‘Jan Gan Man Ki Baat’ Episode 252: Fading ‘Modi Magic’ and BJP’s Electoral Rhetoric

Vinod Dua discusses the by-poll results and the BJP going back on its electoral rhetoric.

Watch | By-Poll Results Show Opposition Unity Is a Winning Formula

Sidharth Bhatia, founding editor of The Wire, discusses the 2018 by-poll results and what it would mean for national politics if the opposition united against the BJP.

Malaysia’s Mahathir and Modi Hold ‘Productive’ Talks on Strengthening Ties

Modi is among the first world leaders to meet Mahathir, who became the world’s oldest elected leader when his Pakatan Harapan Opposition alliance registered a stunning victory over the Barisan Nasional coalition, which had ruled Malaysia since 1957.

Kuala Lumpur: Prime Minister Narendra Modi today met his Malaysian counterpart Mahathir Mohammad to personally congratulate him on his stunning election victory and the two leaders had “productive discussions” on bolstering the bilateral strategic ties.

Modi, who arrived here on the second leg of his three-nation tour, met 92-year-old Mahathir in his office at Perdana Putra Complex, Putrajaya.

“Glad to have met Dr. Mahathir Mohamad. I thank him for the warm welcome. We had productive discussions on further cementing India-Malaysia ties,” Modi tweeted in both Malay and English.

The two leaders discussed ways to boost economic and cultural relations between India and Malaysia.

Modi is among the first world leaders to meet Mahathir, who became the world’s oldest elected leader when his Pakatan Harapan Opposition alliance registered a stunning victory over the Barisan Nasional coalition, which had ruled Malaysia since 1957.

Mahathir, who had retired from the post of prime minister in 2003, after 22 years at its helm, was sworn-in again as Malaysia’s premier on May 10.

This is the first meeting between Modi and Mahathir. Modi last visited Malaysia in November 2015.

External affairs ministry spokesperson Raveesh Kumar said the two leaders had a productive exchange of views on strengthening the strategic partnership between India and Malaysia.

During the meeting, Prime Minister Modi congratulated Dr. Mahathir on assuming the post of Prime Minister of Malaysia, he added.

During his brief stopover, Modi also met with deputy prime minister Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail and her husband Anwar Ibrahim.

“Deputy Prime Minister of Malaysia Dr. Wan Azizah called on PM @narendramodi during PM’s brief stopover in Kuala Lumpur. Good discussion took place to take our relationship to newer heights. Former Deputy Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim was also present,” Kumar tweeted.

Malaysia and India have close ties with culture and history as well as in various key areas, particularly infrastructure development, education, tourism and defence.

India is Malaysia’s largest trading partner in South Asia with total turnover of RM 61.43 billion (USD 15.44 billion) in 2017.

Earlier, the Prime Minister’s Office said that Modi will be discussing aspects relating to India-Malaysia cooperation with Mahathir.

“Malaysia is a strategic partner and a priority country in our Act East Policy,” Kumar said.

Modi had announced in New Delhi that on his way to Singapore, he will make a brief halt in Malaysia to meet Mahathir and congratulate the new Malaysian leadership.

After concluding his whirlwind trip, Modi left for Singapore where he will deliver a keynote address at the Shangri-La Dialogue, an annual security meet, tomorrow.

India’s per Capita Income Grows by 8.6% to Rs 1.13 Lakh in FY18

New Delhi, May 31 (PTI) India’s per capita income grew at a slower pace of 8.6% to Rs 1,12,835 during the last fiscal ended March 2018, official data showed today.

The per capita net national income in 2016-17 stood at Rs 1,03,870, witnessing a growth of over 10.3% from the preceding fiscal ended March 2016 (at Rs 94,130).

“The per capita income at current prices during 2017-18 is estimated to have attained a level of Rs 1,12,835 as compared to the estimates for the year 2016-17 of Rs 1,03,870, showing a rise of 8.6%,” showed the provisional estimates of annual income, 2017-18 released by the ministry of statistics and programme implementation (MOSPI).

The per capita income is a crude indicator of the prosperity of a country.

In real terms, calculated at constant prices with base 2011-12, the per capita income grew by 5.4% to Rs 86,668 in 2017-18 as compared to Rs 82,229 in 2016-17.

“The growth rate in per capita income is estimated at 5.4% during 2017-18, as against 5.7% in the previous year,” the release said.

The country’s gross national income (GNI) at current prices witnessed a rise of about 10% at Rs 165.87 lakh crore during 2017-18 as against Rs 150.77 lakh crore during 2016-17.

While on real terms (with 2011-12 base year), the GNI increased at a slower rate of 6.7% to Rs 128.64 lakh crore in fiscal ended March 2018, as against the previous year’s estimate of Rs 120.52 lakh crore.

For the fiscal year that ended in March 2017, the real term GNI grew by 7.1%.

Times Now’s Parallel Trial In Tejpal Case Blatantly Interfered With Justice

Under the guise of creating an air of hostility against the accused, the channel maligned the dignity of the victim.

The quality of newsroom discussions hit a new low when Times Now held a horrendous debate over CCTV footage in the Tarun Tejpal rape case by brazenly defying court orders and relevant statutory provisions. The debate, which aired on May 28, was preceded by dramatic build-up on social media, with the sensational hashtag “ #TejpalTapes”.

 

Tarun Tejpal, journalist and former editor of Tehelka, is accused of forcibly committing acts amounting to rape on his junior colleague inside an elevator in a hotel in Goa in November 2013. The “never seen before video tapes” shown by Times Now depicted two persons (whom the channel claims to be Tejpal and the complainant) entering and exiting an elevator in a hotel lobby. 

The debate carried out in two sessions, one anchored by the channel’s editor-in-chief Rahul Shivshankar and another by managing editor Navika Kumar, was attended by several panellists, including lawyers. The CCTV footage was repeatedly shown, and the anchors baited their panellists with their own subjective interpretations of the body language of the persons shown in the footage. The panellists took their turn in either attacking Tejpal or seeking to discredit the complainant, based on their surmises from the footage whose  duration is barely a few seconds.

The discussion was shrill, lacking in nuance and without any regard for the privacy of the complainant rights or the rights of the accused. When the debate inched towards victim-shaming, it was clear with whom the channel’s sympathy really was. In any event, the attempt of this column is not to analyse the journalistic merits of the show but to point out the glaring legal violations which took place.

Court order violated by airing video tapes.

The trial court in Goa which is seized of the matter had passed an order in June 2017 restraining the publication of court proceedings. The court held that its proceedings will be held “in-camera”, meaning that the proceedings will not be open for the general public to watch. The order was passed by the court to preserve the dignity, respect and privacy of both the compainant and the accused. The video footage is evidence in the case, upon which both the prosecution and the defence place reliance to support their respective versions. Responding to the violation committed by the channel, Supreme Court criminal lawyer Rebecca Mammen John noted:

“Section 327 (2) and (3) of The Code of Criminal Procedure makes it clear that Rape trials shall be conducted in camera. It further states that “it shall not be lawful for any person to print or publish any matter in relation to such proceedings, except with the previous permission of the court.” The footage that was aired yesterday is an exhibited document in the trial. In an ongoing trial you cannot play any footage on your night show without the permission of the court. The court had not granted any such permission . On the contrary it has prohibited public viewing of the footage. Dear anchors: Got that?

The video footage could not have been accessed by Times Now through means known to law. When the footage is part of court evidence, accessing it through other surreptitious means is blatantly illegal and improper.

Interference with criminal trial

The video footage, lasting for a few seconds, is only one of the several pieces of evidence in the trial. The video footage does not pertain to the alleged happenings inside the elevator. Therefore, to draw inferences of guilt or innocence based on the body language of the persons shown in the footage is an act of guesswork, having no standing on its own independent of other evidence on record.  To hold a highly judgmental debate on the basis of this singular piece of evidence without reference to other evidence is grossly improper.

In a trial, the discrediting of any witness is done on the basis of evidence and statements tendered in court, after putting the witness through cross-examination. As per information gathered, the cross-examination of the victim is yet to take place. Before that stage, it is improper for a channel to present views that seek to discredit the victim, especially so when the entire set of evidence is not available in the public domain.

In this regard, it is pertinent to refer to Norms of Journalistic Conduct formulated by the Press Council of India, under Section 13 of the Press Council Act, 1978.

In paragraphs 12(a), 12(b) and 41(A) in Part A under the heading “Caution in criticising judicial act”, “Reporting News pertaining to Court proceedings” and “ Trial by Media”, it is stipulated as follows :

– Excepting where the court sits ‘in-camera’ or directs otherwise, it is open to a newspaper to report pending judicial proceedings, in a fair, accurate and reasonable manner. But it shall not publish anything which, in its direct and immediate effect, creates a substantial risk of obstructing, impeding or prejudicing seriously the due administration of justice; or is in the nature of a running commentary or debate, or records the paper’s own findings conjectures, reflection or comments on issues, sub judice and which may amount to abrogation to the newspaper the functions of the court; or regarding the personal character of the accused standing trial on a charge of committing a crime.

– Newspaper shall not as a matter of caution, publish or comment on evidence collected as a result of investigative journalism, when, after the accused is arrested and charged, the court becomes seized of the case: Nor should they reveal, comment upon or evaluate a confession allegedly made by the accused.

– The media is not expected to conduct its own parallel trial or foretell the decision putting undue pressure on the judge, the jury or the witnesses or prejudice a party to the proceedings.

– Victim, Witnesses, Suspects and accused should not be given excessive publicity as its amounts to invasion of their privacy rights.

All the above guidelines were violated by Times Now’s show.

In what could be termed an instance of running with the hare and hunting with the hound, the channel managed to create an air of hostility against the accused while also maligning the dignity of the victim, with its over-the-top commentary and titillating tone of debate.

The high-voltage debate accompanied by its mass propaganda through social media has the potential to sway the minds of unsuspecting viewers, who may not be well versed with court procedures. Even the judiciary cannot be completely insulated from the public pressure generated by media narratives. Justice Cardozo, one of the great judges of the US Supreme Court observed in Nature of the Judicial Process that judges are subconsciously influenced by several forces. The parallel trial held by the channel on the basis of piecemeal evidence has skewed public perception of the case, and this could act as unwarranted external pressure on the judicial process.

Thus, this is a clear case of prejudicing the judicial process and interfering with the administration of justice, which are grounds for initiating criminal contempt action under the Contempt of Courts Act 1971.

Need to draw lines

Acknowledging that even non-state actors like the media can infringe the right to privacy, the Kerala high court observed:

“The newly recognised fundamental right to privacy, which takes within its fold the right to protect ones reputation as well, would merit classification as a fundamental right that protects an individual, not against the arbitrary State action, but also from the actions of other private citizens, such as the press or media”. 

This observation was made  in the solar scam case against former Kerala chief minister Oommen Chandy, where the court had initially gagged the media from publishing contents of the Solar Commission report. The observations were based on the Supreme Court decision in Justice Puttuswamy v. Union of India, which declared right to privacy a fundamental right. 

The parallel trial by a news channel carried out without regard to fairness, and without opportunity to the affected persons, has infringed the right to privacy of both the accused and the victim. The panelists were speaking without any authority to represent the affected persons, and they have inflicted irreversible damage with their unabashed mudslinging. As Rebecca Mamen John noted later on Facebook:

Not a single lawyer who appeared on the Times Now channel last night discussing the merits of footage from an ongoing rape trial, spoke out against the gross illegality of playing and replaying it. There is a court order prohibiting viewing of the footage. Many of the participants discredited the victim and made outrageous claims. Shame on all of you.

This also provides occasion for the media to introspect about the boundaries to be maintained while discussing pending criminal trials. Media intervention in cases like the Jessica Lal case, the BMW hit-and-run case etc are often projected to support the need for a “media trial”. But those cases had some glaring instances of investigative lapses and attempts to subvert the trial, which would not have got corrected but for media activism. But there was no such redeeming element of overriding public interest in the ‘Tejpal Tapes’. The debate did not achieve any worthy purpose except providing sadistic pleasure to some. Apart from that, there was no journalistic relevance either, as this was no occasion for holding a debate at this juncture on an ongoing trial.  From the timing of the debate, one cannot help wonder whether it was a ploy to deflect attention from the questions raised on the credibility of the channel in view of the Cobrapost expose.

(The online video links of the debate has been since taken down from the official website of Times Now and its YouTube channel, presumably fearing legal sanctions)

Republished from the original article published on LiveLaw, with minor editorial and stylistic changes.

When Adults Are Violent, Kids Emulate. When Kids Show Love, Adults Change.

If adults abuse people who are different from them, emboldened by political leaders and the political environment, kids take their cues from adults.

This article is part of a bimonthly series that will address early child development.

A new family has recently moved in across the street from me – their son Sarthak (name changed) has autism. One of his self-calming strategies is to moan (rather loudly). Since his preferred place to do this is on their home’s terrace, the entire neighborhood hears him.

Early reactions were extremely negative. Everyone commented about him and stared openly whenever he appeared on the street with his grandmother. Those living next door on either side began to harass the owners of the house where his family was tenant, insisting that they evict them.

My organisation stepped in then. We held a meeting in my garden with all the children of the area. We explained to them what autism is and why this child behaves as he does. We taught them the games he likes to play and asked them what they thought they could do to help him feel more accepted. The kids were enthusiastic – they responded eagerly, saying they had always wanted to play with him, but they didn’t know how; that since he couldn’t talk, they didn’t know where to begin.

But now they know! Now, whenever Sarthak appears on the street, children run to him and greet him by name. Two kids have begun inviting him to their home every weekend. So now, every Saturday and Sunday, he has friends to play with. Sarthak has become calmer and more engaged.

But a disturbing story was reported in the news this week – A 12-year-old boy with autism in Coimbatore was allegedly tortured by neighbours repeatedly. His mother told a news agency that the neighbours “put chappal garlands on him, tortured him with cigarette butts and even tried to choke him.” However, the Hindu reported on May 30 that the story may in fact be false and the family may have made it up.

But the reason it felt so believable in the days before the report came out, is because this kind of abuse of children with disabilities is in fact a routine reality. It is so common, that the Indian legal system has had to define what “abuse” of people with disabilities looks like, in the landmark legislation, ‘Rights of Persons with Disabilities Act, 2016.’

The act lists in heartbreaking detail the many ways it is criminal to treat people with disabilities: verbal humiliation, physical violence, sexual assault and withholding of bodily essentials. Even damaging the devices people depend upon because of their handicap was listed as a particularly egregious crime. Which makes you wonder who might want to do such a thing.

‘Child development’ is a neutral term. But children will develop into compassionate, responsible adults or into violent, abusive ones, depending on which road we adults lead them down.

As appalling as it is to acknowledge that such laws are necessary, the reality of the cruelty meted out to children and adults with disabilities is far worse. And in India, at least, the law is seldom acted upon – the parents of the 12-year-old mentioned above had apparently reported earlier incidents to the police with no action ever being taken. As is so often the case, India’s laws are progressive and admirable on paper, but shockingly weak in implementation.

Differences come in many forms – colour, nationality, religion, caste, gender identification, ability – but intolerance looks pretty much the same any way you slice it.

It is important to study and understand why so many people find it necessary to respond to “difference” with rejection, ostracisation, violence and other forms of cruelty.

Police, sociologists and psychologists cite many reasons for hate crimes, ranging from ‘thrill seeking’ which is in fact very common, to crusading for a religious or racial cause.

But two traits which most perpetrators share is that – overwhelmingly – they are male, and second, they have nothing to be afraid of. Hate crimes are usually committed by dominant groups against minorities: Hindus attack Muslims or Dalits in India, white men attack people of colour in the US and straight men attack gay people everywhere.

There appears to be a connection between a political leadership which is based on nationalism and division and an increase in hate crimes. Documenting Hate, a collaborative investigation tracking hate crimes and bias incidents in the US, draws a clear line between Donald Trump’s campaign and election and a sharp rise in crimes against black Americans and perceived Muslims there; here in India, researchers point out a rise in violence against Muslims since Narendra Modi came to power.

This phenomenon may shed some light on why abuse of children with disabilities is so common.

If adults take their cues from their national leaders, children take theirs from the adults in their lives. If children grow up imbibing a culture of hostility towards those who are different from them and taught through example that it is acceptable to humiliate, taunt and beat those who are vulnerable, when the opportunity to do so arises, why would they turn away?

How is it that the people abuse people with disabilities and find it acceptable to isolate a child who has difficulties? Because they themselves were physically beaten by adults or witnessed beatings by adults in their school or home environments.

Kids view the world with wonder, with clean slates and open minds. They are watching us all the time and they aren’t fooled by what we say: they judge based on what we do. Are we teaching them that it’s okay – even good – to isolate a child who has difficulties, to gang up on him and to hit him when he is down?

In the case of our new neighbour Sarthak, amazingly, even the grown-ups have climbed on board. They have watched their children accept him and they seem to realise now that Sarthak is just a child like any other, even like their own. I have seen neighbours call out to greet him when he goes up to the terrace and to smile with true empathy at his grandmother when she takes him out for a walk.

Our decision to work through the children was based on science, experience and intuition. I hope that in Coimbatore, New Delhi, Nagpur and Kashmir, others will also give the child-to-child approach a try.

From my experience, I believe that when we work with kids, we have a much better chance of succeeding. Children are problem-solvers by nature. They have not yet given up on the human race and they still have the energy and the drive to do what needs to be done. While adults make it complex, kids keep it simple.

Sarthak’s problems aren’t over and with love, determination and special training (developmental pediatrician Vibha Krishnamurthy calls it “Dil, Will and Skill”), we will continue to support him.

But when we win, and one day – I swear – we will, it will be because of other kids. It will be because of other kids who were taught that not fitting in is okay, that being different is not a death sentence and that it takes all kinds to make a world.

Indian Economy Grows 7.7% in March Quarter

A faster pace of growth in manufacturing, at 9.1% compared with 6.1% a year ago, helped lift overall economic growth, alongside higher investments.

New Delhi: The Indian economy grew 7.7%  during the period from January to March, topping the pace of the previous quarter for India to retain its position as the fastest growing major economy.

India surpassed China’s growth of 6.8% in the January to March quarter.

Growth for Asia’s third-largest economy, reported by the Ministry of Statistics, trumped forecasts in a Reuters poll for annual growth of 7.3 percent.

The ministry revised the October-December annual pace to 7.0% from the provisional 7.2% it reported earlier.

For the fiscal year that ended March 31, the ministry reported growth of 6.7%, down from 7.1% for a year earlier.

A faster pace of growth in manufacturing, at 9.1% compared with 6.1% a year ago, helped lift overall economic growth, alongside higher investments.

Thursday’s data is likely to be a welcomed by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who is set to seek a second term next year.

To help businesses tide over multiple taxation, his government launched a nation-wide goods and services tax but a botched implementation of the GST nearly scuttled India’s growth prospects in the near term.

“Seems like we have moved beyond the teething troubles related to GST implementation,” said Tushar Arora, a senior economist at HDFC Bank. “The pick-up in investment activity is also a good sign.”

The faster pace of growth in the latest quarter might also strengthen expectations for a rate hike by the Indian central bank when it reviews monetary policy next week.About 40 percent of economists polled by Reuters expected a rate hike next week, driven by a higher inflation figure of 4.58%  in April, above the Reserve Bank of India’s target of 4 percent for the sixth month in a row.

Fiscal deficit

India’s fiscal deficit in the year ended March 2018 came in at 3.53% of gross domestic product, in line with the revised estimates, government data showed on Thursday.

India revised its fiscal deficit target in February to 3.5% of GDP from 3.2% of GDP for the 2017/18 fiscal year. For the current fiscal year, the government estimates to trim the deficit to 3.3 percent of GDP.

The shortfall for the 2017/18 fiscal year was 5.9 trillion rupees ($87.53 billion), the data showed.

New Delhi got 12.4 trillion rupees in net tax receipts during the fiscal year.

Are You Paying Enough for Your Food?

Cheap food often comes with an enormously expensive cost to human and planetary health. To feed 10 billion people by 2050, we need to start thinking of food production, health care, and climate change as interconnected.

New Orleans, United StatesMany factors contribute to the cost of a tomato. For example, what inputs were used (water, soil, fertiliser, pesticides, as well as machinery and/or labour) to grow it? What kind of energy and materials were used to process and package it? Or how much did transportation cost to get it to the shelf?

But that price doesn’t always reflect how the plant was grown – overuse and misuse of antibiotics, water pollution from pesticide runoff, or whether or not farm workers harvesting the tomatoes were paid a fair wage. It turns out cheap food often comes with an enormously expensive cost to human and planetary health.

Agricultural production, from clearing forests to producing fertiliser to packaging foods, contributes 43 to 57 % of global greenhouse gas emissions (GHG). And almost 40 % of all food that is produced is lost or wasted. As that food decomposes in landfills, it releases methane, which is 25-times more potent of a GHG than carbon dioxide – in fact, landfills are the third-largest source of human-related methane emissions in the US.

Often, today’s food systems are incentivised to favour low-cost, processed foods. Corporations and large-scale producers are often subsidised to grow select staple crops, which are typically grown in monocultures using practices that strip soils of nutrients. And it’s becoming increasingly clear that poor diets have produced a global public health crisis.

Six of the top eleven risk factors driving disease worldwide are diet-related, and the World Health Organization estimates the global direct costs of diabetes to be more than $827 billion per year.

To feed 10 billion people by 2050, we need to start thinking of food production, health care, and climate change as interconnected. As the world’s population grows, so does the need for more resilient food and agricultural systems that address human need while minimising environmental damage and further biodiversity loss.

In a recent report by The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity for Agriculture & Food (TEEBAgriFood), a new framework was developed to look at all the impacts of the value chain, from farm to fork to disposal. The framework hopes to give policymakers, researchers, and citizens more reliable information on the real and unaccounted for costs of our whole food system – not just parts of it.

This type of systems thinking supports a shift away from measuring the success of food production by metrics like yield per hectare, which fails to provide a complete picture of the true, often invisible costs of the entire system.

Changemakers across the globe are rising to this challenge and bringing sustainable and regenerative practices into the farming of the future. Recognising that farming is in a period of transition, they are helping build a system that increases food production to meet a growing population while reducing harm on the environment and feeding those in need.

It’s now easier than ever to access resources and learn how our everyday decisions impact not just ourselves, but our environment and public health. The Barilla Centre for Food & Nutrition developing the Double Pyramid to help people make food choices which are both healthy for people and sustainable for the planet. And recognising carbon footprints and water footprints allow individuals to better understand how deeply intertwined the food system and climate change are.

No one person or organisation will be able to fix this food system. Businesses, policymakers, farmers, and, of course, eaters have a responsibility to help protect natural resources, improve social equity, and create a more sustainable food system through more informed decisions and responsible consumption.

Danielle Nierenberg is Founder and President of Food Tank. Emily Payne is a food and agriculture writer based in New York

This article was originally published on Inter Press ServiceRead the original article.

Air India Sale Ends in a Flop Show, Not a Single Bidder Shows up

Earlier this month, the Centre had extended the expression of interest deadline to May 31 from May 14, proposing to offload 76% equity share capital of the national carrier as well as transfer management control to private players.

New Delhi: In a major setback to the Air India disinvestment process, the government said no initial bids were received for the proposed strategic stake sale of the debt-laden airlines. The deadline for submission of Expression of Interest (EoI) ended on Thursday.

“As informed by the Transaction Adviser, no response has been received for the Expression of Interest floated for the strategic disinvestment of Air India,” the Civil Aviation Ministry said in a tweet. EY is the transaction adviser for the process.

“Further course of action will be decided appropriately,” it added.

 

The government has proposed to offload 76% equity share capital of the national carrier as well as transfer the management control to private players, as per the preliminary information memorandum.

The transaction would involve Air India, its low-cost arm Air India Express and Air India SATS Airport Services Pvt Ltd. The latter is an equal joint venture between the national carrier and Singapore-based SATS Ltd.

Earlier this month, the government had extended the EoI submission deadline to May 31 from the previous date of May 14. The qualified interested bidders were to be intimated on June 15.

As per the earlier schedule, the details of qualified interested bidders would have been known on May 28.

The government would retain 24% stake in the national carrier, the winning bidder would be required to stay invested in the airline for at least three years, as per the memorandum, issued on March 28.

The ailing airline’s total debt stood at over Rs 48,000 crore at the end of March 2017.

In April, both IndiGo and Jet Airways had said that they would not be participating in the Air India disinvestment process. IndiGo was the first to evince interest in Air India disinvestment when the government had mooted the plan last year.

In the Union Budget, the government had announced a disinvestment target of Rs 80,000 crore for 2018-19 by divesting its stake in publci secor undertakings, and had also suggested that the figure for the current fiscal may cross the Rs 1 lakh crore mark.

How Anti-BJP Sentiment Comprehensively Won CPI(M) the Kerala By-Poll

In Kerala’s Chengannur assembly by-election, ruling CPI(M)-led LDF’s Saji Cherian beat his nearest Congress rival by a huge margin of 20,956 votes.

It was a consolidation of votes against the BJP that led to victory for Saji Cherian, the Left Democratic Front (LDF) candidate, in Kerala’s Chengannur by-poll, say analysts. 

“The poll results prove that Kerala doesn’t want the BJP to win even one more seat in the state. They were afraid that a victory for BJP candidate P. Sreedharan Pillai would disturb the state’s communal fabric. The Left Front also succeeded in convincing the voters of the same while campaigning,” N.M. Pearson, a political observer in the southern state, told The Wire.

Currently, the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) has only one MLA in Kerala, which is the last Left-ruled state in India following the fall of Tripura in March 2018.

Pearson also added that the results have made it clear that the Bharat Dharma Jana Sena (BDJS), a political party that is allied with the NDA, ditched the BJP candidate. The BDJS is led by Thushar Vellappally, son of Vellapally Natesan, the general secretary of the Sree Narayana Dharma Paripalana (SNDP) Yogam, a social organisation in the state which is influential among voters in Chengannnur.

Saji Cherian. Credit: PTI

“As the BDJS was not on good terms with BJP’s Delhi and Kerala leadership, they left the BJP candidate stranded. Even though they have not given a public call to not vote for the BJP, it seems that some discreet plans were worked out, which led to the embarrassing defeat of the BJP candidate,” Pearson said.

Cherian, Kerala’s ruling Communist Party of India (Marxist)-led candidate, won the Chengannur assembly by-poll with a record margin of over 20,956 votes, defeating Congress candidate D. Vijayakumar, who bagged 46,347 votes. The BJP, which was hoping to make inroads in the state, was pushed to the third position with 35,270 votes, some 7,000 votes fewer than what they got in the previous poll.

Around 200,000 voters voted in the by-poll – the voting percentage stood at 74.6% – polling for which was held on May 28. The by-poll was called for after the death of CPI(M) MLA K.K. Ramachandran Nair, who won in 2016 with 52,880 votes.

At that time, the Congress-led United Democratic Front candidate P.C. Vishnunath had come second with 44,897 votes. The BJP’s Sreedharan Pillai had finished a close third with 42,682 votes.

Joseph C. Mathew, another political observer, said that the politicians in the state saw BJP as a threat last time and came together to stop the party from sweeping up the seat.  

“It seems that this time they voted for the winnable Leftist candidate. Moreover, the Left candidate had better charisma than the Congress candidate,” Joseph said.

Even while congratulating the LDF for its victory, Joseph feared that this victory would give a shot in arm for the Left to go ahead with its policies, which are under fire from the opposition, public and media.

Pinarayi Vijayan, the chief minister of Kerala, has drawn a lot of flak recently for his ‘failure’ in controlling police, while political killings and custodial deaths continue to make news in the state.

Meanwhile, reacting to the by-poll results, Vijayan said that the victory is a proclamation of the public support the Left government’s policies enjoy, he said, taking the opportunity to sharply criticise the media for engaging in ”false campaigns”.

“The LDF victory in the Chengannur assembly by-election has proved that the people are the ultimate judges,” Pinarayi Vijayan said.

Meanwhile, Shajar Khan from Socialist Unity Centre for India (Communist) said that the Left front has been successful in consolidating all anti-BJP forces for the benefit of their candidate.

“By mid-May, it was clear that the Left had been successful in convincing church-going and Muslims groups that the BJP winning the election would be a threat for them. The groups fell prey to the Left and voted for them. Or else, Saji would not have gotten this huge victory. This is not a political victory. This is a victory where minority communal groups have played a vital role,” Shajar Khan said.

According to the 2011 Census, around 62% of Hindus, 38% Christians and 0.45% Muslims make up the population of the constituency.

Meanwhile, Aam Admi Party state convenor C.R. Neelakantan said that the state used government machinery to help Cherian win the poll.

“All the ministers were touring the constituency and additionally, the party played the communal card too,” AAP leader said.

AAP had fielded its candidate for the first time in Kerala, and got only around 400 votes.

Kodiyeri Balakrishnan, state secretary of the CPI(M), has called the victory an endorsement of the pro-people policies of the LDF government. He said that the Congress had adopted a ‘soft secularism’ stand against the BJP, which had backfired.

A disappointed Congress, which leads the UDF, said that they did not expect the results to go this way. “The verdict is not as expected,” former chief minister and Congress leader Oommen Chandy said.

“We don’t think that the existing political issues and the situation in the state were discussed or subjected to evaluation in the election. But what was projected was communalism. We will examine the result and will strengthen our fight against the government,” opposition leader Chennithala said.

Rejimon K. is a Panos Fellow journalist and a migrant rights activist for the last one decade with Migrant Forum in Asia. He is currently an India-Arab Gulf Senior Investigator at Equidem, which probes workers rights all over the world. He is also a fellowship advisor for Ethical Journalism Network and a media resource person for International Labour Organisation.