Infinite in All Directions: Language of Fear, IISc’s Silence, a Trembling Giant

With the world thundering towards warming Earth’s surface by at least 1.5º C, and with such warming also expected to have drastic consequences for civilisation as we know it, will optimism also become pulled under the false balance umbrella?

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Hypothetical Homepage

You can’t have all news items on the homepage all the time even though they might each deserve that place, nor can a single publication cover all the notable news in the world on a given day. But if given the chance, these are the stories I would have liked to showcase on my hypothetical homepage October 26 morning:

IISc to take action against professor for sexual harassment after #MeToo allegations

Cover-ups by institutions only lead to speculation

‘A new day for chemistry’: Molecular CT scan could dramatically speed drug discovery

There’s a troubling epidemic of unnecessary C-sections around the world

* Set aside the Nobel Prizes for a sec and look at the new kids on the block, the Fundamental Physics and the New Horizons prizes:

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Postulates

Science is frequently understood as an enterprise engaged in the unearthing of new facts, or verification of older, supposed facts, through methods that strive to eliminate biases. Missing in this picture is the key role of interpretation itself: science lies in its facts but also in how those facts are interpreted together in various contexts. In turn, this requires us to view science as a knowledge-building enterprise for all of society, beyond just for a group of specialists.

* Explaining biotechnology in various Indian languages – “We, the iGEM IIT Madras team have started ‘The Language Project’ with the idea to make basic biotechnology concepts available to all. Knowledge about the research, applications, and findings in biotechnology is limited and not well known to a vast population. We aim to make the general public aware of basic ideas of genetics and synthetic biology and generate enthusiasm and interest towards this vast, fascinating field.” (Hat-tip to @IndSciComm)

* A satellite fleet to track all animals and insects – “Over the past few decades, tracking wildlife using radio collars and GPS transmitters has changed the way that researchers understand the behaviour of the animal kingdom. Using tags that communicate through satellite, mobile-phone and radio technology, scientists can follow everything from whales in the open ocean to jaguars beneath deep jungle cover. But the long-range movements of most of the world’s species remain invisible to researchers. Animals that weigh less than 100 grams can’t safely carry the smallest available satellite tags. That puts 75% of all bird and mammal species – and all insects – off limits to this kind of tracking. And the tags themselves cost thousands of dollars apiece, making wide-scale deployment a pricey proposition. Martin Wikelski hopes to change all that with his project: … he foresees a network of satellites devoted to following hundreds of thousands of animals in real time.”

* No conclusive evidence that eating organic foods reduces cancer risk – “Assessing the impact of any food type on health is riddled with difficulties, but measuring the effect of organic food poses even more problems. The main issue is that individuals who choose to eat organic food tend to share traits that go hand in hand with better health outcomes. For instance, people who eat the most organic food are also likely to be more physically active, less likely to smoke, have higher incomes, and be more likely to follow a relatively healthful diet than those who do not. … To muddy the waters further, organic produce covers a wealth of food groups: from fish to bacon to Swiss chard. Consequently, researchers may class someone who ate organic beef every day as eating a lot of organic produce. However, people now know that consuming high levels of red meat is a risk factor for colon cancer. Although this is an extreme example, it is easy to see how making sense of this type of data can be a minefield.”

* Purveyors of questionable medical services are using crowdfunding to get by – “It is universally accepted that one’s economic position influences one’s medical outcomes, which is grossly unfair. To its credit, the existence of medical crowdfunding at least offers the potential for some patients to cover costs that they would otherwise never have had the opportunity to cover. … [On the other hand] it also opens wide the door to quackery in the field of stem cells. Jeremy Snyder and coauthors detailed the frequency with which their list of 351 shady stem cell clinics appeared on the crowdfunding platforms GoFundMe and YourCaring. They found over 13,000 people donating $1.45 million to 408 campaigns to benefit these clinics. The campaigns sought a total of $7.43 million. … [We] can undoubtedly thank medical crowdfunding for exposing more people to the risks inherent in unregulated stem cell procedures.”

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Schema

Piecing together stories published at disparate times and places but which have a theme or two in common.

1. Climate fear

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change recently published a report exhorting countries committed to the Paris Agreement to limit global warming to 1.5º by the end of this century. We have already warmed Earth’s surface by 1º C, leaving us with only 0.5º C to work with. As if this isn’t drastic enough, one study has also shown that if we’re not on track to this target in the next 12 years, then we’re likely to cross a point of no return and be unable to keep Earth’s surface from warming by 1.5º C.

In the last decade, the conversation on climate change passed by an important milestone – that of journalists classifying climate denialism as false balance. After such acknowledgment, editors and reporters simply wouldn’t bother speaking to those denying the anthropogenic component of global warming in pursuit of a balanced copy because denying climate change became wrongful. Including such voices wouldn’t add balance but in fact remove it from a climate story.

But with the world inexorably thundering towards warming Earth’s surface by at least 1.5º C, and with such warming also expected to have drastic consequences for civilisation as we know it, I wonder if and when optimism will also become pulled under the false balance umbrella.

There were a few articles earlier this year about whether or not we ought to use the language of fear to spur climate action from people and governments alike. David Biello had excerpted the following line from a new book on the language of climate change in a review for the New York Times: “I believe that language can lessen the distance between humans and the world of which we are a part; I believe that it can foster interspecies intimacy and, as a result, care.” But what tone should such language adopt?

A September 2017 study noted:

… the modest research evidence that exists with respect to the use of fear appeals in communicating climate change does not offer adequate empirical evidence – either for or against the efficacy of fear appeals in this context – nor would such evidence adequately address the issue of the appropriateness of fear appeals in climate change communication. … It is also noteworthy that the language of climate change communication is typically that of “communication and engagement,” with little explicit reference to targeted social influence or behaviour change, although this is clearly implied. Hence underlying and intertwined issues here are those of cogent arguments versus largely absent evidence, and effectiveness as distinct from appropriateness. These matters are enmeshed within the broader contours of the contested political, social, and environmental, issues status of climate change, which jostle for attention in a 24/7 media landscape of disturbing and frightening communications concerning the reality, nature, progression, and implications of global climate change.

An older study, from 2009, had it that using the language of fear wouldn’t work because, according to Big Think‘s break down, it could desensitise the audience, prompt the audience to trust the messenger less over time and trigger either self-denial or some level of nihilism. What else would you do if you’re “confronted with messages that present risks” that you, individually, can do nothing to mitigate? Most of all, it could distort our (widely) shared vision of a “just world”.

On the other hand, just the necessary immediacy of action suggests we should be afraid lest we become complacent. We need urgent and significant action in both the short- and long-terms and across a variety of enterprises. Fear also sells. It is always in demand irrespective of whether a journalist is selling it, or a businessman or politician. It is easy, sensational, grabs eyeballs and can be effortlessly communicated. That is how you have the distasteful maxim “If it bleeds, it leads”.

In light of these concerns, it is odd that so many news outlets around the world (including The Guardian and The Washington Post) are choosing to advertise the ’12-year-deadline to act’ bit. A deadline is only going to make people more anxious and less able to act. Further, it is odder that given the vicious complexities associated with making climate-related estimates, we are even able to pinpoint a single point of no return instead of identifying a time-range at some point within which we become doomed. And third, I would even go so far as to question the ‘doomedness’ itself because I don’t know if it takes inflections – points after which we lose our ability to make predictions – into account.

Nonetheless, as we get closer to 2030 – the year that hosts the point of no return – and assuming we haven’t done much to keep Earth’s surface warming by 1.5º C by the century’s close, we are going to be in neck-deep in it. At this point, would it still be fair for journalists, if not anyone else, to remain optimistic and communicate using the language of optimism? Second, will optimism on our part be taken seriously considering, at that point, the world will find out that Earth’s surface is going to warm by 1.5º C irrespective of everyone else’s hopes?

Third: how will we know if optimistic engagement with our audience is even working? Being able to measure this change, and doing so, is important if we are to reform journalism to the extent that newsrooms have a financial incentive to move away from fear-mongering and towards more empathetic, solution-oriented narratives. A major reason “If it bleeds, it leads” is true is because it makes money; if it didn’t, it would be useless. By measuring change, calculating their first-order derivatives and strategising to magnify desirable trends in the latter, newsrooms can also take a step back from the temptations of populism and its climate-unjust tendencies.

Climate change journalism is inherently political and as susceptible to being caught between political fault-lines as anything else. This is unlikely to change until the visible effects of anthropogenic global warming are abundant and affecting day-to-day living (of the upper caste/upper class in India and of the first world overall). So between now and then, a lot rests on journalism’s shoulders; journalists as such are uniquely situated in this context because, more than anyone else, we influence people on a day-to-day basis.

Apropos the first two questions: After 2030, I suspect many people will simply raise the bar, hoping that some action can be taken in the next seven decades to keep warming below 2º C instead of 1.5º C. Journalists will make up both the first and last lines of defence in keeping humanity at large from thinking that it has another shot at saving itself. This will be tricky: to inspire optimism and prompt people to act even while constantly reminding readers that we’ve messed up like never before.

To this end, journalists should also be regularly retrained – say, once every five years – on where climate science currently stands, what audiences in different markets feel about it and why, and what kind of language reporters and editors can use to engage with them. If optimism is to remain effective further into the 21st century, collective action is necessary on the part of journalists around the world as well – just the way, for example, we recognise certain ways to report stories of sexual assault, data breaches, etc.

2. IISc SH case

The Internal Complaints Committee at the Indian Institute of Science (IISc), Bengaluru, is undertaking enquiries into a complaint filed by a student against one of its faculty members, identified in news reports thus far only as an esteemed scientist in an engineering department.

The institute’s policy of dealing with sexual harassment at the workplace includes a clause, among other common provisions, that protects the privacy of the complainant and the respondent even after the committee has completed its enquiries and recommended a course of action to the employer. It also prevents the disclosure of the nature of this recommendation and what the employer chooses to do. Finally, the policy also overrides provisions in the RTI Act, thus rendering it (almost) impossible to identify the defendant even after the investigation has been completed.

Notwithstanding anything contained in the Right to Information Act, 2005, the contents of the Complaint made under this Policy, the identity and addresses of the Aggrieved woman/ , respondent and witnesses, any information relating to the conciliation and inquiry proceedings, recommendations of the IC and the action taken by an employer under this Policy, shall not be published, communicated, or made known to the public, press or media in any manner; Provided that any information may be disclosed/disseminated for securing justice to the victim of sexual harassment without disclosing the name, identity or any other particulars vis-a-vis the aggrieved woman/victim/complainant and witnesses.

This is certainly odd because, as Shuba Desikan wrote in The Hindu, “In the age of active voices on social media, this reluctance of the directors to communicate the situation to the media is … not just going to give rise to speculation, but it is also part of the suffocating stranglehold of patriarchal values that protects perpetrators, even alleged ones.”

Additionally, as an institute of significant standing and which attracts and trains some of the best scientific talent in India, IISc’s policy of silence – and the sanctions it threatens upon those who violate it – compels students to repose their faith in the institutional due process while also staving off public accountability. Let’s not forget that naming and shaming, for all of its suspected flaws, was the central instrument of action in the recent and ongoing #MeToo and #TimesUp movements, reminding society at large that there is no need to put up with due process should it fail as much as it actually has. In the end, IISc has a responsibility to provide a safe living and working environment to its students, and opening up about the identities of offending scientists as well as about what it is doing to address the situation can only leave the institute better off.

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Outliers

Sciencey things people are trying to do that are out of the ordinary in some way.

* Female penises and male vaginas – “The team that won the 2017 Ig Nobel Biology Prize for discovering a female penis, and a male vagina, in a cave insect has published a new paper, reporting a further discovery about the body parts of that insect. … The team explains: ‘In dry caves of southeastern Brazil, live a group of insects named Neotrogla that are perhaps best known because the egg-producing females have penises while the sperm-producing males have vaginas. The sex roles of these Brazilian cave insects are also reversed: females compete over the males, who in turn are selective of their female partners…'”

* Lighting up a city from space – “China is to launch a fake ‘moon’ into space that it hopes will illuminate one of the country’s biggest cities. Officials in Chengdu, a city of 14 million people in China’s southwestern province of Sichuan, announced plans to place a satellite in orbit by 2020 capable of reflecting sunlight onto its streets at night, claiming it will be bright enough to entirely replace street lights. The satellite would use a reflective coating to direct light to illuminate an area on earth of up to 50 square miles, according to Wu Chunfeng, chairman of the city’s Aerospace Science and Technology Microelectronics System Research Institute. The launch follows a similar project in 1999 when Russian researchers planned to use orbiting mirrors to light up cities in Siberia, hoping it would be a cheaper alternative to electric lighting.”

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Colophon

Some interesting articles from around the web.

* Meet the Trembling Giant, the world’s largest organism. He is dying. – A forest of 47,000 aspen trees in Utah has common DNA, making it the single largest organism on Earth. Called the Trembling Giant, the trees in the forest are connected through a complex underground network of roots. New trees are born asexually, from sprouts emerging from the roots. However, the Trembling Giant isn’t doing very well. A new study found that the forest is dying faster than it is regenerating, with most causes traceable to human activities in its neighbourhood and, of course, climate change.

* Lawrence Krauss retires from his university position – but only to test veracity of allegations against him – “Lawrence Krauss, a well-known theoretical physicist at Arizona State University, announced Sunday he is retiring from the school after an investigation into allegations of sexual misconduct. A Buzzfeed News story earlier this year contained allegations of inappropriate comments and behaviour from multiple women. After the story, ASU put Krauss on paid administrative leave and began an investigation. An ASU dean had recommended Krauss be fired. … Krauss said his choice to retire was spurred by Arizona Board of Regents regulations that would only allow him to ‘directly test the credibility of my accusers or the veracity of their claims’ if he first agreed to be dismissed. He wasn’t willing to do so.”

Multiple Sexual Harassment Allegations Against Prominent Skeptic Lawrence Krauss Come to Light

The allegations include trying to force a woman into sex, grabbing a woman’s breast in public and telling a female employee he will buy her birth control pills so she doesn’t go on maternity leave.

The allegations include trying to force a woman into sex, grabbing a woman’s breast in public and telling a female employee he will buy her birth control pills so she doesn’t go on maternity leave.

Lawrence Krauss. Credit: Arizona State University website

Lawrence Krauss. Credit: Arizona State University website

How many times must a man be accused of sexual harassment before people even begin to believe it’s true?

Many, many, many, a recent BuzzFeed News article on celebrity rationalist and atheist Lawrence Krauss has shown (again).

Krauss, a theoretical physicist, is a well-known name in the skeptic community – a group that rejects all forms of belief that do not rely on science, reason and evidence. A professor in the School of Earth and Space Exploration at Arizona State University, he is also the founder director of the Origins Project, “created to explore humankind’s most fundamental questions about our origins”.

“He has been involved for some time in issues of science and society and has helped spearhead national efforts to educate the public about science, ensure sound public policy, and defend science against attacks at a variety of levels. … Krauss is one of the few prominent scientists today to have actively crossed the chasm between science and popular culture,” according to his profile on the Arizona State University website.

In keeping with his ‘take science to the people’ stance, Krauss regularly writes for the New Yorker and the New York Times, tweets his views to his 475,000 followers, and has even made a documentary, The Unbelievers, in collaboration with evolutionary biologist Richard Dawkins.

By all definitions, Krauss is famous and successful; many young people see him as an inspiration. And none of that fame or success has been tempered by the fact that for at least a decade now, women have been alleging unwanted advances, inappropriate behaviour and even outright incidents of sexual violence.

Based on statements from some women who have spoken against him, universities and conference organisers who have seen complaints, and even eyewitnesses who saw him grope a woman, BuzzFeed News has detailed a number of incidents involving Krauss.

Take the case of Melody Hensley, who met Krauss in November 2006.

She was then a 29-year-old make-up artist, but she ran an atheist blog in her free time and volunteered for the Center for Inquiry (CFI), a nonprofit group committed to promoting science and reason above faith. She was then hoping to get a full-time job with the movement. Krauss was one of her idols.

Meeting him at the sidelines of a CFI conference, Hensley told BuzzFeed News that the first red flag should have been when Krauss asked her if she was “of age”. She brushed it aside, excited to meet him and talk. Over email, he invited her for dinner; she accepted.

When Hensley met Krauss at his hotel, he asked her to come up to him room while he finished some work. Once there, though, it looked like he had no plans to go anywhere. According to BuzzFeed News,

Then, Hensley said, Krauss made a comment about her eye makeup, and got very close to her face. Suddenly, he lifted her by the arms and pushed her onto the bed beneath him, forcibly kissing her and trying to pull down the crotch of her tights. Hensley said she struggled to push him off. When he pulled out a condom, Hensley said, she got out from under him, said “I have to go,” and rushed out of the room.

When asked, Krauss said that the incident was consensual and “we mutually decided, in a polite discussion in fact, that taking it any further would not be appropriate”. However, Hensley’s then boyfriend confirmed that she told him that night about Krauss making her uncomfortable. Years later, she told him and her colleagues at CFI the full story.

This is just one of the many cases women have mentioned. Another one, involving a woman who wanted a selfie with Krauss and ended up allegedly having her breast grabbed, took place in public. Three eyewitnesses – attending the same conference – confirmed to BuzzFeed News that they saw what happened.


Also read


The alleged harassment also goes beyond the predatory – Krauss apparently once told a female employee that he would buy her birth control pills to ensure that she does not get pregnant and go on maternity leave.

Krauss has denied all the allegations against him, calling them“false and misleading defamatory”. All celebrities have this kind of problem, he said when asked about the multiple allegations. “It is common knowledge that celebrity attracts all forms of negative attention from many different angles. There is no pattern of discontent revealed here that suggests any other explanation,” Krauss told BuzzFeed News in an email.

Did no one know? Was no action taken?

For serial offenders of the kind that Krauss allegedly is, it is impossible that the whisper networks had nothing to say. Many women quoted by BuzzFeed News said that while they didn’t file official complaints (though some did), they did tell people what happened. Others have said that they were specifically warned about Krauss before attending conferences he was also to be at.

At Case Western Reserve University, where Krauss spent 15 years teaching physics, a complaint was filed by a student who went to interview him and was instead asked out to dinner. The university reportedly told him that his behaviour violated the sexual harassment code; he could no longer contact the student in question and had to seek permission before entering the campus. He left for Arizona State University soon after.

Some CFI staff members were also wary of Krauss’s behaviour. In 2013, Patricia Beauchamp, CFI’s business and finance manager, told the organisation’s then president in an email that she did not want Krauss to be invited on a cruise to the Galapagos islands. “His behavior on past trips has been offensive to many and this is a very expensive and small vessel.” The president, Ronald Lindsey, asked Beauchamp for evidence, which she provided. Krauss was invited anyway.

In August 2013, Jen McCreight, then a biology PhD student, wrote a blog post specifically about Krauss and what the whisper networks said about him, along with the testimonies of two anonymous women. Krauss left a comment denying her allegation; she took the post down. According to BuzzFeed News,

“Well, Famous Skeptic is vaguely threatening to sue me,” McCreight wrote the day after her initial post was published. “Since Famous Skeptic is rich and I am poor, and since my two sources are too terrified to openly speak out,” she said, “I have removed the part of my previous post that refers to him so I don’t go bankrupt with legal fees.”

While Krauss has denounced sexist behaviour in the past, even his track record on public statements is far from perfect. In April 2011, he publicly defended Jeffrey Epstein, a financier – and one of the top donors of the Origins Project – who was accused of soliciting prostitution from an underage girl. He was in a Florida jail for 13 months.

“As a scientist I always judge things on empirical evidence and he always has women ages 19 to 23 around him, but I’ve never seen anything else, so as a scientist, my presumption is that whatever the problems were I would believe him over other people,” Krauss had said then.

Krauss has tweeted a link that called #MeToo movement of 2017 a “Warlock Hunt”.

Krauss at a press conference for the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists on January 25, 2018. Credit: Reuters/Leah Miller

Krauss at a press conference for the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists on January 25, 2018. Credit: Reuters/Leah Miller

Why it’s hard to speak out

Just like most other communities out their, internal sexism has been a cause for concern for many women associated with the skeptic and atheist movements.

Rebecca Watson is a prominent feminist skeptic who runs her own website, podcast and YouTube channel. In June 2011, she posted a video where she talked about the men in the movement, documenting the uncomfortable and inappropriate comments she had received. To say that it was not well received would be a big understatement. She wrote about her experience on Slate,

My YouTube page and many of my videos were flooded with rape “jokes,” threats, objectifying insults, and slurs. A few individuals sent me hundreds of messages, promising to never leave me alone. My Wikipedia page was vandalized. Graphic photos of dead bodies were posted to my Facebook page.

Twitter accounts were made in my name and used to tweet horrible things to celebrities and my friends. (The worst accounts were deleted by Twitter, but some, such as this one, are allowed to remain so long as they remove my name.) Entire blogs were created about me, obsessively cataloging everything I’ve ever said and (quite pathetically) attempting to dig up dirt in my past.

It wasn’t just unknown followers who were subjecting her to this kind of treatment. Dawkins, who she had met in the past, left her a sarcastic comment on another women’s blog:

But stop whining, will you. Think of the suffering your poor American sisters have to put up with. Only this week I heard of one [referring to Watson], she calls herself Skep”chick”, and do you know what happened to her? A man in a hotel elevator invited her back to his room for coffee. I am not exaggerating. He really did. He invited her back to his room for coffee. Of course she said no, and of course he didn’t lay a finger on her, but even so …

Prominent atheist author Sam Harris has also been known to make sexist generalisations about women, calling them humourless, and saying that a “critical posture” is “intrinsically male”. Amanda Marcott wrote in AlterNet about an interview he gave Washington Post:

First, he warmed up with the “women are humorless” gambit, declaring his “estrogen vibe” comment a joke that simply flew over female heads. He then moved on to produce an awesome cornucopia of sexist blather: Women’s value is their service to men. (“I was raised by a single mother. I have two daughters. Most of my editors have been women, and my first, last, and best editor is always my wife.”) Women’s inherent desire to serve rather than lead explains their second-class status. (“For instance, only 5 percent of Fortune 500 companies are run by women. … How much is due to the disproportionate (and heroic) sacrifices women make in their 20s or 30s to have families?”) Putting women on a pedestal is better than treating them like equals. (“I tend to respect women more than men.”) Women who don’t defer to men are bitchy. (“However, I don’t think I’ll ever forget the mixture of contempt and pity my words elicited from this young woman.”)

In a field or movement dominated by men, it has a large impact when men in prominent positions – looked up to by a large number of people, like Krauss, Dawkins and Harris are – take positions that undermine women’s voices. In a situation like that, it’s not hard to understand why allegations of sexual harassment are buried for years, and why women find it hard to find safe spaces to raise certain issues.

Scientists Set ‘Doomsday Clock’ Closer to Midnight Than It’s Been in 64 Years

The bulletin cited nuclear volatility, especially as the US and Russia seek to modernise their atomic arsenals and remain at odds in war-torn countries such as Syria and Ukraine.

Lawrence Krauss (L), chairman of the "Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists" Board of Sponsors, and board member Thomas Pickering (R), a former U.S. Under Secretary of State as well as US Ambassador to the United Nations, Russia and other countries, unveil that the board has moved the minute hand of their "Doomsday Clock" by 30 seconds to a more ominous 2-1/2 minutes from midnight during a news conference at the National Press Club in Washington, U.S. January 26, 2017. REUTERS/Jim Bourg

Lawrence Krauss (L), chairman of the “Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists” Board of Sponsors, and board member Thomas Pickering (R). Credit: Reuters/Jim Bourg

Washington:  Atomic scientists reset their symbolic ‘Doomsday Clock’ to its closest time to midnight in 64 years on Thursday, saying the world was closer to catastrophe due to threats such as nuclear weapons, climate change and Donald Trump’s election as US president.

The timepiece, devised by the Chicago-based Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists and displayed on its website, is widely viewed as an indicator of the world’s vulnerability to disaster.

Its hands were moved to two minutes and 30 seconds to midnight, from three minutes.

“The Doomsday Clock is closer to midnight than it’s ever been in the lifetime of almost everyone in this room,” Lawrence Krauss, the bulletin’s chair, told a news conference in Washington.

The clock was last set this close to midnight in 1953, marking the start of the nuclear arms race between the US and the Soviet Union. Thursday’s reset was the first since 2015.

Krauss, a theoretical physicist, said Trump and Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin carried a large share of the blame for the heightened threat.

The bulletin cited nuclear volatility, especially as the US and Russia seek to modernise their atomic arsenals and remain at odds in war-torn countries such as Syria and Ukraine.

Trump has suggested South Korea and Japan could acquire nuclear weapons to compete with North Korea, which has conducted nuclear tests. Trump has also raised doubts about the future of a multilateral nuclear pact with Iran.

Chinese aid to Pakistan in the nuclear weapons field, as well as the expansion of India and Pakistan’s nuclear arsenals, were also worrisome, the bulletin said in a statement.

The climate change outlook was somewhat less dismal, “but only somewhat.”

While nations had taken actions to combat climate change, the bulletin noted, there appeared to be little appetite for additional cuts to carbon dioxide emissions.

It said the Trump administration nominees raise the possibility the government will be “openly hostile to progress toward even the most modest efforts to avert catastrophic climate disruption.”

The world also faces cyber threats, the Bulletin said. US intelligence agencies’ conclusion that Russia intervened in the presidential election to help Trump raised the possibility of similar attacks on other democracies, it said.

The Bulletin was founded by scientists who helped develop the US’ first atomic weapons. It’s science and security board decides on the clock’s hands in consultation with its board of sponsors, which includes Nobel laureates.

(Reuters)

Infinite in All Directions: The Five Fronts of Consciousness, an Old Frontier

Infinite in All Directions is The Wire‘s science newsletter. Subscribe and receive a digest of the most interesting science news and analysis from around the web every Monday, 10 am.

Infinite in All Directions is The Wire‘s science newsletter. Click here to subscribe and receive a digest of the most interesting science news and analysis from around the web every Monday, 10 am.

Credit: marcelamcgreal/Flickr, CC BY 2.0

Credit: marcelamcgreal/Flickr, CC BY 2.0

Good morning! You’re probably expecting Vasudevan Mukunth, the science editor at The Wire. But I’ll be filling in him for this morning. My name is Thomas Manuel. I’m a writer from Chennai and though I’ve won an award for writing something, I’m not a science-editor of anything. [VM – this award]

Standing as we are, on the shoulders of giants, I have a lot of respect for those who can set up ladders and climb even higher. I myself have other interests. Like, how did these giants get here in the first place? Why are they all old white men? What’s their favourite kind of sandwich?

These interests of mine, lying as they are not in scientific pursuits but rather in what happens in their periphery, are probably because my parents had Frantz Fanon and not Richard Feynman in the family library. Growing up, science (along with many other things including cooking and programming) seemed to occupy a separate magisterium. I’m happy to admit that I’m rectifying that gap but the damage is done. When I think of science, my heart is drawn to its historical roots, its sociological baggage and its philosophical underpinnings.

So, that said, here’s this week’s Infinite in All Directions – about consciousness.

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Things We Don’t Understand #1: The Mind

In a conversation with the philosophers Massimo Pigliucci and Daniel Dennett, the cosmologist Lawrence Krauss joked that he studied physics because it was easy: “If I wanted to do something hard, I’d do consciousness”.

The mind is one of the most interesting frontiers of science today. Each new discovery is carefully dissected, debated, contradicted and, somehow, slowly, progress is made. The intense scrutiny is more than justified – there’s almost no branch of human endeavour that can claim to be disinterested. From self-help pop psychology to linguistics to medicine to economics, the mind matters.

One of the writers I really enjoy reading on the subject is Yohan John, a computational neuroscientist who regularly writes columns for 3QuarksDaily. His essays have ranged from topics such as the power of names and idols to the stickiness of ‘mind-body’ metaphors.

Here’s an excerpt from one of my favourite essays,’Persons all the way down: On viewing the scientific conception of the self from the inside out’:

Among neuroscientists, one of the most well-known cautionary tales is that of phrenology: the 19th century “science” that claimed to be able to peer into your soul by measuring bumps and dents on your head. The idea was that these hills and valleys were signs of size differences in areas dedicated to mental faculties such as “amativeness”, “concentrativeness”, “aquisitiveness”, “wit” and “conscientiousness”. So a bump near your zone of “amativeness” would mean that your brain has allocated additional resources towards the pursuit of love and sex. It all sounds quaint and Victorian — I imagine steampunk authors have taken the idea and run with it.

But if we strip away the old-fashioned terminology, how different is the concept of a brain area for “wit” from the concept of a “cognitive area” in the brain? How different is the idea of a center of “amativeness” from the idea that oxytocin is a love molecule? And is the idea that conscientiousness is baked into the brain any different from the idea that morality or altruism is baked into the genome?

There is a kind of implicit metaphysics underlying the idea of a “brain area for X”, a “neurotransmitter for Y” and a “gene for Z” — we might call it the neo-phrenology of the self. For every psychological state, however complex, the neo-phrenologist assumes that there must be some equivalent entity at the level of brain region, or chemical, or gene.

As someone who’s always going to be looking at science from the outside in, I’m a great admirer of those who can convey the wonder and complexity and limitations of what we know. Especially if they can do it with a neat turn of phrase.  

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Why We Can’t Have Nice Things #1: Cognitive Biases

Talking about limitations on what we know, if you haven’t heard of Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, you should check out Michael Lewis’ new book on the duo, The Undoing Project: A Friendship That Changed Our Minds. Here’s an excerpt.

Kahneman and Tversky were psychologists who pioneered the study of the irrationality of the human mind through the documentation and exploration of our mental heuristics and innate biases. You might’ve heard of confirmation bias but what about the conjunction fallacy? Tversky and Kahneman found that the people they tested felt it was less likely that a good tennis player would “lose the first set” than that he would “lose the first set but win the match.” Or to put it in other words, a good tennis player was more likely to win after losing a set than lose a set in the first place. Doesn’t make any sense, right? Well, it doesn’t mathematically but it does feel like if a tennis player was good, he’d be better at comebacks than losing sets.

This kind of work was revolutionary. Cass Sunstein and Richard Thaler of Nudge fame referred to Tversky and Kahneman in their recent New Yorker piece as “the Lennon and McCartney of social science”.

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Things We Don’t Understand #2: Reality

Getting back to consciousness, another thing that might be affected is reality itself. Consider cognitive scientist David Hoffman’s theory of reality.

I call it conscious realism: Objective reality is just conscious agents, just points of view. Interestingly, I can take two conscious agents and have them interact, and the mathematical structure of that interaction also satisfies the definition of a conscious agent. This mathematics is telling me something. I can take two minds, and they can generate a new, unified single mind.

I’m not qualified to comment on the theory itself obviously but the reduction to points of view must cheer people in the humanities who have been saying this all along! On a more serious note, there is an interesting question here – is what Hoffman is doing even science?

Watch this video of the conversation between Krauss, Pigliucci and Dennett that I mentioned earlier.

The first question to the trio is whether science has limits. They answer it and move on to answering a whole bunch of other questions. If you’ve ever been to any kind of panel discussion before, you’ll agree that this was a unique event in history. Watch it for the intellectual pyrotechnics.

It might surprise you that when Krauss discusses the limits of science, he isn’t engaging in theoretical physics or any sub-discipline in science, but rather he’s engaging in philosophy, specifically metaphysics. But let philosopher Robert Trigg explain it in a Nautilus article titled Why Science Needs Metaphysics:

Those who say that science can answer all questions are themselves standing outside science to make that claim. That is why naturalism—the modern version of materialism, seeing reality as defined by what is within reach of the sciences—becomes a metaphysical theory when it strays beyond methodology to talk of what can exist. Denying metaphysics and upholding materialism must itself be a move within metaphysics. It involves standing outside the practice of science and talking of its scope. The assertion that science can explain everything can never come from within science. It is always a statement about science.

If this is slightly confusing, don’t worry. Nautilus also published an article called Why Science Should Stay Clear of Metaphysics. It wasn’t a response to Trigg or anything like it. It’s simply the (slightly misleading) title for an interview with philosopher of science Bas van Fraassen, a pioneer of constructive empiricism.

Constructive empiricism is a theory that gains quite a bit of importance if you’re interested in the debates around whether we are moving towards ‘post-empirical science’, no small part of which is due to the progress of string theory. If you’re not familiar with the threat of string theory to the concept of empirical science, the idea is that string theory seeks to explain the nature of reality but it might do so without putting forward any propositions that might ever be experimentally verified.

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Why We Can’t Have Nice Things #2: Ideological Biases

The title of this section is slightly misleading. This isn’t about the role of ideology itself but what I see as a product of ideology. When we think of science, historically and in the present, we think of men in lab coats, specifically white men. One way to rectify this image and reclaim an image of science as universal endeavour that should unite rather than exclude is by rectifying the histories we tell ourselves.

Paul Braterman, former Regents Professor at the University of North Texas, is another one of my favourite essayists at 3QuarksDaily and he does a spectacular job of mapping out various contributions of the Arabic world to science through the use of syllable al-.

Historically, the West has failed to give anything like due credit to the Arabic contribution to knowledge. A century ago, the justly renowned physicist, philosopher, and historian Pierre Duhem described the “wise men of Mohammedanism” as “destitute of all originality”. I myself, somewhat more recently, was taught at school that the Renaissance was brought about by Byzantine scholars who alone had been guarding the flame of knowledge kindled in classical times, and who, after the fall of Constantinople to the Turks in 1453, were dispersed throughout Europe. This account is as unhistorical as it is patronising. We can trace the golden age of Arabic science to the eighth century translation project, centred on Baghdad, which made the thought and knowledge of the Greece (and Persia and India) available in Arabic. And we must in turn acknowledge, as among the events leading up to the Renaissance and what we call “the” Scientific Revolution, the translation project centred on Toledo, that four centuries later was to translate the work of the greatest of the Arabic scientists we have met into Latin.

But even when the golden age of Arabic science is mentioned, it is often only given credit for a holding role – translating ancient Greek texts into Arabic, waiting for the ‘dark ages’ to pass and then translating them back into Latin just in time for the Renaissance. This version of history leaves out the science that existed before and after these two massive translation projects. For a long time, historians claimed that sometime after the second translation project, the Arab world moved away from science, partly due to a renewed religious orthodoxy that, like the Church in Europe, saw some scientific ideas as heretical. While there was definitely a Golden Age, this neat collapse after passing the baton onto Europe probably didn’t happen.

One funny thing that did happen is that one of the critics of science at the time, al-Ghazali, wrote a book whose title is translated roughly as The Incoherence of Philosophers. I’d like to think he was predicting Foucault.

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Things We Don’t Understand #3: The Reality of Animal Minds

This deep dive into the current state of animal cognition research and the comeback of anthropomorphism contains another repercussion of consciousness-research: ethics. We stopped the use of apes and chimpanzees in scientific tests on the basis of their perceived cognitive capabilities – but what happens when those same things are shown in rats? (Never mind that the current focus on testing on rats is a bit like looking for your keys under the streetlights.)

Here’s Brandon Keim in the Chronicle of Higher Education on animal minds.

Are We Smart Enough is the latest in a profusion of books by scientists and popular-science writers: See also Carl Safina’s Beyond Words: What Animals Think and Feel, Nathan H. Lents’s Not So Different: Finding Human Nature in Animals, Jonathan Balcombe’s What a Fish Knows: The Inner Lives of Our Underwater Cousins, and Jennifer Ackerman’s The Genius of Birds, all published in the last year or so. New research describes qualities among nonhuman animals that were once considered exclusive to us: empathy, mental time-travel, language, self-awareness, and altruism. Journals overflow with studies of animal minds, frequently described in language also used to describe human minds, and feats of animal intelligence seem to go viral weekly: an octopus escaping its tank, crows gathering to mourn their dead, fish solving problems, monkeys grieving, and snakes socializing.

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On The Wire

[VM begins]

Bad Press? Why You Shouldn’t Blame Journalists Alone for Exaggerated Health News

One of the conclusions of a new study conducted by researchers from Cardiff University, UK, and the University of Wollongong, Australia, is that there is “no evidence that exaggeration in press releases is associated with increased news uptake” – or that the prevalence of caveats is associated with a reduction. To arrive at this result, the researchers analysed 534 press releases issued by high-profile health and biomedical journals for 534 peer-reviewed papers and the 582 news articles that were subsequently published about them. In the paper’s conclusion, they write, rightly so, that the “findings should be encouraging for press officers and scientists who wish to minimise exaggeration and include caveats in their press releases.”

Bury Jayalalithaa on Chennai’s Beach – and Then Bury the Rule of Law With Her

The Corporation of Chennai, for instance, is meant to enforce laws concerning burial, cremation or disposal of the dead by any other means. The Chennai City Municipal Corporation Act, 1919, has an entire section devoted to “Disposal of the Dead”. Section 321 (4) states that “No person shall bury, burn or otherwise dispose of any corpse except in a place which has been registered, licensed or provided as aforesaid.” Section 319 (1) of the Act sets out the process of licensing. It states that “no new place for the disposal of the dead whether public or private, shall be opened, formed, constructed, or used unless a license has been obtained from the council on application.” Sub-section (2) requires any application to be accompanied by a plan of the place, showing the locality, boundary and extent thereof, the name of the owner or person or community interested therein, the system of management and such…”. Section 321 (2) and (3) require the posting of a conspicuously visible sign near the entrance to the burial ground and publishing of a register of all approved burial places by the corporation.

Has LIGO Actually Proved Einstein Wrong – and Found Signs of Quantum Gravity?

When two blackholes collide to form a larger blackhole, there is a very large amount of energy released. In LIGO’s first detection of a merger, made on September 14, 2015, two blackholes weighing 29 and 36 solar masses merged to form a blackhole weighing 62 solar masses. The remaining three solar masses – equivalent to 178.7 billion trillion trillion trillion joules of energy – were expelled as gravitational waves. If GR has its way, with an infinitely thin event horizon, then the waves are immediately expelled into space. However, if quantum mechanics has its way, then some of the waves are first trapped inside the firewall of particles, where they bounce around like echoes depending on the angle at which they were ensnared, and escape in instalments. Corresponding to the delay in setting off into space, LIGO would have detected them similarly: not arriving all at once but with delays.

+ Featured in 3QuarksDaily

+ How do physics writers write uncertainty and illusion at a time when physicists are becoming more obsessed with particles that may not exist?

ISRO Mars Orbiter Mission’s Methane Instrument Has a Glitch

“Carbon dioxide signatures vary with topography, time-of-day, latitude and season,” he explained. “Temperature variations are very important – they cause the individual ro-vibrational spectral lines to vary in intensity.” Ro-vibrational stands for ‘rotational-vibrational’, a form of spectroscopy used to study the properties of gases. “The two instrument arms” – i.e. the methane and reference channels – “sample this variation in different ways, and accurate removal of the carbon dioxide signature from the difference signal is crucial to searching for methane, for example.” He added that the Fraunhofer lines, spectroscopic measurements used to infer the composition of a star’s atmosphere, “are also sampled differently by the two arms, further complicating the process”. As a result, “The net effect is that there is no way that one can [cancel] out those two signals in order to retrieve a methane signal”.

India Knows Its Invasive Species Problem But This Is Why Nobody Can Deal With it Properly

… we have a number of different agencies charged with preventing the introduction of invasive species and for management and control of invasive species. These include the Ministry of Environment Forests and Climate Change, the National Bureau of Fish Genetic Resources, the Plant Quarantine Organisation of India and various departments of the Ministry of Agriculture. This situation – “everybody’s responsibility, therefore nobody’s responsibility” – is far from ideal. We really need a single, comprehensive legal and policy framework on invasive species and a single nodal agency responsible for its coordination and implementation.

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