‘Whatever You Charge, I’m Charging’: Trump Reveals Modi Couldn’t Stave Off Tariff Hike

‘I told Prime Minister Modi yesterday — he was here. I said, “Here’s what you do. We’re going to do — be very fair with you.’

New Delhi: US President Donald Trump’s public comments on how his conversation on tariffs with Prime Minister Narendra Modi went has unveiled a fact that the Indian government has been keen to side-step – that India has not avoided a tariff hike despite the purported bonhomie that Modi has been keen to project with Trump.

In an interview to Fox News along with his billionaire adviser, Elon Musk, Trump said, according to the White House transcription:

“(E)very country in the world takes advantage of us, and they do it with tariffs. They makes — make it — it’s impossible for him to sell a car, practically, in, as an example, India. I don’t know if that’s true or not…”

Musk then chips in with a note: “The tariffs are like 100% import duty.”

“Now if he built the factory in India, that’s okay, but that’s unfair to us. It’s very unfair,” Trump said of Musk’s plans.

Trump then went on to describe his conversation with Modi:

“And I said, “You know what we do?” I told Prime Minister Modi yesterday — he was here. I said, “Here’s what you do. We’re going to do — be very fair with you.” They charge the highest tariffs in the world, just about.”

When Fox’s Sean Hannity asks if the tariffs are “36%”, Trumps says it is much higher and Musk says that auto imports are “100%.” However, India’s new EV policy offers a 15% reduction on import duties provided the carmaker makes a substantial investment in the country and sets up a local factory – something that is likely to help the Tesla CEO.

“Yeah, that’s peanuts,” Trump goes on to say, agreeing with Musk. “So, much higher. And — and others too. I said, “Here’s what we’re going to do: reciprocal. Whatever you charge, I’m charging.” He goes, “No, no, I don’t like that.” “No, no, whatever you charge, I’m going to charge.” I’m doing that with every country.”

The US president then goes to say that “nobody can argue” with him.

“You know, the media can’t argue — I said — they said, “Tariffs — you’re going to charge tariffs?” You know, if I said, like, 25 percent they’d say, “Oh, that’s terrible.” I don’t say that anymore — because I say, “Whatever they charge, we’ll charge.””

India has not addressed whether the meeting between Trump and Modi was effective in actually stalling the hike in tariffs that Trump had been promising.

MEA Asks Kenya to Waive Diplomatic Immunity in Sexual Assault Case

The MEA’s move comes about five months after the case was filed.

New Delhi: India has requested Kenya to revoke the diplomatic immunity of a Kenyan diplomat’s son to enable his prosecution for allegedly assaulting a minor at a Delhi school last year.

According to sources, the Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) has asked the Kenyan government to lift the immunity granted to him as a close family member of the diplomat.

The alleged incident took place last year, when a five-year-old Class 1 student was reportedly sexually assaulted twice in August by the Class 12 student on the school bus.

A case was registered on September 18 under the Bharatiya Nyaya Sanhita and the Protection of Children from Sexual Offences Act at South Delhi’s Greater Kailash police station.

The MEA’s move comes about five months after the case was filed. At the time, the police had approached the foreign ministry for further steps.

Earlier this month, the Times of India reported that the minor’s parents staged a protest outside the school over the lack of action. The school later suspended the Class 12 student.

Officials had then stated that the matter about approaching the Kenyan government was under consideration as the legal aspects were being examined.

Under Article 37 of the Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations, “members of the family of a diplomatic agent forming part of his household shall, if they are not nationals of the receiving State, enjoy the privileges and immunities” granted to diplomats, including immunity from criminal jurisdiction.

US SEC Seeks Indian Govt’s Assistance To Summon Adani in Bribery Case

The SEC has requested assistance from the Union law ministry, the central authority for India under the Hague Service Convention, the agency told a New York court.

New Delhi: The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) informed a New York court that it has sought assistance from the Indian government under a multilateral treaty to deliver summons to billionaire Gautam Adani and his nephew Sagar Adani in a securities and wire fraud case.

At a press conference during his US visit, Prime Minister Narendra Modi had dodged a question on the accusations by US prosecutors against Adani, stating that it was a “personal matter”.

In an update to the Eastern District of New York on Wednesday (February 18), the SEC provided details on its civil case against the two Adanis, filed in November 2024, accusing them of misleading US investors with false claims during a 2021 debt offering by Adani Green Energy Limited.

Separately, a case alleging violations of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) has been filed against Cabanes, a former director of Azure Power, whose stock was traded on the New York Stock Exchange until November 2023.

The US Attorney for the Eastern District of New York has also filed a related criminal case against Adani and seven others, alleging conspiracies to commit securities and wire fraud. Five of them – two former Adani executives and three former Canadian institutional investors – were additionally charged with conspiracy to violate the FCPA in connection with an alleged $250 million bribery scheme to secure solar energy supply contracts.

“SEC staff has contacted Defendants or their counsel (to the extent SEC staff is aware of such counsel) and has sent them Notices of Lawsuit and Requests for Waiver of Service of Summons, including copies of the Complaint. Additionally, under Article 5(a) of the Hague Service Convention, the SEC has requested assistance from India’s Ministry of Law and Justice, the Central Authority for India under the Hague Service Convention,” the agency stated in a letter dated February 18.

Noting that the “process is ongoing,” the SEC said it will continue efforts “to serve Defendants in India by the methods prescribed by FRCP 4(f), including under the Hague Service Convention, and will keep the Court apprised of its progress.” Rule 4 of the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure governs the issuance and delivery of summons.

India acceded to the “Convention on the Service Abroad of Judicial and Extrajudicial Documents in Civil or Commercial Matters” in 2006. But it had inserted caveats to its accession which stated that “service of judicial documents through diplomatic or consular channels will be limited to nationals of the State in which the documents originate”.

India also did not accept Article 10 of the Hague Convention, which permits the service of judicial documents via postal channels or direct delivery through judicial officers.

On February 10, the Trump administration paused enforcement of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) for 180 days. The FCPA prohibits companies and individuals with US ties from bribing foreign government officials for business advantage and criminalises misleading investors about FCPA compliance.

Under the executive order, the attorney general must review “all existing FCPA investigations or enforcement actions” and take steps “to restore proper bounds on FCPA enforcement,” according to the order.

Additionally, five Republican lawmakers wrote to Attorney General Pam Bondi, raising concerns over certain “unwise decisions” made by the Biden administration. They questioned the case, arguing that “this case rests on the allegation that preparations were made by members of this company in India to bribe Indian officials, also exclusively located in India”.

‘They Have a Lot of Money’: Trump Doubles Down on DOGE’s Move to Cut Funds For India

The US used to provide a USD 21 million grant for “voter turnout” in India. However, the newly formed DOGE, headed by Elon Musk, has cancelled it along with several aids to other countries.

New Delhi: Days after Elon Musk, who is heading the US Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), announced a series of expenditure cuts, including the USD 21 million allocated for “voter turnout in India”, US President Donald Trump backed him saying India “has a lot of money”.

“Why are we giving USD 21 million to India? They have got a lot of money. They are one of the highest taxing countries in the world in terms of us; we can hardly get in there because their tariffs are so high,”  Trump said at a press conference in his Mar-a-Lago residence on Tuesday.

“I have a lot of respect for India and their Prime Minister, but giving USD 21 million for voter turnout – what about voter turnout here? We’ve done that, I guess. We did 500 million dollar – it’s called the lock boxes,” he said.

Also read: Modi Played a Weak Hand in Donald Trump Durbar

Trump chose Musk to head the newly formed government department last month. It is aimed at improving governance and curbing wasteful expenditures, as per a post by DOGE on X. As part of the same, it announced cancelling a series of programmes costing hundreds of millions of taxpayers’ dollars.

The cancelled funds included USD 486 million in grants to the “Consortium for Elections and Political Process Strengthening”.

Meanwhile, Trump and Musk’s move sparked political conflict in India, with leaders of the ruling BJP, Amit Malviya and Rajeev Chandrasekhar, criticising the opposition Congress, terming the grant as an “external interference in India’s electoral process”, the beneficiary of which was “not the ruling party for sure”, news agency PTI reported.

The announcement came days after Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s official visit to the US, during which he held talks with Trump, as well as Musk.

The Excessive Focus on Defence in the Modi-Trump Statement is a Cause for Concern

The shift in emphasis and relative priority of the talks could end up taking India to the brink of an alliance.

No assessment of the Modi visit to the United States would be complete without noting that “defence” seems to have risen right to the very top of the agenda as indicated by the joint statement adopted after the visit.

At its very head, the opening paras of the joint statement, which defined the substance of the visit, noted that the two sides had now launched a new “US-India COMPACT (Catalysing Opportunities for Military Partnership, Accelerated Commerce & Technology) for the 21st century.” Items 1 through 6 dealt with various issues of defence.

In contrast, in the previous joint statement of September 8, 2023, when President Joe Biden visited India, defence issues began with item 16, and in the June 2023 visit of Prime Minister Modi to Washington, it was item 11.

It is not that there was much change in the substance of the issues. Contemporary defence relations between the two countries began with the George W. Bush administration and progressed through the Obama, Trump-I and Biden administrations. What seems to have shifted is the emphasis and relative priority, which is on a deeper partnership and industrial collaboration, that could, through the simple process of cumulation, end up taking India to the brink of an alliance.

Though India has always pushed back against the A-word, there has been a steady commentary from the US offering India alliance status. Recall that in 2021, Nikki Haley and Mike Waltz wrote in Foreign Policy magazine that it was time for a formal military alliance with India. Haley is a former Republican Presidential candidate and Waltz, who was a Florida congressman and chair of the India Caucus, is now Trump’s National Security Adviser.

Also read: F-35 Acquisition May Worsen IAF’s Maintenance and Operational Costs

In May 2023, the US House Select Committee on Strategic Competition led by Congressman Mike Gallagher suggested that India be offered membership in the NATO Plus 5 grouping comprising NATO and five Indo-Pacific countries, viz. Australia, New Zealand, Japan, Israel and South Korea.

In July 2024, the current Secretary of State Marco Rubio, then a Senator, moved a bill in the US Senate proposing to treat India at par with allies like Japan, Israel, Korea and the NATO. The goal of the bill was not just to facilitate technology and weapons transfer, but to support India in protecting its territorial integrity.

Coming back to the joint statement, it covers six heads – defence, trade and investment, energy, technology and innovation, multilateral cooperation and people-to-people action. There are areas of continuity in many of the initiatives though some have been renamed to reflect the new Trump era.

Item 1 speaks of “ a new ten-year Framework for the US-India Major Defence Partnership in the 21st Century.” But this is in fact a renewal of an old compact that was first arrived at in 2005, renewed in 2015 and was up for renewal this year anyway. Importantly though, where the old compacts were matter of fact “Framework for the US-India Defence Relationship”, the new proposed document speaks of a “US-India Major Defence Partnership.”

Item 2 speaks of the successful integration of US-origin defence products like the C-130J or the P-8I Poseidon into the Indian inventory. But now “the leaders determined that the US would expand defence sales and co-production” to enhance defence industrial cooperation. As part of this, plans are afoot this year to “pursue” new procurement and production ventures relating to the Javelin anti-tank missile and the Stryker infantry combat vehicle (ICV).

While India has been interested in the Javelin for some time now and would probably go ahead with the project, there is a question about the Stryker ICV. There are three Indian companies with competitive offerings – the Tata-Mahindra-DRDO WHAP, a Mahindra product and one by the Kalyani group.

There is no reference in the Joint Statement to Trump’s F-35 proposal. The purchase of this expensive fighter does appear far fetched at this juncture, though from the US point of view, India now meets all the criteria needed for the sale. Of course, New Delhi has worked hard to establish a domestic fighter design and manufacture capability and is hoping to field its own AMCA fifth generation fighter in about 10 years from now. An American purchase would surely undermine the Indian project.

Also read: By Ignoring the Mistreatment of Deportees, India Is Undermining Its Own Dignity

Item 3 is an important upgrade to the technology transfer agreements signed in 2023 with the Biden Administration. This is a commitment to review the US arms transfer regulations, especially the International Traffic in Arms Regulations (ITAR) which can be a major obstacle to defence trade and technology exchange. This will be facilitated, too, the joint statement notes, by the Reciprocal Defence Procurement agreement that the two sides are negotiating.

In the joint statement, there are several references to India as a “Major Defence Partner” – a designation that was accorded to India in 2016. However, this has never been clearly defined or operationalised. In contrast, the category “Major Non-NATO Ally” accorded to Pakistan is a legal category and enables Islamabad to obtain a range of defence and security privileges in the US.

Item 4 deals with an update of the Biden-era US-India Roadmap for Defence Industrial Cooperation where the two sides have entered into a new Autonomous Systems Industry Alliance (ASIA) to enhance industry partnerships in the Indo-Pacific. As part of this, the two countries would collaborate in the development of autonomous technologies and co-produce state of the art unmanned aerial vehicles and underwater robots.

Items 5 and 6 speak of the decision to elevate the cooperation across all domains through more training exercises, as well as “break new ground” to support and sustain overseas deployments of the US and Indian militaries. Clearly, since India is less likely to have its military abroad, this is something that benefits the US.

As of now, India has categorically rejected the idea that it could become a military ally of the US. External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar in his book, The India Way, rejected the notion of India becoming part of any formal alliance. In 2023, he pushed back against the Congressional Committee proposal on the NATO Plus 5 grouping. Last year, he bluntly declared that India did not share the vision for an Asian NATO called for by Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba.

But, given the current trajectory of relations, India’s technological and geopolitical dependence on the United States is set to grow, albeit incrementally. As a leader of a global alliance system and formidable military power, the US is also a major manufacturer of military equipment which it supplies to its allies. India is slowly being incorporated into its supply chains through various collaborative and co-production ventures. Economic and technological asymmetry limits any equality in the relationship here.

Of course, geopolitically and strategically, India views itself differently. The only partnership that it wants is one of equals. And it has had a long-term vision of emerging as a major industrial power. Whether the Modi government policies yield results here in either the civilian or military fields remains to be seen. At the geopolitical level, New Delhi views itself as both an Indo-Pacific and a Eurasian power; hence its memberships in the Quad, SCO and BRICS.

India has drawn and continues to draw substantial geopolitical benefit from its non-alignment and current multi-alignment. But we are in a new era where the Trump administration seems determined to overturn the global order as it exists.

Manoj Joshi  is a Distinguished Fellow, Observer Research Foundation, New Delhi.

This piece was first published on The India Cable – a premium newsletter from The Wire & Galileo Ideas – and has been updated and republished here. To subscribe to The India Cable, click here.

India, Qatar Announce Strategic Partnership, $10 Bn Investment

Qatar is now the fifth Gulf country after Saudi Arabia, Oman, Kuwait and the UAE with which India has a strategic partnership.

New Delhi: A day after Prime Minister Narendra Modi personally went to receive Qatari ruler Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al-Thani at the airport, India and Qatar on Tuesday (February 18) announced a “strategic partnership”, a Qatari commitment to invest $10 billion, and the goal of doubling bilateral trade in five years.

The emir of Qatar arrived in India to a red-carpet welcome from the government, a year after pardoning eight former Indian naval officers sentenced to death on unspecified charges.

Modi personally greeted him at the airport, a gesture he has extended to only four other heads of state in the past 15 years.

Following their formal talks on Tuesday, the two leaders witnessed the exchange of documents on seven pacts, including the agreement on establishing a bilateral strategic partnership.

“In light of the newly established Strategic Partnership, the two sides reaffirmed their commitment to further strengthen the bilateral relations through regular and structured cooperation in all areas, including political, trade, investment, security, energy, culture, education, technology, innovation, sustainability and people-to-people ties,” said the joint statement issued at the conclusion of the visit.

Qatar is now the fifth Gulf country after Saudi Arabia, Oman, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates with which India has a strategic partnership.

The two sides also signed a revised ‘Agreement for the Avoidance of Double Taxation and the Prevention of Fiscal Evasion with Respect to Taxes on Income and its Protocol’.

The joint statement announced that Qatar has committed to investing $10 billion in India, a sharp increase from its current investment of $1.5 billion, according to Indian government figures.

With bilateral trade currently at around $14.8 billion, both sides agreed “to set the target to double bilateral trade by 2030”.

“The two sides noted that trade and commerce has been a strong pillar of bilateral economic cooperation between the two countries and emphasised on the potential for further growth and diversification in bilateral trade,” said the joint statement.

It continued: “The two sides welcomed the elevation of the existing Joint Working Group on Trade and Commerce into a Joint Commission on Trade and Commerce. The Joint Commission will be an institutional mechanism to review and monitor the entire spectrum of economic ties between the two countries and will be headed by the Ministers of Commerce and Industry on both sides.”

There was also a decision to explore the possibility of a bilateral Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement.

On political issues, the Gaza conflict was discussed, according to secretary in the Ministry of External Affairs Arun Chatterjee.

“Naturally, the Middle East situation and the evolving situation over there came up for discussions. Both sides conveyed their mutual positions that we have on the Israel-Hamas issue. India conveyed its own position, the Qatari side conveyed their own position and we exchanged views. Both the leaders had discussions on that,” he said.

Asked whether India raised the issue of the remaining former Indian naval officer in Qatar, Chatterjee said: “Regarding the navy official who is still over there, I would like to just mention that his matter still remains sub-judice in the local courts in Qatar. And as I mentioned, the honorable prime minister appreciated the work that Amir and his government is doing in the protection and the welfare of our Indian citizens”.

Two Historic India-France Links Modi Overlooked While Citing Savarkar

Modi selectively flagged Savarkar’s much trumpeted escape, ignoring the well documented, deeper connection between Napoleon and Tipu Sultan.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s recent visit to France took place shortly after the 75th anniversary celebrations of the Indian Constitution. During his visit to Marseille, Modi claimed how in the quest for freedom, rightwing ideologue V.D. Savarkar “courageously” escaped from a boat in 1910, when he was being taken to India on charges of murdering a British official.

The grandiose claim associated with that escape has been exposed by Arun Shourie in his recently published book, The New Icon: Savarkar And the Facts. Shourie did so by referring to ‘Documents Relating to Freedom Movement of India’, published by the Government of Bombay in 1956. They showed that Savarkar only jumped into water 10-12 feet from the shore and was caught by the police while running on the sand to escape the authorities.

However, the more important issue is why Modi selectively flagged only Savarkar’s much trumpeted escape in the context of India’s freedom struggle, ignoring the well documented, deeper connection between Napoleon and Tipu Sultan for overthrowing the British occupation of India.

In face of criticism from the French media and the EU, Modi attended as guest of honour at the historic Bastille Day Celebrations in France on July 14, 2023. That day is celebrated every year to commemorate the central ideals of the French Revolution – liberty, equality and fraternity – which deeply impacted our freedom struggle and the framing of our Constitution. In the context of the 75th anniversary of our Constitution, Modi should have recalled those ideals, invoked time and again in our Constituent Assembly and are enshrined in our preamble. Instead, he recalled Savarkar, who rejected the Indian Constitution after it was adopted on November 26, 1949.

Modi, while invoking Savarkar’s name on French soil, should have considered the state visits of earlier leaders such as former President K.R. Narayanan. In his speech at a banquet hosted by French President Jacqes Chirac on April 17, 2000, Narayanan referred to correspondence between Tipu Sultan and Napoleon about forming a strategic alliance against Britishers.

One such letter of Napoleon to Tipu Sultan is there in the appendix of The Sword of Tipu Sultan authored by Bhagwan Gidwani. Napoleon wrote to him, “You have already been informed of my arrival on the borders of the Red Sea, with an innumerable and invincible Army, full of the desire of delivering you from the iron yoke of England.” The letter was intercepted by the Britishers and could not reach its destination.

President Narayanan referred to that letter and said, “Napoleon’s démarche perhaps underlined the strategic affinity that links India and France and the responsibility we hold in creating a more equal and democratic international order in the multipolar world.” By referring to this letter, President Narayanan, in a way, also indicated that the strategic dialogue between the two countries could be traced to 18th century.

Former Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru while moving the Objectives Resolution in the Constituent Assembly on December 13, 1946 made a reference to the Constituent Assembly of France and recalled its enduring spirit to animate the work of Indian Constituent Assembly. He said,“My mind goes back to that mighty revolution which took place also over 150 years ago and to that Constituent Assembly that met in that gracious and lovely city of Paris which has fought so many battles for freedom, to the difficulties that Constituent Assembly had and to how the King and other authorities came in its way, and still it continued”.

He went on to add, “The House will remember that when these difficulties came and even the room for a meeting was denied to the then Constituent Assembly, they be took themselves to an open tennis court and met there and took the oath, which is called the Oath of the Tennis Court, that they continued meeting in spite of Kings, in spite of the others, and did not disperse till they had finished the task they had undertaken”. He then earnestly hoped that the manner in which the French Constituent Assembly resolved to carry out its task in face of the insurmountable difficulties would guide the Constituent Assembly of India. He stated, “Well, I trust that it is in that solemn spirit that we too are meeting here and that we, too, whether we meet in this chamber or other Chambers, or in the fields or in the market-place, will go on meeting and continue our work till we have finished it”.

Instead of wasting time on Savarkar, Modi should have recalled the other historical linkages between India and France.

S.N. Sahu served as Officer on Special Duty to President of India K.R. Narayanan.

Is India On the Way To Becoming Mortgaged to the US?

Trump’s aggressive tone and Modi’s apparent acquiescence have raised concerns about India’s ability to safeguard its interests.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s two-day visit to Washington last week has been hailed by many domestic foreign policy experts as a resounding success. “Defying traditional skepticism and recent anxieties about India-US relations, Prime Minister Modi and US President Donald Trump laid out an ambitious roadmap to deepen bilateral ties,” remarked a respected foreign policy analyst. Another commentator echoed this sentiment, stating, “Modi’s visit was both symbolically significant and substantively fruitful.”

However, several international media outlets have been sharply critical of India’s handling of the visit, particularly its response to President Trump’s disparaging remarks, some of which were made in Modi’s presence. Ahead of the visit, a prominent British publication argued that America’s assertive nationalism could effectively reduce India to a “partially subordinate ally,” a stark contrast to India’s long-standing self-perception as a “wholly independent actor.”

Over the past decade, and especially in recent years, India has positioned itself as a leader of the Global South. Yet, as China expands its influence across Asia, Africa, and South America, championing multilateralism, India’s growing reliance on the US risks undermining its credibility among developing nations. This is particularly concerning as India aims to double bilateral trade with the US to $500 billion within five years through a proposed trade agreement. Critics question whether India can simultaneously advocate for the interests of the Global South while deepening ties with a global superpower. It would be tantamount to running with hares and hunting with hounds.

Also read: By Ignoring the Mistreatment of Deportees, India Is Undermining Its Own Dignity

A bilateral free trade agreement with the US raises further questions, given the stark structural disparities between the two nations. For instance:

  • Population: India’s 1.4 billion people far exceed the US population of 347 million.
  • Income Levels: The US per capita income of $37,683 is 16 times higher than India’s $2,343.
  • Agriculture: Nearly 800 million Indians depend on agriculture, compared to just 25,000 heavily subsidised US farmers. The Indian peasants are small with meagre landholdings.
  • Workforce: India’s workforce, including both organised and unorganised sectors, stands at approximately 565 million, dwarfing the US workforce of 168 million.
  • Industrial structure: India’s economy relies heavily on fragmented small and medium enterprises, unlike the US’s more consolidated industrial base.

While India enjoyed a $38billion trade surplus in 2022, with bilateral trade totaling  $157 billion, President Trump has made it clear that a free trade agreement would aim to reverse this imbalance. Such a deal could severely impact India’s agriculture and pharmaceutical sectors, which are vital to providing affordable medicines and sustaining livelihoods. India’s robust pharmaceutical industry, a legacy of reforms initiated by Indira Gandhi in the 1970s, has been a lifeline for affordable healthcare globally. A trade deal that undermines this sector could have far-reaching consequences.

An unequal partnership?

The joint statement issued by Trump and Modi, particularly on trade, appears heavily skewed in favor of the US. During a press conference on February 13, Trump launched a scathing critique of India’s trade policies, accusing the country of imposing “very, very high tariffs” and creating an uneven playing field. “India’s tariffs are 30, 40, 60, even 70% on many goods,” he said, adding, “We want a level playing field, which we think we’re entitled to.”

Trump also emphasised the US’s intention to sell more oil, gas and liquefied natural gas (LNG) to India, framing it as a solution to the trade deficit. “We can make up the difference easily with the sale of oil and gas,” he stated. While the two leaders announced a new energy agreement to boost US exports, critics argue that this focus on fossil fuels contradicts global efforts to combat climate change, especially after the US withdrew from the Paris Agreement in 2016.

Also read: Three Things About India that Shackled Indians Returning Home Tell Us

The 33-paragraph joint statement highlighted a bold new goal – dubbed “Mission 500” – to double bilateral trade to $500 billion by 2030. However, the rhetoric surrounding the negotiations suggests an unequal footing. Trump’s aggressive tone and Modi’s apparent acquiescence have raised concerns about India’s ability to safeguard its interests.

A threat to multilateralism?

Trump’s unilateral trade policies, including tariffs on Canadian, Mexican and Chinese goods, as well as steel and aluminum imports, have already undermined the World Trade Organisation’s (WTO) rules-based system. His administration’s disregard for multilateral trade norms signals a troubling shift toward protectionism. For India, this poses a significant challenge, especially as Trump prepares to unveil reciprocal tariffs on April 2, which could further strain bilateral relations.

Historically, trade negotiations under the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) and its successor, the WTO, have allowed developing countries like India to maintain higher tariffs to protect their economies. However, Trump’s accusations against India and other developing nations for building trade surpluses ignore this context. His approach risks dismantling the global trading system that has, until now, provided a framework for fairer negotiations.

A risky gamble?

India’s efforts to strengthen ties with the US under the current administration may come at a high cost. By aligning itself too closely with a protectionist and unilateralist US government, India risks not only its economic interests but also its standing as a leader of the Global South. As negotiations for a bilateral trade agreement begin, India must tread carefully to ensure that its aspirations for growth and self-reliance are not compromised in the pursuit of a lopsided partnership.

The road ahead is fraught with challenges. India’s ability to navigate this complex relationship while maintaining its strategic autonomy will determine whether it emerges as a true global leader or becomes increasingly subordinate to US interests while mortgaging India.

Ravi Kanth Devarakonda is a financial journalist based in Switzerland.

By Ignoring the Mistreatment of Deportees, India Is Undermining Its Own Dignity

The rabid public discourse of the last 15 years has left us unable to value our own dignity or even recognise when it is taken away from us. 

During a special briefing on Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to the US, a Ministry of External Affairs spokesperson was asked whether the manner in which Indian undocumented immigrants were deported (in military aircrafts with their legs shackled) was raised. The question was side-stepped. The joint statement released by India and the U.S. makes no mention of the treatment of deportees, instead focussing on taking strong action against illegal immigration. Since Modi’s visit, two more such flights have landed in India, in which deportees have continued to be shackled. In an additional act of humiliation, Sikh deportees are reported to have been deprived of their turbans

On the other end of the spectrum to India’s silence on this, Colombia nearly sparked a trade war with the US in January when they refused to let American military flights containing similarly shackled Colombian deportees land. Eventually, two Colombian Air Force planes were sent to the US, to ensure their deportees were returned to Colombia with dignity.

Missing link logo

Colombia’s broadly successful intervention (the issue was resolved without any tariff related retaliation) indicates that the Indian government’s reluctance to raise the matter is not one of relative bargaining power with the US It points to the Modi government’s troubling reimagination of the diaspora. 

Colonial narratives and the modern anti-immigration discourse

Frantz Fanon describes how colonisation does not limit itself to physically controlling the space of the colonised. In the discourse of colonisation, every aspect of the lives and society of the colonised must be painted as some form of absolute and irredeemable evil. This then provides the moral justification for colonisation (and any brutality it entails) in the eyes of the coloniser. It is also used to prevent the colonised population from seeking admittance into the metropole. Modern anti-immigration discourse in the West builds on these same narratives — immigrants are often accused of bringing their native culture to the West or of refusing to “assimilate”.

In 1927, American historian Katherine Mayo wrote Mother India – a book arguing that Indian social customs were so barbaric and sexually degenerate that they made Indians unfit for self-rule. While Mayo’s analysis might seem comically racist, a cursory glance at online racism in the West today demonstrates a very similar approach. Violent crimes against women in India are very often used by racists to demonise Indian and other South Asian immigrant men as threats to women abroad.

Donald Trump’s entire deportation spectacle — an expensive shift from the earlier practice of using chartered commercial planes — is a deliberate nod to these narratives. It is done to reinforce the impression that these are criminals being removed from American society. By shackling these young men, the fact that the only laws they have broken are the immigration laws that prevent their entry is de-emphasised and the spectre of the dangerous brown male, socially regressive and unfit for admittance into Western society, is re-created. The government of Colombia appears to have understood this message and immediately moved to counter it, with President Gustavo Petro insisting that a migrant is not a criminal and must be treated with the dignity that a human being deserves.”

While Trump’s reasons for engaging in this spectacle are easy to understand, the Indian acceptance of it is more complicated – both at the level of the diaspora and at the level of the government. 

Also read: Three Things About India that Shackled Indians Returning Home Tell Us

Since the 1960s, Indian immigration to the West has been almost entirely from what is termed the “middle class” (a euphemism for the relatively well-off, often upper caste, urban Indian, rather than middle class in any real economic sense). The working classes, by contrast, tended to seek jobs in the Middle-East or South-East Asia. This has changed in the last decade. Agrarian distress, especially in the green revolution states, and youth unemployment in areas like northern Gujarat have forced blue collar workers to attempt migrating to North America. While countries like Canada offer (or used to offer) legal routes for such blue collar immigration, the so called “donkey” routes are often the only way for Indian blue collar immigrants to reach the U.S. 

It is not uncommon for Indians in the diaspora to speak derisively of these newer immigrants (irrespective of the legality of their entry) as “ruining the image” of the otherwise “highly educated”, “successful” Indian diaspora. In some senses their enthusiastic support for Trump’s deportation spectacles is a performance intended to create a public distinction between themselves and this new category of Indians in the eyes of white Americans. Possibly, they hope that this differentiation will shield them from racism. Hence the “legal” immigrant is well educated, often upper caste, successful and law abiding, while the often backward caste blue-collar “illegal” immigrant is a criminal who must be deported in chains, despite the fact that many of these young men are themselves the victims of scam immigration agents, who have stolen their life’s savings promising a safe and legal path to the U.S.

Modi and the diaspora

The Indian diaspora has always been deeply connected with Indian politics. Prior to independence, the diaspora (which was then predominantly working class) often advocated for the cause of Indian independence abroad. The treatment of this diaspora abroad in turn informed and shaped anti-colonial struggles within India. The Komagata Maru incident, which became a rallying point for the diaspora nationalist Ghadar Party’s attempts to spark revolution in India, revolved around the turning away of a shipload of working class migrants from India headed to Canada. While the Ghadar Party never managed to raise sufficient popular support for revolution within India, the Komagata Maru incident is remembered in independent India as part of the nationalist struggle.

Prior to the Modi years, Indian governments by and large continued with this understanding. The diaspora — irrespective of caste, class, religion or region — was seen as representative of, and entwined with, the nation itself. For example, bringing back 170,000 predominantly working class migrants stuck in Kuwait during the Gulf War in 1990 was an uncomplicated matter of national pride. 

The Modi government’s relationship with the diaspora is much more fragmented and complex. The diaspora is no longer seen as a passive and homogenous cultural extension of the country. Specific groups, such as the upper caste Hindu diaspora, which the Modi government sees as points of access to Western power, have been actively courted, while others have been actively antagonised. The Sikh diaspora, including a large number of working class Sikhs, is derisively branded “Khalistani” in the Indian media. And despite Modi’s Hindu unity push in India, the Indian government has also targeted members of the diaspora involved in enacting anti-caste discrimination legislation in the U.S. In addition, members of the diaspora who have been critical of the Modi government have been refused admittance into the country or had their Overseas Citizen of India (OCI) cards cancelled.

On the deportations, the Modi government, which appears to be modelling its foreign policy almost solely on the views of the section of the diaspora they actively court, has been happy to stay silent on the demonisation of the deportees and reassert the distinction between “legal” and “illegal” immigration. 

This general indifference of the Indian government to the treatment of the deportees is yet another example of a troubling trend — the protection Indians abroad can expect from their government now seems dependent on the class (and usually caste) location they occupy and their relative utility to the government. While the evacuation of relatively well-to-do students stuck in Ukraine was seen as a top priority for the government, an achievement worthy of being put into electoral advertisements, the families of 126 working class Indian nationals tricked into enlisting in the Russian army have had to make multiple appeals over the years for them to be rescued. Twelve of them have died fighting (the last in January) and 18 still remain stuck in combat.

This apathy has tied in neatly with the moral decay of the public discourse in India. The empathy of the modern Indian middle class is, in general, reserved for people they see as akin. Two stampedes in the last month have barely sparked any outrage. Major railway accidents no longer lead to demands for resignations. Acts of public violence involving the humiliation of oppressed castes and Muslims are commonplace, and no longer make the mainstream news. 

Once the traditional framework that equated the treatment of any Indian abroad with the dignity of nation as a whole was disbanded — as it has been in the Modi years with the constant fragmentation of the diaspora along the lines of religion or amorphous allegations of “anti- India” activities — most Indians appear to be willing to cast the treatment of deportees into the same general bucket of indifference otherwise reserved for the treatment of the marginalised in India. 

The malaise goes beyond foreign policy. The rabid public discourse of the last 15 years – which has been completely devoid of principles and filled with appreciation of any brute majoritarian tactic, as long as it is successful – has left us unable, as a people, to value our own dignity or even recognise when it is taken away from us. 

Sarayu Pani is a lawyer by training and posts on X @sarayupani.

Missing Link is her new column on the social aspects of the events that move India.

Three Things About India that Shackled Indians Returning Home Tell Us

The government of India by not caring about its very own chained people being dropped down by a foreign military plane can pretend it is an ostrich, but the picture of an India shrivelled and grovelling and further trying to ‘normalise Indian hate’ tells its own story.

What do chained Indian deportees – undocumented workers expelled from the United States – returning home often after mistreatment and forced hunger spells say about the government of India?

Some returning Sikhs were forced to take off their turbans, hustled in US military aircraft, leaving the United States shortly before the Indian PM himself left for India in his own plane after meeting Donald Trump. What does this return in chains say about the state of India, which forces its young to embark on such large-scale dangerous migration in the first place and then about claims of India’s leadership ‘in the world’?

It is no surprise that in the past few years, the numbers of Indians desperate to move out at any cost and head for the US has grown to its highest level. Pew and the Center for Migration Studies of New York say undocumented Indians numbered 700,000 in 2022, making them the third-largest group after Mexico and El Salvador.

The number of Indian undocumented migrant returnees were very high between 2023 and 2024, but the peak was in 2020 with 2,300 deportations. In 2023, 41,330 of the 67, 391 undocumented Indians in the US, were Gujaratis.

The three US military planes that dropped Indians back to India offer us a lens to the India that the undocumented are desperate to flee, and about its leaders today.

Crashing economy

No jobs, declining rural wages, a massively regressive tax system, have ensured an overall sorry state of the economy. This is further underlined by indices like falling consumption levels. The RBI’s consumer confidence survey distinctly betrays shaky and falling confidence over price rise, spending patterns and job prospects. Sentiments over price rise are negative and this is the case across income groups, across society. The latest mood of the nation survey, a C-Voter enterprise finds 57% of the respondents saying that the country’s economy is either going to get worse or remain the same in the next six months. Also, more than three-fourths of those surveyed (64%) have said that they find it difficult to manage their daily expenses compared to last year. This, also shows up in falling consumer demand with bank loans going to meet routine expenses.

Over half, or 51% of those surveyed say that big business has benefitted the most from the government’s policies since 2014. A sense that there is no fair deal with economic policies has taken firm root, with almost half of those surveyed (49%) saying that the Modi government is supporting the controversial Adani group amid allegations of bribery by a US court. For some years now, the amount of money as tax that the government gets, is markedly less, as a proportion, than the tax that big corporates are asked to pay.

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‘Ab ki baar Trump Sarkar’

The images of chained Indians, accounts of them being beaten and kept hungry for days in the US, despite engagement at the highest level, gives away the pecking order of where India stands in the Trumpian world. Modi’s readiness to concede everything has shown up the drastic fall in the place that India commands, globally. Other smaller countries have stood up for their citizens, notably when on January 26, 2025, Columbian President Gustavo Petro refused to allow the two C-17 military transport aircraft carrying Colombian undocumented nationals back from the US. Trump had then announced that he would impose 25% customs duties on imports from Colombia. But after Pedro sent his presidential aircraft to bring back his people, Trump suspended his tariff threats in a statement.

In sharp contrast, India has tried to make common cause about ‘illegal immigration’. The craven ‘MEGA’ coined by Modi to chime with Trump’s MAGA, is not only misplaced, and contestable, but reflective of the sheer inability of Modi’s India to project power, either as a ‘middle’ power or as an alternative leader of the Global Majority. The Modi government has mounted a shameful defence of the US policy of chaining people when deported. India’s deflections on ‘agents’ taking people out of India and trying to be seen as in the Trump camp, have yielded little and Trump has disdainfully continued to threaten tariff hikes against India.

India’s shocking silence on Trump’s disastrous proposal to turn Gaza into an American “riviera” – when the entire world has condemned this plan to ethnically cleanse Palestinian land – has also not yielded any benefits to India, and only raised eyebrows and suspicion. India has offered many more concessions than are beneficial to it under any calculation. It has dropped the idea of de-dollarisation, earlier championed as a part BRICS, terrified of annoying Trump. It has also reportedly put on hold plans for the new e-commerce policy. The anxiety to mollify Trump has gone to the extent of agreeing to everything said, about oil or Big Tech. The chained Indians coming home are a testimony to that.

Marko Elez, a junior colleague of Elon Musk at DOGE, who wanted to “normalise Indian Hate” has got his job back and racism is being defended brazenly. Musk has said on February 8 that he will bring back Elez who had earlier resigned after it was found that he had previously made racist remarks online. Has India even spoken of this? Last seen, Modi and India’s top officials were lined up to sit across Musk, his children, nanny and another companion he got to what we are told was a business meeting.

Human (in)dignity

Modi and the BJP’s rule has been often evaluated for what it has done to strip Muslims of their dignity. Cabinet ministers, chief ministers, the rank and file has bitterly otherised them through talk of all sorts of so-called ‘jihads’, Muslims amidst references to mujra, stealing buffaloes and more. The PM had outdone everyone through elections speeches referring to Muslims in the same breath as mujra, buffalo-stealing and mangalsutra-snatching.

But what the detained Indians getting back showcase is how there is basic denial of human dignity that extends to all Indians, at least those not regarded as cronies to be protected as special. Indians killed in the stampede at the Sangam, or the New Delhi Railway Station or Indians brought back from the US in extremely deplorable conditions signal a government which is either too weak, effete or just unmindful of basic human rights and the need to preserve the dignity of all Indians.

Amitav Ghosh’s thinly-veiled fictional trilogy, The Sea of Poppies has its seeds in the girmitiyas – the history of Indians who went out to serve as indentured labour in far-flung lands. But the character Deeti, her lover and all their ship mates on the former slave ship Ibis did so at a time when India was under colonial rule and decidedly unfree. Also, Ghosh did not place even his fictional characters in chains on board the refurbished slave ship.

The government of India by not caring about its very own chained people being dropped down by a foreign military plane can pretend it is an ostrich and it cannot see, but the picture of an India shrivelled and grovelling and further trying to “normalise Indian hate” tells its own story.

This piece was first published on The India Cable – a premium newsletter from The Wire & Galileo Ideas – and has been updated and republished here. To subscribe to The India Cable, click here.