After Poll Defeat, Congress Headed for a Moment of Reckoning in MP, Chhattisgarh

Demands for intra-party democracy within the party will likely put the administrations of Kamal Nath and Bhupesh Baghel under the scanner.

Some senior Congressmen from Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh have raised the issue of intra-party democracy with Congress general secretary Priyanka Gandhi. The issue is likely to be discussed at the Congress Parliamentary Party meeting on Saturday to be presided over by Sonia Gandhi.

However, the issue is likely to cast aspersions on recently-appointed chief ministers Kamal Nath and Bhupesh Baghel. After the uncertainty in Rajasthan – where Ashok Gehlot is being pressurised by Sachin Pilot’s supporters to resign after the dismal Lok Sabha performance – both Nath and Baghel might find the going tough.

Kamal Nath’s mounting predicaments

Nath is in particularly difficult circumstances as audio tapes of his purported conversations, with various people found in the Income Tax raids in the premises of his close associate R.K. Miglani during the course of the general elections, have reportedly been doing the rounds in Bhopal. Nath has denied any relations with any person involved in the collection of funds for elections as alleged by the IT department.

Meanwhile, his father’s institution IMT Ghaziabad has run into trouble as the land, upon which it has been constructed, has been declared as illegally occupied by the Adityanath government. His son Bakul Nath now runs the institution which is rated very highly for its MBA programmes.

Also read: How the Congress Is Normalising Soft-Hindutva in Madhya Pradesh

Nath’s inability to connect with the electorate in Madhya Pradesh is partly due to his misreading of the circumstances in the aftermath of the assembly election results. He has not been able to adequately send out assurances that he is serious about governance or is willing to bring scamsters to the book.

He has not spoken a word about investigating the Vyapam scam, which took the lives of 52 people and disrupted the careers of thousands of youngsters, especially doctors. This lost him the youth electorate. The middle-class electorate, which cares about issues of policy and governance, was lost soon after he selected S.R. Mohanty – a 1982 batch officer who has not yet been fully exonerated in the infamous ICDS scam – as the chief secretary.

Nath’s strategy to continue with bureaucrats, who held cream postings during the 13-year Shivraj rule in important positions, lost him the support of grass root level Congress workers who expected significant changes within administration. The farm sector was lost as soon as he failed to fulfil his promise of loan waivers.

Nath has also failed to stamp his authority over his MLAs owing to his lopsided cabinet which supports one particular camp. Those in BJP considered close to him, like ex-Congressman Sanjay Pathak and the four Independents, waited for the Lok Sabha results to decide their next step. It is now a given that they are unlikely to switch over to the Congress.

Also read: Congress Embraces Old Ways of Relying on Dynasts Without a Shred of Embarrassment

With his wafer-thin majority of 114-109, Nath is dependent on a temperamental Mayawati and her two MLAs if push comes to shove. Many Congress MLAs particularly those in the Scindia camp have been openly suggesting that Jyotiraditya be made either the CM or the PCC president. Added to this mix, is Rahul’s comment on Nath promoting his son Nakul at the expense of the party.

Bhupesh Baghel’s administrative issues

A similar situation prevails in Chhattisgarh. Senior minister, and one of the claimants of chief ministership, T.S. Singhdeo had made his stand clear just before the counting of Lok Sabha votes. Anything less than 7 seats would be a moral defeat, he had said, and Congress ended up with 2. More than that he had accepted defeat in Sarguja even before the first vote was counted stating in no uncertain terms that people in the region were still angry with Congress for ignoring his claims for the top post.

Baghel has been struggling with administration issues with an inexperienced team and his attempts to uncover the corruption cases of his predecessor Raman Singh’s era. The loss in Durg was particularly embarrassing for him as he had gotten a ticket for his protégé, Pratima Chandrakar, who not only lost, but trailed even in Patan, which is Baghel’s assembly seat.

Also read: In Chhattisgarh, Probes Into Sins of Previous Regime Run Into Trouble

A demand by a senior congressman – who at the moment wants to remain unnamed as things can always  take an unexpected turn within the Congress system – is that MLAs should be asked for a secret ballot to determine their leader in both states and the PCC should be completely overhauled replacing people who have been at the helm for more than five years.

Another round of local elections are expected in the next six months and this may be the last opportunity for the Congress to bring in some youngsters with fresh blood and fresh ideas.