him and other investors. If Berkshire had offered anywhere close to the average dividend in recent years, Buffett would have received over $1 billion in dividend income and owed hundreds of millions in taxes each year.

Many Silicon Valley and infotech companies have emulated Buffett’s model, eschewing stock dividends, at least for a time. In the 1980s and 1990s, companies like Microsoft and Oracle offered shareholders rocketing growth and profits but did not pay dividends. Google, Facebook, Amazon and Tesla do not pay dividends.

In a detailed written response, Buffett defended his practices but did not directly address ProPublica’s true tax rate calculation. “I continue to believe that the tax code should be changed substantially,” he wrote, adding that he thought “huge dynastic wealth is not desirable for our society.”

The decision not to have Berkshire pay dividends has been supported by the vast majority of his shareholders. “I can’t think of any large public company with shareholders so united in their reinvestment beliefs,” he wrote. And he pointed out that Berkshire Hathaway pays significant corporate taxes, accounting for 1.5% of total US corporate taxes in 2019 and 2020.

Buffett reiterated that he has begun giving his enormous fortune away and ultimately plans to donate 99.5% of it to charity. “I believe the money will be of more use to society if disbursed philanthropically than if it is used to slightly reduce an ever-increasing US debt,” he wrote.

So how do megabillionaires pay their megabills while opting for $1 salaries and hanging onto their stock? According to public documents and experts, the answer for some is borrowing money — lots of it.

For regular people, borrowing money is often something done out of necessity, say for a car or a home. But for the ultrawealthy, it can be a way to access billions without producing income, and thus, income tax.

The tax math provides a clear incentive for this. If you own a company and take a huge salary, you’ll pay 37% in income tax on the bulk of it. Sell stock and you’ll pay 20% in capital gains tax — and lose some control over your company. But take out a loan, and these days you’ll pay a single-digit interest rate and no tax; since loans must be paid back, the IRS doesn’t consider them income. Banks typically require collateral, but the wealthy have plenty of that.

The vast majority of the ultrawealthy’s loans do not appear in the tax records obtained by ProPublica since they are generally not disclosed to the IRS. But occasionally, the loans are disclosed in securities filings. In 2014, for example, Oracle revealed that its CEO, Ellison, had a credit line secured by about $10 billion of his shares.

Last year Tesla reported that Musk had pledged some 92 million shares, which were worth about $57.7 billion as of May 29, 2021, as collateral for personal loans.

With the exception of one year when he exercised more than a billion dollars in stock options, Musk’s tax bills in no way reflect the fortune he has at his disposal. In 2015, he paid $68,000 in federal income tax. In 2017, it was $65,000, and in 2018 he paid no federal income tax. Between 2014 and 2018, he had a true tax rate of 3.27%.

The IRS records provide glimpses of other massive loans. In both 2016 and 2017, investor Carl Icahn, who ranks as the 40th-wealthiest American on the Forbes list, paid no federal income taxes despite reporting a total of $544 million in adjusted gross income (which the IRS defines as earnings minus items like student loan interest payments or alimony). Icahn had an outstanding loan of $1.2 billion with Bank of America among other loans, according to the IRS data. It was technically a mortgage because it was secured, at least in part, by Manhattan penthouse apartments and other properties.

Carl Icahn. Photo: Reuters/Brendan McDermid

Borrowing offers multiple benefits to Icahn: He gets huge tranches of cash to turbocharge his investment returns. Then he gets to deduct the interest from his taxes. In an interview, Icahn explained that he reports the profits and losses of his business empire on his personal taxes.

Icahn acknowledged that he is a “big borrower. I do borrow a lot of money.” Asked if he takes out loans also to lower his tax bill, Icahn said: “No, not at all. My borrowing is to win. I enjoy the competition. I enjoy winning.”

He said adjusted gross income was a misleading figure for him. After taking hundreds of millions in deductions for the interest on his loans, he registered tax losses for both years, he said. “I didn’t make money because, unfortunately for me, my interest was higher than my whole adjusted income.”

Asked whether it was appropriate that he had paid no income tax in certain years, Icahn said he was perplexed by the question. “There’s a reason it’s called income tax,” he said. “The reason is if, if you’re a poor person, a rich person, if you are Apple — if you have no income, you don’t pay taxes.” He added: “Do you think a rich person should pay taxes no matter what? I don’t think it’s germane. How can you ask me that question?”

Also read: ‘Forbes’, India and Pandora’s Pandemic Box

Skeptics might question our analysis of how little the superrich pay in taxes. For one, they might argue that owners of companies get hit by corporate taxes. They also might counter that some billionaires cannot avoid income — and therefore taxes. And after death, the common understanding goes, there’s a final no-escape clause: the estate tax, which imposes a steep tax rate on sums over $11.7 million.

ProPublica found that none of these factors alter the fundamental picture.

Take corporate taxes. When companies pay them, economists say, these costs are passed on to the companies’ owners, workers or even consumers. Models differ, but they generally assume big stockholders shoulder the lion’s share.

Corporate taxes, however, have plummeted in recent decades in what has become a golden age of corporate tax avoidance. By sending profits abroad, companies like Google, Facebook, Microsoft and Apple have often paid little or no US corporate tax.

For some of the nation’s wealthiest people, particularly Bezos and Musk, adding corporate taxes to the equation would hardly change anything at all. Other companies like Berkshire Hathaway and Walmart do pay more, which means that for people like Buffett and the Waltons, corporate tax could add significantly to their burden.

It is also true that some billionaires don’t avoid taxes by avoiding incomes. In 2018, nine of the 25 wealthiest Americans reported more than $500 million in income and three more than $1 billion.

In such cases, though, the data obtained by ProPublica shows billionaires have a palette of tax-avoidance options to offset their gains using credits, deductions (which can include charitable donations) or losses to lower or even zero out their tax bills. Some own sports teams that offer such lucrative write-offs that owners often end up paying far lower tax rates than their millionaire players. Others own commercial buildings that steadily rise in value but nevertheless can be used to throw off paper losses that offset income.

Michael Bloomberg, the 13th-richest American on the Forbes list, often reports high income because the profits of the private company he controls flow mainly to him.

In 2018, he reported income of $1.9 billion. When it came to his taxes, Bloomberg managed to slash his bill by using deductions made possible by tax cuts passed during the Trump administration, charitable donations of $968.3 million and credits for having paid foreign taxes. The end result was that he paid $70.7 million in income tax on that almost $2 billion in income. That amounts to just a 3.7% conventional income tax rate. Between 2014 and 2018, Bloomberg had a true tax rate of 1.30%.

In a statement, a spokesman for Bloomberg noted that as a candidate, Bloomberg had advocated for a variety of tax hikes on the wealthy. “Mike Bloomberg pays the maximum tax rate on all federal, state, local and international taxable income as prescribed by law,” the spokesman wrote. And he cited Bloomberg’s philanthropic giving, offering the calculation that “taken together, what Mike gives to charity and pays in taxes amounts to approximately 75% of his annual income.”

Michael Bloomberg. Photo: Reuters/Maria Alejandra Cardona

The statement also noted: “The release of a private citizen’s tax returns should raise real privacy concerns regardless of political affiliation or views on tax policy. In the United States, no private citizen should fear the illegal release of their taxes. We intend to use all legal means at our disposal to determine which individual or government entity leaked these and ensure that they are held responsible.”

Ultimately, after decades of wealth accumulation, the estate tax is supposed to serve as a backstop, allowing authorities an opportunity to finally take a piece of giant fortunes before they pass to a new generation. But in reality, preparing for death is more like the last stage of tax avoidance for the ultrawealthy.

University of Southern California tax law professor Edward McCaffery has summarised the entire arc with the catchphrase “buy, borrow, die.”

The notion of dying as a tax benefit seems paradoxical. Normally when someone sells an asset, even a minute before they die, they owe 20% capital gains tax. But at death, that changes. Any capital gains till that moment are not taxed. This allows the ultrarich and their heirs to avoid paying billions in taxes. The “step-up in basis” is widely recognised by experts across the political spectrum as a flaw in the code.

Then comes the estate tax, which, at 40%, is among the highest in the federal code. This tax is supposed to give the government one last chance to get a piece of all those unrealised gains and other assets the wealthiest Americans accumulate over their lifetimes.

It’s clear, though, from aggregate IRS data, tax research and what little trickles into the public arena about estate planning of the wealthy that they can readily escape turning over almost half of the value of their estates. Many of the richest create foundations for philanthropic giving, which provide large charitable tax deductions during their lifetimes and bypass the estate tax when they die.

Wealth managers offer clients a range of opaque and complicated trusts that allow the wealthiest Americans to give large sums to their heirs without paying estate taxes. The IRS data obtained by ProPublica gives some insight into the ultrawealthy’s estate planning, showing hundreds of these trusts.

The result is that large fortunes can pass largely intact from one generation to the next. Of the 25 richest people in America today, about a quarter are heirs: three are Waltons, two are scions of the Mars candy fortune and one is the son of Estée Lauder.

In the past year and a half, hundreds of thousands of Americans have died from COVID-19, while millions were thrown out of work. But one of the bleakest periods in American history turned out to be one of the most lucrative for billionaires. They added $1.2 trillion to their fortunes from January 2020 to the end of April of this year, according to Forbes.

Also read: Pandemic Pushed 32 Million Indians Out of Middle Class: Pew Research Center

That windfall is among the many factors that have led the country to an inflection point, one that traces back to a half-century of growing wealth inequality and the financial crisis of 2008, which left many with lasting economic damage. American history is rich with such turns. There have been famous acts of tax resistance, like the Boston Tea Party, countered by less well-known efforts to have the rich pay more.

One such incident, over half a century ago, appeared as if it might spark great change. President Lyndon Johnson’s outgoing treasury secretary, Joseph Barr, shocked the nation when he revealed that 155 Americans making over $200,000 (about $1.6 million today) had paid no taxes. That group, he told the Senate, included 21 millionaires.

“We face now the possibility of a taxpayer revolt if we do not soon make major reforms in our income taxes,” Barr said. Members of Congress received more furious letters about the tax scofflaws that year than they did about the Vietnam War.

Congress did pass some reforms, but the long-term trend was a revolt in the opposite direction, which then accelerated with the election of Ronald Reagan in 1980. Since then, through a combination of political donations, lobbying, charitable giving and even direct bids for political office, the ultrawealthy have helped shape the debate about taxation in their favor.

One apparent exception: Buffett, who broke ranks with his billionaire cohort to call for higher taxes on the rich. In a famous New York Times op-ed in 2011, Buffett wrote, “My friends and I have been coddled long enough by a billionaire-friendly Congress. It’s time for our government to get serious about shared sacrifice.”

Buffett did something in that article that few Americans do: He publicly revealed how much he had paid in personal federal taxes the previous year ($6.9 million). Separately, Forbes estimated his fortune had risen $3 billion that year. Using that information, an observer could have calculated his true tax rate; it was 0.2%. But then, as now, the discussion that ensued on taxes was centered on the traditional income tax rate.

In 2011, President Barack Obama proposed legislation, known as the Buffett Rule. It would have raised income tax rates on people reporting over a million dollars a year. It didn’t pass. Even if it had, however, the Buffett Rule wouldn’t have raised Buffett’s taxes significantly. If you can avoid income, you can avoid taxes.

Today, just a few years after Republicans passed a massive tax cut that disproportionately benefitted the wealthy, the country may be facing another swing of the pendulum, back toward a popular demand to raise taxes on the wealthy. In the face of growing inequality and with spending ambitions that rival those of Franklin D. Roosevelt or Johnson, the Biden administration has proposed a slate of changes. These include raising the tax rates on people making over $400,000 and bumping the top income tax rate from 37% to 39.6%, with a top rate for long-term capital gains to match that. The administration also wants to up the corporate tax rate and to increase the IRS’ budget.

Some Democrats have gone further, floating ideas that challenge the tax structure as it’s existed for the last century. Oregon Sen. Ron Wyden, the chairman of the Senate Finance Committee, has proposed taxing unrealised capital gains, a shot through the heart of Macomber. Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders have proposed wealth taxes.

Aggressive new laws would likely inspire new, sophisticated avoidance techniques. A few countries, including Switzerland and Spain, have wealth taxes on a small scale. Several, most recently France, have abandoned them as unworkable. Opponents contend that they are complicated to administer, as it is hard to value assets, particularly of private companies and property.

What it would take for a fundamental overhaul of the US tax system is not clear. But the IRS data obtained by ProPublica illuminates that all of these conversations have been taking place in a vacuum. Neither political leaders nor the public have ever had an accurate picture of how comprehensively the wealthiest Americans avoid paying taxes.

Buffett and his fellow billionaires have known this secret for a long time. As Buffett put it in 2011: “There’s been class warfare going on for the last 20 years, and my class has won.”

This story was originally published on ProPublica under a creative commons licence.

BRICS and COVID: Rising Powers in a Time of Pandemic

Four of the five countries worst affected by the coronavirus are from the BRICS grouping – Brazil, Russia, India and South Africa – while China is where the pandemic started. As it turns out, the five share much more than just a vulnerability to disease.

This is the first in a six-part series that will look at how the COVID-19 pandemic is playing out in the BRICS countries. Tomorrow: Russia.

By now we know that wherever it has appeared, the SARS-CoV-2 virus seeks out and travels along all of the known and concealed fault lines in society, that regime responses are shaped by existing politics but often assume a more extreme form, and that the conditions of fear and isolation make democratic mobilisation extremely difficult. While this is true for all countries, there is some logic to looking at the five BRICS members together.

For some time now, discussions about global political and economic change have been centred on the role played by the so-called rising powers in the world-system – and the BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) in particular. For some, the rise of the BRICS countries heralded the coming of a post-western world in which Euro-American hegemony in the world-system is a thing of the past. For others, the emergence of the rising powers was propelling a new development model that departs from neoliberal orthodoxies by bringing back public welfare and active state intervention in the economy. “Not since the days of the Non-Aligned Movement and its demand for a New International Economic Order in the 1970s,” Radhika Desai argued in the context of the 2013 BRICS summit in Durban, “has the world seen such a co-ordinated challenge to western supremacy in the world economy from developing countries.”

However, the BRICS countries are hardly a homogenous bloc. On the contrary, the grouping is arguably frayed by divergent economic and political trajectories. What is more, the narrative of a ‘rising South’ jars with the reality of how the growth processes that have fuelled the rise of the BRICS are shot through with economic and political fault lines. First of all, the emergence of the rising powers has been coeval with the surfacing of a new geography of global poverty, in which more than 70% of the world’s poor now live in middle-income countries. Indeed, impressive growth rates notwithstanding, the southern BRICS countries (Brazil, India, China, and South Africa) are home to more than 50% of the world’s poor.

Persistent poverty is closely related to very deep and, in most cases, widening inequalities. South Africa is, of course, a case in point here – recent research shows that the top 10% earn 65% of all income and own 85.6% of all wealth – but other BRICS countries follow closely behind. In Russia, for example, the top decile of wealth holders controls 77% of all household wealth, a level of inequality that is equal to that of the US, while in India also the top 10% of the population holds 77% of the total national wealth. What these numbers reveal is the fact that, in the BRICS countries, large numbers of people are relegated to the margins of current growth processes as a result of a lack of access to secure and decent livelihoods, absence of basic social protection and essential public services, and exclusion from established political processes.

The diversity of locations in the global political economy included in the BRICS countries, together with the similarity of the broad trends outlined above, make for a compelling set of comparisons in relation to the political economy of a pandemic at this time of world system shifts and contestations. Above all else, the COVID-19 pandemic and the ensuing economic shutdown have laid the fault lines of current growth processes abundantly bare. Indeed, new research shows very clearly that poverty is set to rise dramatically in the global South, and this is directly related to the deeply precarious nature of work and livelihoods. The articles in this series explore three dimensions of the crisis across the BRICS countries.

A computer image shows a model structurally representative of the novel coronavirus. Photo: NEXU Science Communication/via Reuters

Firstly, the pandemic creates a new political situation in each of these countries, which presents governing regimes with challenges and opportunities as they navigate the complex interface between public health measures and economic measures. How well do they do this, do they emerge strengthened or weakened? Does the crisis present challengers with new opportunities? Does it provide regimes with the opportunity to increase repression?

We demonstrate that in all these cases the pandemic has provoked a more extreme version of existing regime politics.

For example, China’s initial attempts to conceal the outbreak followed by an extraordinary mobilisation of resources to contain it is consistent with its interests as an emerging superpower whose internal legitimacy and external stature rests on its technocratic prowess in delivering economic growth, the safety of citizens, and preventing dissent.

South Africa’s recent return to neoliberal orthodoxy dictated its adoption of a ‘global best practice’ lockdown tailored for the wealthy societies of the West rather than its own fractured society and state, and then abandoned this for a shambolic reopening of the economy which may weaken President Cyril Ramaphosa.

Right-wing nationalist regimes have fared worse. Brazil’s Jair Bolsonaro has attempted to deny the existence and seriousness of the pandemic with devastating consequences for those he hopes to crush, and his growing isolation from the elites. In India, Narendra Modi has used the crisis to consolidate his Messiah-like image in the public sphere, and there is much that suggests that this has at least been partly successful. In Russia, similarly, it is unlikely that the pandemic will destabilize Vladimir Putin’s rule in any substantial way.

Also Read: Need to Support Businesses to Tide Over Impact of COVID-19: India at BRICS

Secondly, how does the pandemic affect the dominated classes? It does, of course, have a devastating impact on livelihoods. In fact, in all of the BRICS countries the working poor, precarious and informal workers and unemployed have to bear the brunt of both the pandemic itself, and economic devastation. However, the question is also whether or to what extent these scenarios lead to relief measures and expanding welfare initiatives from above, or whether the crisis is characterised by brutal indifference to the suffering of the poor.

South Africa’s response was to allocate resources for grants and food parcels for the poor and retrenched workers, but state institutions broken by 10 years of corruption failed to deliver. The Modi regime in India has systematically disregarded the needs of the country’s most vulnerable citizens. The result has been nothing short of a humanitarian crisis. In Brazil, public pressure forced Bolsonaro to order financial relief for the poor, but his brutal indifference to the pandemic is devastating poor communities. In Russia, many vulnerable groups are falling through the cracks of a limited welfare system, and voluntary efforts are unlikely to remedy these shortcomings. In China, the regime’s systematic response appears to have protected its citizens, but the comprehensive control over information means it is difficult to tell the situation on the ground, and particularly in the repressed populations of Tibet and Xinjiang.

A security camera is placed in a renovated section of the Old City in Kashgar, Xinjiang Uighur Autonomous Region, China September 6, 2018. Photo: Reuters/Thomas Peter

This takes us to our third dimension: what is the popular response to this crisis and the politics of the regime? Do old and new movements and popular initiatives respond in innovative ways to the crisis? Do they focus on mobilising relief for the poor and marginalised communities? Do they attempt to work with the regime or challenge its responses? To what extent do new demands emerge from below in response to popular desperation?

These questions are important, as inequality and precarity had already thrown up political convulsions across the BRICS countries before the COVID-19 pandemic. In the current situation, the BRICS countries exhibit a wide range of popular responses.

In India, there have been scattered protests by desperate migrant workers and extensive relief work by activist and civil society networks, but little by way of sustained organised protest, given the repressive conditions of the lockdown.

South Africa, in contrast, has seen vibrant organising and mobilising at local levels but unable to achieve the kind of national coordination activists aspire to.

In Russia, protests against the government’s handling of the pandemic have taken a variety of forms, ranging from online live-streams to mass gatherings, while Russian authorities have responded with a mix of co-optation and repression.

In Brazil, movements and activist networks have organised mutual solidarity, educating, organising food supplies, and demanding healthcare, but with no connection to or response from left-wing parties or Bolsonaro.

Also Read: Bolsonaro’s Colossal Negligence Sparks ‘Genocide’ Debate in Brazil

The Chinese government tolerated the efforts of volunteers to support health workers in China, but has tightened its repressive control of the Internet, information, and the revolt in Hong Kong, where activists and the general public provided a coordinated response to the pandemic in the face of its battered authorities’ inaction.

BRICS. Photo: Reuters

What the contributions in this collection of articles bring out, then, are the many ways in which the COVID-19 pandemic has deepened existing fractures and fault lines in the political economies of the rising powers in the world-system. And significantly, this complex and contradictory scenario will also be the terrain upon which social movements will organise and mobilise for years to come. Whether or not these movements will be able to chart out alternative developmental pathways that are less unequal and less precarious than those which the BRICS countries have pursued so far, of course, remains to be seen.

What is clear, however, is that this is a moment in which it is imperative to raise an array of critical questions about the nature of growth processes in the BRICS countries. This is necessary both in order to unsettle those narratives that too easily and one-sidedly see the rise of the BRICS as a progressive shift in the world-system, and – to paraphrase the British cultural theorist Raymond Williams – to make hope practical, rather than despair convincing. We hope the perspectives offered in this collection go some way towards that end.

Alf Gunvald Nilsen is professor of sociology at the University of Pretoria; Karl von Holdt is at the Society Work and Politics Institute, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg.

This collection of articles comes out of a collaborative project comparing neoliberal politics and social movement responses in the BRICS countries, generously supported by the National Institute for the Humanities and the Social Sciences (NIHSS) in South Africa.

What Should India’s Tax Reform Trajectory Look Like?

Honing in on a consumption-based tax system should be the ideal goal, rather than slashing corporate tax rates.

Finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman’s latest move to cut basic corporate tax rates to 22% from 30%, for domestic companies that currently don’t avail any tax exemptions, has received a celebratory response from India Inc. 

Termed as a ‘bold’ move by most within the business community, the step has been welcomed at a time when a dismal private investment growth scenario is seen across most sectors over the last five years. Not only has India’s manufacturing growth not taken off, in an indictment of the government’s ‘Make in India’ plan, but export trends are not pretty either.

In hope of boosting fresh investments in manufacturing amidst other sectors, the finance minister also slashed corporate income tax to 15% (from 25%) for domestic companies that are incorporated on or after October 1 and those likely to commence their production on or before March 31, 2023.

Also Read: Explainer: Will Nirmala Sitharaman’s Corporate Tax Cuts Save India’s Economy?

Further, in the case of capital markets, to increase the flow of funds, the government has effectively decided to roll back its ‘increased surcharge’ on certain investors. 

While these steps may cyclically address waning private investment sentiment, it will certainly affect the government’s fiscal deficit mark and at the same time likely impact  India’s tax-GDP ratio. 

Union finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman announced a corporate tax cut. Photo: PTI

On closer observation, if we look at tax data over the last three years, the average income tax collected last year has seen a declining trend, even as the overall tax base has continued to widen from the government’s quest to formalise India’s economy. Last October 2018, e-filing of tax returns increased up to 70%, while the average income tax paid by individuals came down by 32% (to Rs 27,083).

In the two years before that, the e-return filing growth (year-on-year) went up by 24% and 29% respectively, and average income tax paid was Rs 44,000 and Rs 40,200 respectively. 

One reason for this could be that the government, in its effort to get more people under the taxable base, is gradually increasing some individual (and corporate) tax exemptions, which allows more people to report their incomes and file e-returns, but subsequently end up paying less tax annually. This, inversely affects the fiscal base, in terms of tax revenue, for the government.   

With shrinking collections from tax revenues, and the corporate tax cuts announced now, the government may end up most likely making strategic cuts to its welfare expenditure plans (or worse delay disbursements to ministries) over coming months, in order to keep its fiscal deficit mark ‘low’. 

And if this happens, not only will this worsen India’s progress in terms of human capital development (channelised through social welfare schemes), but also exacerbate some of the existing income and wealth inequities that are entrenched within India’s economic landscape.

This should make one wonder: to what extent will the measures that the government is currently undertaking, actually address the ‘structural’ inequities driving the economic slowdown?

Wealth creation hasn’t disappeared

After all, it isn’t as if wealth creation has disappeared in India. In its 2018 Global Wealth Report, Credit Suisse reported how the richest 10% Indians own 56% of the nation’s wealth, where the richest 1% own 51.5% of the wealth, while the bottom 60% owns less than 5%. It is remarkable how in a democracy, the richest 1% have been able to consistently maintain their share of wealth year-on-year, while the majority remains meekly destitute.

Corporate tax cuts, in a sense, provide a sugar-rush to an economy. Investors feel happy, albeit more temporally in the short term, buying more stocks, which puts a smile on the faces of stock traders and India’s financial markets. Others will invest majorly in greater capital-intensive modes of production, which may drive nominal growth rates for a period, but hardly do much to boost employment or create higher wage-paying opportunities. 

As Adam Smith has argued extensively, the wealth of a nation actually lies in ensuring greater ‘labour productivity’, a higher ‘per-capita income’ (across income classes) and greater ‘division of labour’ (through competitive market selection). To Smith, the ‘science of the legislator’ (i.e. the state) may best ensure this by allowing greater competition in labour-intensive modes of production – offering a competitive price to an average consumer, while allowing the workforce to gain skills on the job for higher wages over time.  

Wealth inequality in India has increased. Photo: Reuters/Vivek Prakash

Slashing corporate tax and organising loan melas to push for ‘cheaper’ business lending may accentuate existing income and wealth inequities while narrowing competitive behaviour. One likely reason for this is how most big-businesses in India (across automobiles, pharma etc.) rely on capital-intensive modes of production. With tax cuts, they, and other foreign companies, might increase their scale of investment for greater profit. As a result, the nature of the ‘tech-based investment models’ may hardly change the existing scale (and rate) of labour productivity or generate higher-wage paying opportunities for participating workforce across groups. 

Also Read: Will the Corporate Tax Cut Boost the Economy?

There is, in fact, a stronger case for fiscally incentivising labour-intensive or higher wage-producing sectors and businesses the within them. Even countries like Taiwan, South Korea, during phases of industrialisation in the 1960s and 70s, allowed for a greater policy-complementarity between labour and capital intensive sectors to ensure a greater (and skilled) participation of workforce across sectors.   

At the same time, in India, from the perspective of fiscal policy, a way to ensure fiscal consolidation while progressively creating fairer wealth and income distribution may require a progressive consumption tax over time.

Consumption tax  

The idea in favour of imposing a consumption tax, especially in countries where consumer sentiment is strong and wealth inequities are higher, has been debated by economists for some time now. Kenneth Rogoff in a recent article presented a case for imposing such a tax in the United States too, where wealth inequalities across income classes have increased since the late 1970s.  

A consumption tax is seen as a tax imposed on consumption, as opposed to some other measure of ability to pay, most notably income. In India, our data on consumption-based surveys (even at household levels) and trends seen within them has been observed as a principal method for understanding and analysing various kinds of inequities, and thus, can allow policy-makers to have a reasonably fair idea on considering a consumption tax that progressively accrues income from higher consumers.

In practice too, consumption is much easier to measure than income, and the dynamic efficiency gained from encouraging savings and investment could be large. As in India, we have already been seeing a gradual erosion of household savings, a consumption-based tax structure can help encourage the value of savings –for further (domestic) investments and financial credit-creation. The transitional difficulties, often associated in implementing such a system, are more likely in nations where consumption-based data and its sources are weak. 

In India, a relatively more robust consumption-based household data allows any such transitional costs to be minimised. For a start, in a graduated implementation cycle, at least one can consider imposing a marginal consumption or spending tax side-by-side to existing income-taxes, which can then be phased out over time. 

Another advantage of a consumption-based tax system is one that may allow certain natural resources (like water) to be used in fixated quantum. A higher carbon-consumption tax may over time channelise resources towards ‘renewable’ or eco-sensitive modes of production, which will take the policy-discourse away from providing any ‘subsidies’ on renewables but to encourage them through a consumption-based tax system. 

With high unemployment levels amongst educated youth, real-wages diverging in rural and urban areas (due to poor farm incomes), and the broader real-wage growth trend flattening across sectors, Smith’s constitutive elements of ‘wealth’ – seen in the relative importance of labor as against any other factor of production – can be progressively realised through a fairly imposed consumption-based tax system. 

As one of the measures, this can allow the state to accrue income from higher consumers (i.e. those with a higher willingness to pay) and allow for greater fiscal incentivisation of worker-productive sectors of occupation and production, which in India would relate to agro-based industries and those part of a farm-to-factory manufacturing supply chain.

Deepanshu Mohan is an associate professor and director, Centre for New Economics Studies at O.P. Jindal University.

Nine Richest Indians Now Own Wealth Equivalent to Bottom 50% of the Country

A new study reveals growing wealth inequality in India. While the top 1% own 51.53% of national wealth, the bottom 60% own merely 4.8%.

New Delhi: “Rising wealth inequality threatens the social fabric of the nation,” says the Oxfam Inequality Report 2019, released on Monday.

The report details shocking levels of wealth inequality in the country, adding that wealth is being further concentrated in the hands of the richest while the poor are pushed deeper into deprivation. “High levels of wealth disparity subverts democracy,” the report says.

This is a common trend across the world – in the last year alone, the wealth of the poorest half of humanity, 3.8 billion people, fell by 11%, while a new billionaire was created every two days between 2017 and 2018 across the globe. In India, the wealth of the top 1% increased by 39%, whereas that of the bottom 50% increased by merely 3% in 2018.

The report makes many other such comparisons. It says that in 2018, 26 wealthiest people owned the same as the 3.8 billion people who make up the poorest half of humanity, down from 43 people the year before.

“Inequality is sexist”

There’s a special focus on women’s work in the report, discussing how they remain the poorest of the poor. A section dedicated to the same is titled “inequality is sexist”.

Citing a report from UN Women, it says that globally women earn 23% less than men while men own 50% more of the total wealth than women. In India, women are still receiving 34% less wages than their male counterparts for the same work.

Also read: Inequality, Not Poverty, is Behind the Global Rise of Identity Politics

On the unrecognised and unpaid care work, it says, “If all the unpaid care work done by women across the globe was carried out by a single company, it would have an annual turnover of $10 trillion – 43 times that of Apple.”

Tax breaks for the super-rich

The report claims that top rates of tax on the wealthiest and corporations are the at their lowest in decades, and that “unprecedented levels of tax avoidance and evasion” ensure that the wealthiest continue to pay less taxes.

“There can be no moral justification for this behaviour beyond the discredited neoliberal dogma that if everyone maximizes their selfishness, the world will somehow be a better place,” it adds.

The report doesn’t mince words on tax evasion, saying that the “super-rich are hiding $7.6 trillion from the tax authorities”. It also alleges that corporates “hide” money offshore to evade taxes. “Together this deprives developing countries of $170bn a year,” it says.

The India story

India added 18 new billionaires to the list just last year, taking the total number of billionaires in the country to 119. Their total wealth is higher than the Union budget of India for 2018-2019 (Rs 24,422 billion), the report says.

The country’s combined revenue and capital expenditure of the Centre and states for public health, sanitation and water supply is less than the wealth of India’s richest billionaire Mukesh Ambani.

Credit: Atul Loke, Panos / Oxfam

Inequality in India is based not just on class but caste, but gender as well. “A Dalit woman can expect to live almost 14.6 years less than one from a high-caste,” the report says, asserting that this inequality costs India its human potential.

Under funding and privatisation of public services, gender inequality leading to violence against women, the burden of unpaid care work, fiscal injustice for women and other marginalised groups, and corruption are listed as the major reasons for increasing wealth inequality in India.

Highlighting the shortage of health specialists in rural areas, the report compares India’s 0.7 doctors per 1,000 people to the UK’s 2.8. It further states that “most insurance schemes (including the new Ayushman Bharat) fail to cover outpatient costs that account for 68% of expenses.” While India boasts of “world class health services at low cost” and ranks 5th on the Medical Tourism Index, in terms of quality and accessibility of healthcare to its own citizen, it ranks 145th among 195 countries.

The dropping enrolment ratio in government schools, particularly for girls, while private schools see an uptick in admission, points to the state’s neglect, the report suggests. It further says that private players in health and education are often unregulated or under-regulated, leading to exorbitant profit margins and hence, exclusion.

Regarding unpaid care work, the report says that Indian women spend around three hours on it daily while it’s just around 30 minutes for men. This often discourages women from joining the labour force and earning decent wages. “Unpaid care is a huge hidden subsidy to the economy, which is ignored by standard economic analysis,” it says.

Recommendations for the government

In addition to the figures explaining the extent of wealth inequality, the report also has recommendations for the government to move towards a fairer society.

“Getting the richest one percent in India to pay just 0.5 percent extra tax on their wealth could raise enough money enough to increase government spending on heath by 50 percent,” the report says.

Also read: As India’s Inequality Spirals, How can the Government Step in and Intervene?

Oxfam recommendations to the government include progressively making school education free, ensuring reduced out of pocket expenses on health, and meeting global benchmarks of 6% and 3.5% of GDP on education and public health respectively.

Other recommendations include strengthening quality public healthcare, strict enforcement of the Right to Education norms, stopping commercialisation of education and health, and an increased focus on gender budgeting.

It also recommends revising the NSSO definition of ‘work’ to include domestic work as an economic activity. A policy framework to recognise care as a universal right guaranteed by the state through an effective social protection system is also recommended.

“Economic inequality plagued by caste, class, gender and religion need to be tackled on a war-footing. Government must now deliver real change by ensuring that the super-rich and corporations pay their fair share of tax and invest this money to strengthen public healthcare and education. Governments can build a brighter future for everyone – not just a privileged few,” Amitabh Behar, CEO of Oxfam India, said.