NASA Calls Off Launch of New Moon Rocket After Engine Problem

The next launch attempt will not take place until Friday at the earliest and could be delayed until mid-September or later.

Cape Canaveral (US): NASA called off the launch of its mighty new moon rocket on its debut flight with three test dummies aboard Monday after a last-minute cascade of problems culminating in unexplained trouble related to an engine.

The next launch attempt will not take place until Friday at the earliest and could be delayed until mid-September or later.

The mission will be the first flight in NASA’s Artemis project, a quest to put astronauts back on the moon for the first time since the Apollo programme ended 50 years ago.

As precious minutes ticked away Monday morning, NASA repeatedly stopped and started the fuelling of the Space Launch System rocket because of a leak of highly explosive hydrogen, eventually succeeding in reducing the seepage. The leak happened in the same place that saw seepage during a dress rehearsal in the spring.

The fuelling already was running nearly an hour late because of thunderstorms off Florida’s Kennedy Space Centre.

Then, NASA ran into new trouble when it was unable to properly chill one of the rocket’s four main engines, officials said. Engineers struggled to pinpoint the source of the problem well after the launch postponement was announced.

Mission manager Mike Sarafin said the fault did not appear to be with the engine itself but with the plumbing leading to it.

Complicating matters, as engineers were trying to troubleshoot that problem on the launch pad, yet another hydrogen leak developed, this one involving a vent valve higher up on the rocket, Sarafin said.

This is a very complicated machine, a very complicated system, and all those things have to work, and you don’t want to light the candle until it’s ready to go,” said NASA Administrator Bill Nelson.

Referring to launch delays, he said: It’s just part of the space business and it’s part of, particularly, a test flight.

The rocket was set to lift off on a flight to propel a crew capsule into orbit around the moon. The six-week mission was scheduled to end with the capsule returning to Earth in a splashdown in the Pacific in October.

The 322-foot (98-metre) spaceship is the most powerful rocket ever built by NASA, out-muscling even the Saturn V that took the Apollo astronauts to the moon.

The dummies inside the Orion capsule were fitted with sensors to measure vibration, cosmic radiation and other conditions during the shakedown flight, meant to stress-test the spacecraft and push it to its limits in ways that would never be attempted if humans were aboard.

Asked about the possibility of another launch attempt on Friday, Sarafin said, We really need time to look at all the information, all the data. We’re going to play all nine innings here.

Even though no one was on board, thousands of people jammed the coast to see the rocket soar. Vice President Kamala Harris and Apollo 10 astronaut Tom Stafford were among the VIPs who arrived.

Assuming the shakedown flight goes well, astronauts will climb aboard for the second Artemis mission and fly around the moon and back as soon as 2024. A two-person lunar landing could follow by the end of 2025.

The problems seen Monday were reminiscent of NASA’s space shuttle era, when hydrogen fuel leaks disrupted countdowns and delayed a string of launches back in 1990.

Later in the morning, NASA also officials spotted what they feared was a crack or some other defect on the core stage the big orange fuel tank with four main engines on it but they later said it appeared to be just a buildup of frost in a crevice of the insulating foam.

Launch director Charlie Blackwell-Thompson and her team also had to deal with sluggish communication between the Orion capsule and launch control. The problem required what turned out to be a simple fix.

Even if there had been no technical snags, thunderstorms ultimately would have prevented a liftoff, NASA said. Dark clouds and rain gathered over the launch site as soon as the countdown was halted, and thunder echoed across the coast.

(AP)

ISRO’s New Commercial Arm Invites Private Sector to Make PSLV Rockets

NewSpace India has said that an Indian industry consortium will be responsible for end-to-end realisation of the solid and liquid fuel-powered stages and engines of the PSLV.

Chennai: The Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO)’s commercial arm NewSpace India Ltd has called for Expressions of Interest (EoI) from the domestic private sector to make five Polar Satellite Launch Vehicles (PSLV) rockets.

NewSpace India said that an Indian industry consortium will be responsible for end-to-end realisation of the solid and liquid fuel-powered stages/engines of the rocket/PSLV.

A pre-EoI conference is scheduled at the ISRO headquarters in Bengaluru on August 26, while interested parties have to submit their EoI queries on or before August 21.

PSLV is ISRO’s workhorse. It places satellites into Low Earth Orbit and has is capable of carrying multiple satellites and putting them into different orbits.

As on date, PSLV has, in addition to launching several national satellites, launched 297 international customer satellites belonging to 33 countries.

Also read | ISRO’s New Space Company Gets Its First Order

Upon successful and satisfactory completion of realisation of the first lot of five PSLVs, NewSpace India will enhance the scope for realisation of PSLV’s to 12 numbers per annum, under a separate contract.

The private industry will use ISRO’s existing supply chain.

After 2021, PSLV will be manufactured only by companies. A consortium of L&T and HAL will be the prime contractors. The rest of the ecosystem plays under them.

ISRO will no longer procure various parts from 200-plus suppliers and assemble the vehicle. That job will now be entrusted to these two of these companies with help from other current eco partners.

All solids and interstages in future would stay with L&T. The liquid along with tankages would be with HAL. Godrej will become a tier-I supplier to HAL, while Walchand will become tier-I supplier to L&T.

The first launch of PSLV completely built by industries is planned in 2021.

By arrangement with Business Standard.

ISRO’s New Space Company Gets Its First Order

American firm Spaceflight has bought a payload slot on the first commercial launch of ISRO’s newest rocket – Small Satellite Launch Vehicle.

New Delhi: The New Space India Limited (NSIL), the newly established commercial subsidiary of the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO), has got its first customer – an American space rideshare company, Spaceflight.

The American firm has bought a payload slot on the first commercial launch of ISRO’s newest rocket – Small Satellite Launch Vehicle (SSLV). The first flight of SSLV is slated to take place from the Satish Dhawan Space Centre later this year.

The SSLV is designed to inject small satellites weighing up to 500 kg in low earth orbits, and NSIL has been tasked with the production of the rocket in collaboration with private players. The first SSLV mission will deploy commercial spacecraft in two different orbital planes.

The induction of SSLV is likely to boost the launch capacity of the space agency in the small satellite category. The Polar Satellite Launch Vehicle is capable of launching satellites in 1100-1600 kg class into Sun Synchronous Orbit.

“SSLV is perfectly suited for launching multiple microsatellites at a time and supports multiple orbital drop-offs. It is designed for the launch-on-demand concept with very quick turn-around capability in between launches,” Curt Blake, CEO and president of Spaceflight, said in a press release. “We are very excited to work with NSIL to offer customers the option to launch from SSLV, hence our purchase of its first available launch.”

Also read: In a First, Private Chinese Company Puts Satellites in Orbit

Spaceflight is a rideshare company that provides launch and mission services to its customers using rockets of different agencies.  It has executed nine missions with ISRO, sending over 100 spacecraft to orbits aboard its launch vehicles. In April this year, ISRO launched 21 satellites for Spaceflight in its PSLV C-45 mission. These included 20 Flock-4a satellites from the constellation called Planet and Astrocast-02 3U CubeSat from Switzerland-based Astrocast.

“We are taking advantage of the growth in the small satellite market to deliver more launch options with the mini-launcher,” Radhakrishnan D., Director of NSIL, was quoted as saying in the release.

NSIL is ISRO’s second commercial arm after Antrix Corporation.

Dinesh C. Sharma writes at India Science Wire and tweets @dineshcsharma.

Did You Know? On Average, Mercury Is Earth’s Closest Neighbour.

Trying to improve stargazing and space-journeying are lofty goals but we often forget that pursuing and celebrating curiosities are valuable, too.

Which planet is closest to Earth? Common sense suggests it’s Venus or Mars, and common sense would be right. However, technically speaking, this isn’t entirely true. At different points in their respective orbits, Earth, Venus and Mars are at different distances from each other. Out of curiosity, if these variations in distance were factored in, which planet would be closest?

The answer is weird: it’s Mercury.

Point-circle method (PCM) is a technique that averages the distance between every point on a planet’s orbit and every point on the second planet’s orbit. Using this, three researchers found that Venus is on average is 1.14 astronomical units (AU) away from Earth and Mercury is 1.04 AU away.

The researchers figured that for any two bodies in the same plane and moving in concentric orbits, the average distance between the two bodies is directly proportional to the radius of the inner orbit.

To validate this corollary, they plotted the planets in their actual elliptical orbits in 3D and ran a simulation for 10,000 years. The simulation recorded the distances between each pair of planets every 24 simulation hours.

The average measured distances deviated from the results from PCM by less than 1% – so their calculation was right. On average, Mercury is Earth’s closest neighbour.

To be completely honest, this isn’t entirely useful information. The researchers’ finding doesn’t change how astronomers and spaceflight planners work. In fact, it could even be a case of ‘data torture’: analysing a large dataset in multiple ways and finding one interesting result – the statistical equivalent of a broken clock being right twice a day.

One astrophysicist told The Wire, “Any physical quantity is interesting to the degree to which it determines the solution of interesting questions. For planetary dynamics, some of the interesting questions are about the evolution of the orbits of the planets, satellites, asteroids, comets and other minor bodies. The physical quantities of interest are the Keplerian orbital elements, whose long-time evolution is in general difficult to calculate.”

In this picture, the “average distance” the researchers have calculated – the astrophysicist said – might not be worthwhile. “Further discussion on this topic may enliven casual conversation but writing more about it could be, in my opinion, a waste of time.”

These are sobering words. However, the researchers’ article does have one very important redeeming quality. Trying to improve stargazing and space-journeying are lofty goals but we often forget that pursuing and celebrating curiosities are valuable, too. So knowing that Mercury is in a certain way closer to Earth is – to name that quality – wow. And wow needn’t be a waste of time.

Pratik Pawar is a science writer and a recipient of the S. Ramaseshan science writing fellowship.

Israel’s First Lunar Lander Launched Into Space From Florida

Beresheet would mark the first non-government lunar landing.

Cape Canaveral: A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket blasted off from Florida on Thursday night, carrying Israel’s first lunar lander on a mission that if successful, will make the Jewish state only the fourth nation to achieve a controlled touchdown on the moon’s surface.

The unmanned robotic lander dubbed Beresheet – Hebrew for the biblical phrase ‘in the beginning’ – soared into space from the Cape Canaveral Air Force Station at about 8:45 pm EST (0145 GMT Friday) atop the 23-story-tall rocket.

Beresheet, about the size of a dish-washing machine, was one of three sets of cargo carried aloft by the Falcon 9, part of the private rocket fleet of billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk’s California-based company SpaceX.

The rocket’s two other payloads were a telecommunications satellite for Indonesia and an experimental satellite for the US Air Force.

Beresheet was jettisoned into Earth orbit about 34 minutes after launch, followed 15 minutes later by the release of the two satellites, according to a SpaceX webcast of the event.

In addition to a textbook launch and payload deployments, SpaceX scored yet another success in its pioneering technology for recycling its own rockets.

Also read: Cotton Seed Germinates on China’s Moon Probe, Becomes First Off-World Plant

Just minutes after blastoff, the Falcon 9’s nine-engine suborbital main-stage booster separated from the upper stage, flew back to Earth and landed safely on a drone ship floating in the Atlantic Ocean more than 300 miles (483 km) off the Florida coast.

As seen from the launch site, the distant glow of the returning booster rocket was visible in the sky just as the moon appeared over the horizon. The spectacle drew cheers from mission control engineers.

The encouraging moment came on the eve of a key hurdle for SpaceX to clear in the company’s quest to help the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) revive its human spaceflight programme.

On Friday, NASA is expected to decide whether to give its final go-ahead to SpaceX for a first, unmanned test flight on March 2 of a new capsule the company designed for carrying astronauts to and from the International Space Station.

From Earth to the moon

Beresheet is slated to reach its destination on the near-side of the moon in mid-April following a two-month journey through 4 million miles (6.5 million km) of space.

A flight path directly from Earth to the moon would cover roughly 240,000 miles (386,242 km), but Beresheet will follow a more circuitous route.

If all goes according to plan, the spacecraft’s gradually widening Earth orbit will eventually bring the probe within the moon’s gravitational pull, setting the stage for a series of additional manoeuvres leading to an automated touchdown.

So far, only three other nations have carried out controlled ‘soft’ landings on the moon – the US, the former Soviet Union and China.

Also read: ISRO Is Working on Two Competing Reusable Launcher Designs

Spacecraft from several countries, including India’s Moon Impact Probe, Japan’s SELENE orbiter and a European Space Agency orbital probe called SMART 1, have intentionally crashed on the lunar surface.

The US Apollo programme tallied six manned missions to the moon – the only ones yet achieved – between 1969 and 1972, with about a dozen more robotic landings combined by the Americans and Soviets. China made history in January with its Chang’e 4, the first to touch down on the dark side of the moon.

Beresheet would mark the first non-government lunar landing. The 1,290-pound (585-kg) spacecraft was built by Israeli nonprofit space venture SpaceIL and state-owned defence contractor Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) with $100 million furnished almost entirely by private donors.

Beresheet is designed to spend just two to three days using on-board instruments to photograph its landing site and measure the moon’s magnetic field. Data will be relayed via the US space agency NASA’s Deep Space Network to SpaceIL’s Israel-based ground station Yehud.

At the end of its brief mission, mission controllers plan to simply shut down the spacecraft, according to SpaceIL officials, leaving Beresheet as the latest piece of human hardware to litter the lunar landscape.

(Reuters)

Space Subjects That Will Get the World’s Attention in 2019 and Beyond

The space industry and global interest in all matters inter-planetary is growing.

The first few days of 2019 brought remarkable news from outer space. On January 1 NASA’s New Horizons space probe made the most distant planetary flyby ever, and captured images of a small object 4 billion miles away from earth. The following day, China landed its Chang’e 4 rover, named Jade Rabbit 2, on the far side of the moon – another first.

This suggests that 2019 will be a big year for all things related to space; a suggestion borne out by developments at the International Astronautical Federation’s International Astronautical Congress which I attended. The event is held each year during the first week of October to commemorate the launch of Sputnik on October 4, 1957, which started the space age.

The 2018 congress was held in Bremen, Germany, and attended by the world’s space agencies, private space companies, engineers, and spaceflight fans. In the past decade, a number of interesting trends have emerged at this congress.

Also read: The Major Indian and International Space Missions to Look Out for in 2019

These include which countries are emerging as space powers; what topics get people talking; and what concerns experts have about humanity’s ongoing attempts to become a “multi-planet species” that can live on other planets.

Here are the space subjects that are likely to capture the world’s attention in the coming years.

Wider reach, new players

First, it’s clear from attendance figures at the congress that the space industry and countries’ interest in all matters inter-planetary is growing. About 2000 people attended the 2011 congress in Cape Town, South Africa; there were more than 6,000 delegates at the 2018 event.

Second, the proportion of delegates and presenters who are women has increased significantly. Women now comprise about one-fifth of all who attend, reflecting their breakthrough into the engineering disciplines.

Third, Chinese researchers are prominent in their numbers compared to a decade ago. These are not only from China’s national space agency. They also come from private Chinese space companies that are offering to launch satellites. The Chang’e launch and landing is an indication, too, that China is now among the leading space powers.

Long March-7 rocket carrying Tianzhou-1 cargo spacecraft lifts off from the launching pad in Wenchang, Hainan province, China, April 20, 2017. Credit: China Daily/via Reuters

Interestingly, the United Arab Emirates’ space agency’s 2018 exhibition stand was bigger than that of the USA’s NASA. This suggests that oil-rich Middle Eastern states today show space growth and interest.

Hot topics

There were a number of hot topics up for discussion at the congress. These included space tourism – panels on the subject were well attended. Part of the attraction is probably simply that Elon Musk is an expert at grabbing headlines. His company website includes paintings of a future Martian town. But he’s not the only one pushing for humans to travel in space; Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin is also a major player.

Blue Origin’s New Shepard lifts off during a test in Van Horn, Texas, in an undated photo. Credit: Blue Origin/Handout via Reuters

Musk takes things a step further by suggesting that humans will, in the next decades, start living on other planets. He advocates that, at 26 month intervals, 100 000 people should emigrate to Mars and construct pressurised towns on that planet.

His hope is that they will fly to Mars on SpaceX’s proposed Big Falcon Rocket. Building a fleet of such rockets will certainly provide plenty of business for his company. It won’t be cheap transport: Musk plans to offer tickets at around US$200 000 each.

Another perennial topic, astrobiology – finding life on another planet – was also on the agenda. This idea comes with many potential pitfalls. Contamination is among them.

All space agencies adhere to the international protocols against “forward contamination”. That is, inadvertently spreading earth germs to another planet or moon. This would prevent subsequent explorers from knowing if the presence of earth bacteria was due to contamination, or if earth’s bacteria are naturally spread through the solar system as suggested by a theory called panspermia.

The reverse problem is “backward contamination”: inadvertently returning to earth carrying some extra-terrestrial microbes. We would have no natural antibodies or resistance to defend ourselves from even fatal illnesses. The fate of entire Khoikhoi clans who were wiped out by smallpox infections, to which they had no natural resistance, is merely one historical example warning us, out of many.

Also read: China ‘Lifts Mysterious Veil’ by Landing Probe on Dark Side of the Moon

Astrobiology discussions threw up another topic that’s engaged intellectuals and science fiction writers for over a century: finding intelligent life on another planet or moon.

The International Institute of Space Law and the International Academy for Astronautics have already proposed a set of protocols to guide our responses after the detection of extra-terrestrial intelligent life but, so far, no state has passed those into law.

Space junk and asteroids

“Planetary protection” was also a big issue. That is, how can we protect the Earth from another hit by an asteroid such as the one which led to the extinction of the dinosaurs? Proposed solutions range from knocking an earth-bound asteroid off-course by a nuclear explosion, to nudging it away by utilising long-term thrust forces.

And there is growing concern over space debris: the thousands of fragments of spacecraft, rockets, and defunct satellites orbiting around us. Due to their high speeds – up to eight kilometres per second – a piece of debris the size of a bullet would have more than the impact of a grenade.

This has led to calls for space traffic management, modelled on current air traffic management. Already the International Space station, and some other satellites, carry the propellants needed to enable them to take evasive manoeuvres whenever needed to avoid head-on collisions with some other orbiting object.

Keith Gottschalk, Political Scientist, University of the Western Cape

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

Spaceport America: New Mexico’s Protracted Hope for a Revived Economy

Just over a decade ago, Spaceport America promised great things to two of New Mexico’s poorest counties. Today, that promise remains unfulfilled.

The sun-bleached stretch of the New Mexico desert known as the Jornada del Muerto – the journey of the dead man – is an unlikely spot for Earth’s premier portal to another world. Yet this high desert outpost, with its empty horizon and indifferent cows grazing in the distance, is where you’ll find the two-mile long, three-and-a-half-foot deep concrete runway of Spaceport America, the first facility built as a hub for leisure travel to outer space.

Just over a decade ago, Spaceport America promised great things to the citizens of two of New Mexico’s poorest counties. So great, in fact, that residents voted in a tax hike to build and maintain it near the tiny town of Truth or Consequences (T or C). But the massive station has been an economic failure, tied to a stop-and-start commercial space industry that has failed to generate the tourism that residents were promised would help foot the bill. Perhaps more eerily, the spaceport itself has become a giant ghost town – a singular evocation of what happens when high hopes bump up against constraining realities.

In these expanses of empty New Mexico desert, people have long been looking to the stars. The state is home to the federally-sponsored Very Large Array, a radio astronomy observatory mapping outer space; the New Mexico Museum of Space History, east of the Trinity Site where the first atomic bomb was tested in 1945; and Roswell, the infamous town where an alleged UFO crashed in 1947.

But the desert is a tough place to build a revolution. Resources are scarce – not only water but also an educated work force, profitable employment, and infrastructure.

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Spaceport America was supposed to change all that. In 2007, New Mexico’s then-governor Bill Richardson promised that the project would yield 5,000 new jobs, and up to $1 billion in new revenue. In hopes of a revived economy, residents of Sierra and Doña Ana counties voted in a 0.25 percent gross receipts tax to build and maintain the spaceport, which sits on 18,000 acres of public trust land near the restricted airspace of White Sands Missile Range. The loftily named Spaceport America was largely built for preeminent tenant Virgin Galactic, the space tourism venture spearheaded by oddball business figure Richard Branson, whose fortunes rose with Virgin Records, which eventually turned into Virgin Group, a multinational power player with reach in many industries. Spaceport America – Virgin Galactic’s intended primary launch point – is situated between T or C (population at last count: 6,023) and Las Cruces, the state’s second largest city.

Penny and Joe McClarin have made their home in Las Cruces for 35 years, carving out a happy middle-class life near the foothills of the Organ Mountains. They voted in 2007 to fund the spaceport.

“We were excited when they brought it up and suggested a tax,” Joe said. But for all their high hopes, they admit they have seen little change in Las Cruces and the outlying area in the 11 years since, and the spaceport has largely fallen out of public discourse. The county has other problems. “The roads are terrible here,” Joe told me. “The schools are some of the lowest ranking in the whole country.” Penny added that infrastructure, particularly in the county’s more far flung areas, is an issue, with many remote areas still lacking access to internet. “The way it is right now,” Joe concluded, the spaceport is “just a big money pit.” By early 2018, New Mexicans had already invested more than $200 million in the spaceport, and in March, governor Susana Martinez approved a budget that included another $10 million.

In February, I joined a small tour group of about a dozen people – each of us shelling out $50 – to get a more intimate view of Spaceport America. We took a passenger van about 45 minutes from T or C to a remote basin 20 miles southeast. As we crossed the massive Elephant Butte Dam and the trickling Cuchillo Negro Creek, we expected we would end up at a thriving technological hub. But when we emerged from the van and peered into the sloping glass window of the Virgin Galactic headquarters, we saw no evidence of activity there, or any presence of the 32 employees who work for Virgin Galactic at their Las Cruces offices. A few potted plants sat marooned in the narrow front rooms overlooking the runway, flecks of masking tape still clinging to the carpet. Could this possibly be the point of origin for the new dawn of space travel?

The tour, which runs every weekend in partnership with Final Frontier Tours, is spearheaded by Curtis Rosemond, who was our guide that day. It is one of several ways the spaceport has diversified its streams of revenue; another is hosting private research companies like EXOS and UP aerospace firms (though in terms of launches, their work doesn’t add up to much – there were a little more than a dozen in 2017, which was the busiest year on record). As our group, mostly in the over-50 age bracket, lingered by the Virgin Galactic headquarters, Curtis told us how, in October 2011, a jubilant Richard Branson officially opened the office for business by rappelling down the building’s glass wall while hoisting a bottle of champagne. But the celebration was not just weird; it was also a bit premature.

Three years after Branson’s stunt, in October 2014, the company’s test run of its flagship vehicle, SpaceShipTwo, ended tragically with the death of the craft’s co-pilot, Michael Alsbury. A nine-month investigation revealed that the cause of the crash was both human error and insufficient safety protocol. Since that time, progress on Virgin Galactic’s work at Spaceport America has been glacial in pace.

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From left to right, Virgin Galactic founder and owner Sir Richard Branson and New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson strike a pose for continued solidarity and success at the dedication Ceremony of Spaceport America. Credit: USAG Fort Bliss/Flickr, CC BY 2.0

The rise and fall of technological innovation in this part of the country has happened before. In 2000, Eclipse Aviation, a private jet company that originated in Arizona, moved to New Mexico when the state and the city of Albuquerque offered incentives to relocate. It looked like the private aviation industry was set to boom – but in 2009, Eclipse Aviation declared bankruptcy. The whole enterprise is now considered a massive financial failure and, according to some, a possible harbinger of what might happen with Spaceport America.

For a “poor state with a poor track record of picking winners and losers,” Spaceport America was a huge gamble for many reasons, said Paul Gessing, president of the Rio Grande Foundation, a public policy research organization headquartered in Albuquerque. “We don’t know what the future of the commercial space industry is.” Gessing went on to question how deep this market is, stating “The reliance on somewhat unproven technology is critical.”

“There are just so many unknowns,” he added.

Among the unknowns, Gessing said, is psychology – the human creation of collective optimism. Hope is “a big part of the spaceport,” he said, especially in an economically challenged area like Las Cruces, where 24.4 percent of the population lives in poverty. Without the spaceport, predictions for job growth and economic development in the area, according to experts at the University of Texas El Paso’s Border Region Modeling Project, are bleak. The spaceport, Gessing said, “is a total Hail Mary.”

Commercial space flight will undoubtedly succeed someday. With NASA’s shuttle program eliminated and an increasing reliance on private companies to service the space program, there is plenty of room for commercial ventures to fill the gap and snatch up business, driving the industry forward. A Bank of America Merrill Lynch study in 2017 predicted that the space industry will be worth at least $2.7 trillion in 30 years. While predictions from Morgan Stanley came out at a lower $1.1 trillion by 2040, the Federal Aviation Administration nonetheless projects initial growth in the commercial sector within the next decade. And other states have been getting on the bandwagon with arguably more success than New Mexico has had. While Spaceport America has languished, California, Virginia, Florida, Oklahoma, Texas, and Alaska all have continued to build spaceport facilities licensed to host commercial space flights. Some of these are also publicly funded, but others will be owned and operated by the businesses themselves. The site currently under construction outside Brownsville, Texas, for instance, is being built privately by SpaceX, the brainchild of technology innovator Elon Musk.

For the time being, most of the major players in the industry use multiple spaceports. SpaceX has a small contract at Spaceport America, while Virgin Galactic primarily does its flight testing at the Mojave Air & Spaceport in Mojave, California.

Despite these pockets of activity, though, things at Spaceport America have generally been grim. In 2015, New Mexico State senator George K. Muñoz proposed legislation to sell the spaceport, directing the Spaceport Authority to develop a marketing plan and maintain the facility until a sale was finalized. The bill ultimately failed in the state legislature.

In recent years, the spaceport has been the site of production for sci-fi films like “After Earth” and “The Space Between Us,” and was even the set for a few Nike commercials. Despite these creative uses, the facility hasn’t quite made its existence worthwhile. As Gessing pointed out, another nationwide recession, or a dip in the price of oil (an industry New Mexico relies heavily upon), could precipitate “a reckoning” for the spaceport.

Nonetheless, Richard Branson is still enthusiastic about Spaceport America. He says he will be on his company’s inaugural flight from the spaceport by December, and that regular Virgin Galactic commercial flights will begin soon thereafter. The company has indicated they are “on benchmark” to meet this timeline, and have sold 500 tickets at $250,000 each to the global upper crust, including celebrities like Leonardo DiCaprio, Tom Hanks, and Princess Beatrice of York, the granddaughter of Queen Elizabeth. These brief trips will rocket ticketholders to 62 miles above Earth to suborbital space, where they will experience iconic views of the planet and a few moments of weightlessness.

Just what these developments might mean for Spaceport America in the long term is difficult to say. In a recent interview with Air & Space Magazine, Joe Pappalardo, the author of the book “Spaceport Earth: The Reinvention of Spaceflight,” called Branson “a showman, with a tendency to overpromise” – though he also suggested that the New Mexico facility was “finally on the verge of fulfilling some of its promise.”

Still, in 2005, Virgin’s plans indicated that flights would begin in 2008. Later, in September of 2011, Branson estimated that regular launches would start in about 12 months. Then, in 2014, he said the premiere launch would be in the first months of 2015. At this point, it is hard for critics to believe that Virgin Galactic will take flight in New Mexico before 2018 is over, given that such deadlines have been set – and passed – many times before.

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There have been auspicious recent developments in the industry at large, however. The successful launch in February of Falcon Heavy, designed by Elon Musk’s venture SpaceX, is encouraging for the entire industry, indicating that commercially viable technology might be near. In Mojave, California, rocket-powered tests for Virgin Galactic’s redesigned spacecraft, now called VSS Unity, have begun. The craft completed its first powered flight test run in April, reportedly reaching a speed of Mach 1.6, prompting Branson to tweet, “space feels tantalisingly close now.”

The company promises that soon more staff will be moved to New Mexico and the Spaceport America facility, where further testing will take place in anticipation of bona fide commercial launches later this year. To date, Virgin Galactic has spent more than $10 million in New Mexico, enlisting local businesses for everything from catering to construction, largely from companies based in and around Las Cruces. Given that more states are moving to establish their own spaceports, and investors like Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund are pumping $1 billion into businesses like Virgin Galactic, it does seem like the industry is finally gaining purchase, though hopes that the effects of success will trickle down to New Mexicans may be wilting.

A combination of the sunk cost fallacy and faith has sustained Spaceport America so far. But the novelty is wearing off, and New Mexico is losing its competitive edge as other states build spaceport facilities. For many residents, what drives the project forward is a simple hope that the state’s investments will finally create returns.

In the crowded Truth or Consequences Brewing Company on a Saturday night, a 30-something Las Cruces resident tipped back the last of his beer as a country band began its set on the small wooden stage. “Of course I’m frustrated,” said the resident, who asked me not to use his name. “But I’m a New Mexican; I want to see it succeed.” The McClarins had said much the same thing earlier in the day as we sat around their kitchen table. “I want to see it happen, I really do,” Penny had told me. Even Paul Gessing of the Rio Grande Foundation claimed he would like to be proven wrong on this count.

Before meeting the McClarins, I had asked Curtis Rosemond, the Final Frontier tour guide, if he had seen T or C become more bustling and successful thanks to the spaceport. “It will be,” he answered confidently, sitting beneath a banner hung from the ceiling of the visitor center printed with feel-good phrases like “opportunity,” “commerce,” and “adventure.” The question now is whether the locals will buy into such platitudes, and how long it will take before their patience wears thin.

Maggie Grimason is a New Mexico-based writer and the arts & literature editor for The Weekly Alibi, Albuquerque’s free alternative weekly.

This article was originally published on Undark. Read the original article.

Watch: All You Need To Know About ISRO’s PSLV C37 Mission – 1 Launch, 104 Satellites

The PSLV C37 mission, scheduled for February 15, will deploy 104 satellites into a polar Sun-synchronous orbit around Earth.

The PSLV C37 mission, scheduled for February 15, will deploy 104 satellites into a polar Sun-synchronous orbit around Earth.

The PSLV C37 mission, scheduled for February 15, will deploy a remarkable 104 satellites into a polar Sun-synchronous orbit around Earth. Among them are India’s first nanosatellites, the fourth satellite of the Cartosat 2 series and American company Planet’s fleet of 88 Earth-imaging Doves. ISRO chief A.S. Kiran Kumar has said the organisation is not gunning for records as much trying to keep spending down by utilising the PSLV’s full potential to launch as many satellites as possible at a time. The launch will take place at Sriharikota at 9:28 am, and the PSLV will (attempt to) lift off in its XL configuration – i.e. with six solid-fuel strap-on boosters for additional heft.