North Korea Missiles Can Hit Most of US, American Officials Warn

North Korea’s latest test of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) has shown that Pyongyang now may be able to reach most of the continental US, two US officials said on Monday.

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un guides the second test-fire of ICBM Hwasong-14. Credit: KCNA via Reuters

Washington: North Korea‘s latest test of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) has shown that Pyongyang now may be able to reach most of the continental US, two US officials told Reuters on Monday.

The assessment, which the officials discussed on condition of anonymity, underscored the growing threat posed by Pyongyang’s nuclear and missile programs, and could add pressure on President Donald Trump’s administration to respond.

North Korea said on Saturday it had conducted another successful test of an ICBM that proved its ability to strike America’s mainland.

The secretive North‘s leader, Kim Jong Un, supervised the midnight launch of the missile on Friday night and called it a “stern warning” to the US that it would not be safe from destruction if it tried to attack, the official KCNA news agency said.

However, two US intelligence officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, said on Monday Kim wants to develop a nuclear-capable ICBM to deter any attack on his country and gain international legitimacy, not to launch an attack on the US or its allies that he knows would be suicidal.

The Pentagon declined to comment on the US assessment of the missile launch, even as it acknowledged that the latest test represented the longest test flight of any North Korean missile.

“The specifics of our assessment are classified for reasons I hope you understand,” Pentagon spokesman Navy Captain Jeff Davis told a news briefing, acknowledging only that the missile could fly at least 5,500 km (3,420 miles), the minimum range for what the Pentagon classifies as an ICBM.

Two separate US officials who discussed the latest test, which lasted about 45 minutes, said it showed greater range than the July 4 ICBM launch, which North Korea said lasted 39 minutes.

One of the officials said it had greater height, range and power than the previous test because it used force stabilizing engines, which counter the effects of winds and other forces that can knock an ascending rocket off course.

‘Unusual Submarine Activity’ 

CNN, citing a US defence official, reported later that North Korea had been showing “highly unusual and unprecedented levels” of submarine activity, in addition to its third “ejection test” this month.

The ejection test was carried out on land at Sinpo Naval Shipyard on Sunday, the US defence official told CNN. It gave no other details about the increased submarine activity.

Ejection tests from submarines usually gauge the ability to “cold launch” missiles, when high pressure steam is used to propel missiles out of launch canisters.

The shipyard is in Sinpo, a port city on the east coast where the North had previously conducted tests of submarine-launched ballistic missiles.

A South Korea defence ministry official told Reuters the military was watching the situation in the North closely but did not provide more information because it was classified.

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe spoke with Trump on Monday and agreed on the need for more action on North Korea, hours after the US Ambassador to the UN said Washington was “done talking about North Korea“.

The Pentagon acknowledged military-to-military talks with US allies Japan and South Korea after the test.

Davis said that, while the test missile had a lofted trajectory rather than the more direct one required to reach the US, the military takes the threat seriously.

“You could have the debate back and forth of whether the capability is proven or not, the fact of the matter is we take it seriously and we are prepared to defend against (it),” he said.

The Hwasong-14, named after the Korean word for Mars, reached an altitude of 3,724.9 km (2,314.6 miles) and flew 998 km (620 miles) before landing in the waters off the Korean peninsula’s east coast, according to KCNA.

The flight demonstrated successful stage separation, and reliability of the vehicle’s control and guidance to allow the warhead to make an atmospheric re-entry under conditions harsher than under a normal long-range trajectory, KCNA said.

Independent weapons experts also said they believed the launch demonstrated many parts of the US were within range if the missile had been launched at a flattened trajectory.

(Reuters) 

London High Court Rejects Case to Prosecute Tony Blair over Iraq

A British court on Monday rejected an attempt by a former Iraqi general to bring a private prosecution against former Prime Minister Tony Blair over the invasion of Iraq in 2003.

Britain’s former Prime Minister Tony Blair speaks at a meeting of the European People’s Party in Wicklow, Ireland, May 12, 2017. Credit: Reuters/Clodagh Kilcoyne/Files

London: A British court on Monday rejected an attempt by a former Iraqi general to bring a private prosecution against former Prime Minister Tony Blair over the invasion of Iraq in 2003.

Blair‘s decision to join the US-led coalition that toppled Saddam Hussein has tainted the legacy of his 10 years in office, and his critics in Britain and Iraq have been calling for him to face criminal action for years.

Iraqi General Abdel Waheed Shannan al Rabbat has been trying to bring a private prosecution against Blair and two of his former senior ministers for what his lawyers described as the crime of aggression.

But the High Court on Monday refused permission for a judicial review of an earlier ruling by a lower court that the action could not go ahead as there was no such crime under the law of England and Wales.

The general’s lawyers had argued that the earlier ruling, delivered in November last year, was based on an incorrect premise and that it should be reviewed by the Supreme Court.

But two senior High Court judges rejected their arguments, saying they had no prospect of success in the Supreme Court and therefore the judicial review should not be authorised.

The judges accepted that there was a crime of aggression under international law, but said there was no such crime under domestic law, which meant a prosecution for that crime could not take place in domestic courts.

Blair and the two other targets of the action, former foreign affairs minister Jack Straw and former Attorney General Peter Goldsmith, have taken no part in the legal proceedings.

Blair‘s reputation has been severely damaged in the eyes of many Britons by his unpopular decision to go to war in Iraq and by the chaos and conflict that have continued to plague that country since.

In a scathing report on Britain’s role in Iraq published last year, a seven-year inquiry described a catalogue of failures in Blair‘s justification, planning and handling of the war.

Eight months before the 2003 invasion, Blair told then US President George W. Bush “I will be with you, whatever”, eventually sending 45,000 British troops into battle when peace options had not been exhausted, the inquiry said.

Blair has always denied lying to parliament and to the British people when he made the case for going to war, and continues to argue that the world is a better and safer place as a result of the toppling of Saddam.

“I did not mislead this country. There were no lies, there was no deceit, there was no deception,” the former prime minister said after the inquiry published its report.

Anthony Scaramucci Latest to Leave White House Post

Scaramucci’s brief tenure was marked by a determination to crack down on White House leaks to the media and profanity-filled comments to The New Yorker

Scaramucci‘s brief tenure was marked by a determination to crack down on White House leaks to the media and profanity-filled comments to the New Yorker.

White House communications director Anthony Scaramucci speaks during an on air interview at the White House in Washington, US, July 26, 2017. Credit: Reuters/Joshua Roberts/Files

White House communications director Anthony Scaramucci speaks during an on air interview at the White House in Washington, US, July 26, 2017. Credit: Reuters/Joshua Roberts/Files

Washington: A few hours after President Donald Trump said there was no chaos in the White House, the administration announced on Monday that Anthony Scaramucci was leaving his post as communications director after a little more than a week on the job.

The brash Scaramucci‘s brief tenure was marked by a determination to crack down on White House leaks to the media and profanity-filled comments to the New Yorker attacking then-chief of staff Reince Priebus and Trump adviser Steve Bannon.

Sources familiar with the situation said Trump fired Scaramucci over the obscene tirade.

“The president certainly felt that Anthony’s comments were inappropriate for a person in that position,” spokeswoman Sarah Sanders told reporters.

Following is a partial list of officials who have been fired or have left the administration since Trump took office on January 20, as well as people who were nominated by Trump for a position but did not take the job.

* Philip Bilden – a private equity executive and former military intelligence officer picked by Trump for secretary of the navy, withdrew from consideration in February because of government conflict-of-interest rules.

* James Comey – Federal Bureau of Information director who had been leading an investigation into the Trump 2016 presidential campaign’s possible collusion with Russia to influence the election outcome, was fired by Trump in May.

* James Donovan – a Goldman Sachs Group Inc banker who was nominated by Trump as deputy treasury secretary, withdrew his name in May.

* Michael Dubke – founder of Crossroads Media, resigned as White House communications director in May.

* Michael Flynn – resigned in February as Trump‘s national security adviser after disclosures that he had discussed US sanctions on Russia with the Russian ambassador to the US before Trump took office and misled Vice President Mike Pence about the conversations.

* Mark Green – Trump‘s nominee for army secretary, who had served in the 160th special operations aviation regiment, withdrew his name from consideration in May.

* Gerrit Lansing – White House chief digital officer, stepped down in February after failing to pass an FBI background check, according to Politico.

* Jason Miller – communications director for Trump‘s transition team who was named by the president-elect in December as White House communications director, said days later that he would not take the job.

* Reince Priebus – the former chairman of the Republican National Committee was replaced by Kelly as Trump‘s chief of staff on Friday. A confidant of the president said Trump had lost confidence in Priebus after major legislative items failed to pass the US Congress.

* Todd Ricketts – a co-owner of the Chicago Cubs baseball team and Trump‘s choice for deputy secretary of commerce, withdrew from consideration in April.

* Walter Shaub – the head of the US office of government ethics, who clashed with Trump and his administration, stepped down in July before his five-year term was to end.

* Michael Short – senior White House assistant press secretary, resigned last Tuesday.

* Sean Spicer – resigned as White House press secretary on July 21, ending a turbulent tenure after Trump named Scaramucci as White House communications director.

* Robin Townley – an aide to the national security adviser, Flynn, was rejected in February after he was denied security clearance to serve on the National Security Council, according to Politico.

* Vincent Viola – an army veteran and a former chairman of the New York Mercantile Exchange, nominated by Trump to be secretary of the army, withdrew his name from consideration in February.

* Katie Walsh – deputy White House chief of staff, was transferred to the outside pro-Trump group America First policies in March, according to Politico.

* Caroline Wiles – Trump’s director of scheduling, resigned in February after failing a background check, according to Politico.

* Sally Yates – acting US attorney general, was fired by Trump in January after she ordered Justice Department lawyers not to enforce Trump‘s immigration ban.

(Reuters)

Qatar Launches WTO Complaint Against Gulf Trade Boycott

Qatar filed a wide-ranging legal complaint at the World Trade Organisation on Monday to challenge a trade boycott by Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and United Arab Emirates.

Cars drive past the building of Qatar Central Bank in Doha, Qatar, June 6, 2017. Credit: Reuters/Naseem Zeitoon/File Photo

Geneva: Qatar filed a wide-ranging legal complaint at the World Trade Organisation on Monday to challenge a trade boycott by Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and United Arab Emirates, the director of Qatar‘s WTO office Ali Alwaleed al-Thani told Reuters.

By formally “requesting consultations” with the three countries, the first step in a trade dispute, Qatar triggered a 60-day deadline for them to settle the complaint or face litigation at the WTO and potential retaliatory trade sanctions.

“We’ve given sufficient time to hear the legal explanations on how these measures are in compliance with their commitments, to no satisfactory result,” al-Thani said.

“We have always called for dialogue, for negotiations, and this is part of our strategy to talk to the members concerned and to gain more information on these measures, the legality of these measures, and to find a solution to resolve the dispute.”

The boycotting states cut ties with Qatar – a major global gas supplier and host to the biggest US military base in the Middle East – on June 5, accusing it of financing militant groups in Syria, and allying with Iran, their regional foe, allegations Doha denies.

The boycotting countries have previously told the WTO that they would cite national security to justify their actions against Qatar, using a controversial and almost unprecedented exemption allowed under the WTO rules.

They said on Sunday they were ready for talks to tackle the dispute, the worst rift between Gulf Arab states in years, if Doha showed willingness to deal with their demands.

The text of Qatar‘s WTO complaint cites “coercive attempts at economic isolation” and spells out how they are impeding Qatar‘s rights in the trade in goods, trade in services and intellectual property.

The complaints against Saudi Arabia and the UAE run to eight pages each, while the document on Bahrain is six pages.

There was no immediate reaction from the three to Qatar‘s complaint, which is likely to be circulated at the WTO later this week.

“Remain hopeful” 

The disputed trade restrictions include bans on trade through Qatar‘s ports and travel by Qatari citizens, blockages of Qatari digital services and websites, closure of maritime borders and prohibition of flights operated by Qatari aircraft.

The complaint does not put a value on the trade boycott, and al-Thani declined to estimate how much Qatar could seek in sanctions if the litigation ever reached that stage, which can take 2-5 years or longer in the WTO system.

“We remain hopeful that the consultations could bear fruit in resolving this,” he said.

The WTO suit does not include Egypt, the fourth country involved in the boycott. Although it has also cut travel and diplomatic ties with Qatar, Egypt did not expel Qatari citizens or ask Egyptians to leave Qatar.

Al-Thani declined to explain why Egypt was not included.

“Obviously all options are available. But we have not raised a consultation request with Egypt yet,” he said.

In its WTO case, Qatar would also draw attention to the impact the boycott was having on other WTO members, he added.

Many trade diplomats say that using national security as a defence risks weakening the WTO by removing a taboo that could enable countries to escape international trade obligations.

Al-Thani said governments had wide discretion to invoke the national security defence but it had to be subject to oversight.

“If it is self-regulating, that is a danger to the entire multilateral trading system itself. And we believe the WTO will take that into consideration.”

Qatar also raised the boycott at a meeting of the UN’s International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO) on Monday, al-Thani said.

In comments to Qatar-based Al Jazeera television later on Monday, Qatar‘s transport and information minister said the boycotting countries had discriminated against Doha in violation of an international agreement guaranteeing overflights.

“These countries have used this right arbitrarily and imposed it on aircraft registered only in the State of Qatar,” Jassim bin Saif al-Sulaiti said.

Qatar in June asked Montreal-based ICAO to resolve the conflict, using a dispute resolution mechanism in the Chicago Convention, a 1944 treaty that created the agency and set basic rules for international aviation.

Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt and Bahrain said on Sunday they would allow Qatari planes to use air corridors in emergencies.

(Reuters) 

As Darjeeling Hill Parties Meet in Delhi, Gurung Says Only GJM Can Call Off Bandh

The indefinite shutdown in the Darjeeling hills has now been on for 47 days.

GJM chief Bimal Gurung denied allegations that they had a “tacit understanding” with the Maoists. Credit: PTI

Darjeeling: All eyes are on a meeting of all the parties of the Darjeeling hills, to be held in New Delhi today over Gorkhaland, while GJM supremo Bimal Gurung yesterday said only his party could withdraw the indefinite shutdown in the hills, which is going on for 47 days.

The 30-member Gorkhaland Movement Coordination Committee (GMCC), a body of all the hill parties including the GJM, formed earlier this month, is in Delhi for the meeting. It had held all of its earlier meetings in the hills.

However, Gurung made it clear that the GMCC would not have any say as regards withdrawing the strike in the hills, apparently hinting at a crack in it.

“The GMCC has no role to play as far as withdrawing the bandh is concerned. The GJM had called it and only the GJM can withdraw it,” he told a press conference here.

Condemning the police action on the GJM workers, Gurung hit out at the West Bengal government.

“All our programmes are being carried out peacefully and in a democratic way but unfortunately, the state government is trying to portray the movement as an undemocratic one and using brutal force to curb it,” he said.

He also denied the allegations that the GJM had a “tacit understanding” with the Maoists.

Gurung welcomed Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) MP Majeed Memon’s concern about the situation in the Darjeeling hills.

Memon raised the issue in the Rajya Sabha and urged the government to invite the agitators for talks to restore normalcy in the affected region.

Meanwhile, the GMCC has decided to meet Union home minister Rajnath Singh with a copy of the resolution, which is slated to be adopted at its meeting tomorrow.

“We have decided to meet the home minister with a copy of the resolution. The Centre needs to take concrete action,” Munish Tamang, national working president of the Bharatiya Gorkha Parisangh, told PTI.

The GJM has given a ten-day “deadline” to the Centre to intervene in the logjam arising out of its demand for a separate state of Gorkhaland or else, it has threatened to intensify the movement in the Darjeeling hills.

“We have given a ten-day deadline to the Union government. An indefinite shutdown is going on for 47 days, the Centre can’t just sit idle when the hills are burning,” GJM assistant general secretary Binay Tamang told reporters on Sunday.

(PTI) 

Syria Has No Information on 39 Missing Indians in Iraq, Says Ambassador

Syria’s ambassador to India Riad Kamel Abbas said an Indian delegation has made several trips to Syria and Iraq in the past to seek information about them.

People celebrate after Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi declared victory over the militants in the de facto Iraqi capital of their self-declared caliphate in Mosul, Iraq, July 11, 2017. Credit: Reuters/Stringer

People celebrate after Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi declared victory over the militants in the de facto Iraqi capital of their self-declared caliphate in Mosul, Iraq, July 11, 2017. However, there was no information of the missing Indian nationals from the liberated city. Credit: Reuters/Stringer

New Delhi: Syria’s ambassador to India Riad Kamel Abbas today said his country has no information about the 39 Indians who went missing in Iraq in 2014.

He, however, said Syria is “keen” to send them home if they are found in its territory.

Abbas said an Indian delegation has made several trips to Syria and Iraq in the past to seek information about them and the chief of the Intelligence Department of Syria has also visited New Delhi in this regard.

“The Indian delegation went to Syria many times and the chief of Syrian intelligence agency came to Delhi for it,” the envoy said.

“We are very keen to bring them (missing Indians) home if they are in our territory, but there is no official confirmation about it,” he added.

Early this month, Iraqi forces freed Mosul from the ISIS, a development that gave a ray of hope to the families of 39 Indians.

However, there was no information on the missing Indian nationals from the liberated city.

China Confident It Can Beat All Invasions: President Xi Jinping

This is the second time in three days that Xi spoke of China’s People’s Liberation Army’s capability to thwart invasions.

China’s President Xi Jinping reviews an honour guard during a welcoming ceremony for Nigerian President Muhammadu Buhari (not pictured) in Beijing, April 12, 2016 Credit: Jason Lee/Reuters/File Photos

President Xi Jinping today said China will never compromise on its sovereignty and security and its army has the confidence to defeat “all invasions”.

“We will never allow any people, organisation or political party to split any part of Chinese territory out of the country at any time, in any form,” Xi said addressing a special ceremony to mark the 90th anniversary of the 2.3 million strong People’s Liberation Army (PLA), the world’s largest standing army.

Xi’s remarks came amid the Sino-India standoff in the Sikkim section.

“The Chinese people love peace. We will never seek aggression or expansion, but we have the confidence to defeat all invasions,” Xi, 64, said.

“No one should expect us to swallow the bitter fruit that is harmful to our sovereignty, security or development interests,” he said at the ceremony held at the Great Hall of the People attended by Premier Li Keqiang and other top leaders of the ruling Communist Party and army officials.

This is the second time in three days that Xi spoke of the PLA’s capability to thwart invasions.

On July 30, Xi during a massive PLA parade had said, “I firmly believe that our gallant military has both confidence and ability to defeat all invading enemies”.

Like his earlier address, there was no direct reference in his speech to over a month-long India-China military standoff at Doklam in the Sikkim section.

His remarks came in the midst of massive official media campaign by the foreign and defence ministries here accusing Indian troops of trespassing into Chinese territory at Doklam.

National Security Advisor Ajit Doval last month during the Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa NSAs meet here on July 27-28 also held separate talks with his Chinese counterpart Yang Jiechi.

Both the countries are tight-lipped about the outcome of Doval-Yang talks.

(PTI) 

Why Scientists Used Artificial Neural Networks to Decode the Origins of Menopause

Since there exists no known human population without menopause, there is no direct way of studying the emergence of the phenomenon.

Since there exists no known human population without menopause, there is no direct way of studying the emergence of the phenomenon.

An artist's reconstruction of a neural net in the human brain. Credit: centralasian/Flickr, CC BY 2.0

An artist’s reconstruction of a neural net in the human brain. Credit: centralasian/Flickr, CC BY 2.0

Bengaluru: Except for killer whales and pilot whales, females in no other species – not even among apes, our closest relatives – lose the ability to reproduce as early in their lives as humans do. And no wonder, because if the transmission of genes to offspring (i.e. reproduction) is the primary driving force behind evolution, why would any species adopt a mechanism that stops it? In other words, why did menopause emerge among humans?

Scientists in France, led by evolutionary biologist Carla Aime-Jubin of the University of Montpellier, Montpellier, employed artificial intelligence to simulate a population in which menopause had not yet developed in humans. Since their experiment was virtual, they were able to tweak the conditions that the simulated population lived in and note the settings under which menopause developed. Their results, published last week in PLOS Computational Biology, seem to give strength to one of the three most popular hypotheses that explain menopause.

According to the ‘maternal hypothesis’ proposed by Jocelyn Scott Peccei in 1995, menopause is a response to the increased risk of dying during childbirth in older women. Peccei suggested that natural selection started to favour women who became prematurely fertile because they were better off spending their energy on existing children than on late pregnancies. But in Aime-Jubin’s simulated population, this hypothesis did not fit. Even in models where there was no increased cost of reproduction with age (the main assumption of Peccei’s hypothesis), menopause continued to emerge.

Besides, the maternal hypothesis suffers from one major deficiency. Though it seems to reasonably explain why menopause emerged, it doesn’t answer the other aspect of the puzzle: why live so long after reproduction stops? This is why this theory failed to overturn the older and more dominant ‘grandmother hypothesis’. The grandmother hypothesis states that a long life after menopause allows women to focus their attention on their own children who are of reproductive age and rear their grandchildren.

The value of grandparenting

On the surface of it, this hypothesis may not strike one as particularly convincing, but it turns out that grandparents have been proven to have enormous impacts on the lives of growing children. In the 1980s, anthropologist Kristen Hawkes studied the division of labour in a tribe of hunter-gatherers in Tanzania and what she saw highlighted this. “With no young children of their own, they (grandmothers) help feed their daughters’ and nieces’ offspring. This help is especially important for the nutritional welfare of weaned children when their mothers forage less at the arrival of a newborn,” she noted in one of her papers. By using their strength to keep their grandchildren safe and healthy, grandmothers are indirectly ensuring that their genes get reproduced – despite not being fertile themselves. Hence, Hawkes argues that it may not be accurate to call menopausal women ‘post-reproductive’ after all.

Aimes-Jubin’s computer models partially supported the grandmother hypothesis but they also emphasised that it is not just physically that grandparents are helping children but also cognitively. That is the essence of a more recent update on the grandmother’s hypothesis, called the ‘embodied capital model’ (ECM).

Like in the grandmother’s hypothesis, the main idea of ECM is that grand-mothering plays a pivotal role in the evolution of menopause. But it also acknowledges the role of cognitive resources. Aime-Jubin explained via email that investing in neural development at one stage of life will return increasing benefits along the way by promoting the accumulation of experience and skills. “These delayed benefits allow ageing people to survive and still acquire resources (more than they need for survival) from their environment even if their physical condition decreases. These surplus resources could be used for having new children or for grandchildren care,” she said.

Aime-Jubin said that though the link between ECM and menopause was first suggested in 2012 by Hillard Kaplan, an evolutionary anthropologist, theirs is the first study to formally test for the relation. While the paper stresses on what this could mean for a better understanding of why women undergo menopause, equally important is the scope for the methodology Aime-Jubin and colleagues have used here.

The pros and cons of modelling

Mathematical modelling studies are considered problematic because the results they gives are only as good as the assumptions that are used. Indeed, some concerns have cropped up with the assumptions made in this one, too. In an article in Popular Science, anthropologist Lorena Madrigal of University of South Florida wrote that some of the parameters in Aime-Jubin’s studies may not fit in with all communities and ecologies. She called for more cross-cultural research across different ecologies and time periods. Nevertheless, in the case of menopause studies, they present an opportunity.

Artificial neural networking, the modelling technique used in the new study, is a computer programme designed to mimic the way the brain works. It ‘learns’ by detecting patterns and relationships between individuals in a simulated population and eventually uses its experience to predict outcomes. In 2012, a study from Trinity College used this method to show evidence that cooperation among individuals played a role in driving the evolution of intelligence and larger brains. It showed how artificial intelligence-based models are capable of addressing fundamental questions about human evolution.

Aime-Jubin’s study is a newer example of this. Since there exists no known human population without menopause, there is no direct way of studying the emergence of the phenomenon. “Artificial neural networking allows observing the evolution of menopause from its emergence, by simulating populations where menopause does not necessarily exist and then testing the conditions for its emergence,” said Aime-Jubin. “It is almost like an evolutionary ‘time machine’.”

In this case, they could simulate individuals who can extract resources from their environment as well as decide how they want to allocate resources – whether for increasing survival or for reproduction. Their decisions will determine which individuals will survive and reproduce so that their “genes” (represented in the artificial neural network as numbers) can become more frequent in the population. It is exactly the same process as followed in real populations, i.e. evolution, pointed out Aime-Rubin.

The authors see a future where artificial neural networks could similarly be used to study other life history traits like ageing. But before that, they need to address the primary shortcoming of their study: that it is a one-sex model. This is inadequate because ECM is a two-sex model, meaning it predicts that both ageing women and men may stop reproducing to allocate resources to existing children and grandchildren. Her next objective is to design a two-sex model of this experiment so that they can begin to address the next question: why don’t men lose the ability to reproduce like women do?

No Competition for Modi in 2019 Elections, Says Nitish Kumar

The Bihar chief minister also said that the opposition had no real agenda and that he had no option but to break his alliance with Lalu because of the corruption charges.

The Bihar chief minister also said that the opposition had no real agenda and that he had no option but to break his alliance with Lalu because of the corruption charges.

Nitish Kumar addressing a press conference in Patna on Monday. Credit: PTI

Nitish Kumar addressing a press conference in Patna on Monday. Credit: PTI

New Delhi: In his first media interaction after being sworn in as Bihar chief minister again, Nitish Kumar said he had no option but to walk out of the grand alliance as continuing in the coalition would have meant compromising with corruption. He also said that Prime Minister Narendra Modi winning the 2019 re-elections was inevitable, as nobody had the capacity to take him on. Nitish, who recently broke his alliance with Lalu Prasad Yadav’s RJD and the Congress, and went back to the NDA fold after a four-year hiatus, said, “Nobody has the strength to take on the prime minister”.

Nitish also praised Modi’s ‘surgical strikes’ and demonetisation moves, adding, “I have full faith in him and hope he will strike at benami properties in a big way,” Hindustan Times reported.

In the last four years, Nitish had been a scathing critic of the Modi government, the RSS and the Sangh parivar, speaking out against their policies and ideology on several occasions.

Nitish added that although he had always stood for opposition unity, “the opposition has no idea, only a reactive agenda,” according to the Indian Express.

“There were corruption charges and cases were filed by the CBI (against Lalu and his family). I had only told them to come out with proper answers. Instead, they made fun of me, asking whether I was a CBI official or the police,” he told a press conference.

“Laluji did not give any clarification on corruption charges. How could I remain silent after having talked about zero tolerance to corruption? Now I have a feeling that they did not have a proper answer,” Nitish said.

Nitish also said he knew he was opening himself up to criticism from certain sections for aligning with the BJP. “But I would have faced more criticism if I had supported corruption. Secularism is an idea but it should not be used as a cover for acquiring illegal assets,” Indian Express quoted him as saying.

“What does secularism mean? Does secularism mean owning property worth thousands of crore of rupees?” he asked.

He rejected the idea that he had national ambitions. Hindustan Times quoted him as saying, “My role in national politics will be confined to serving one of the bigger states of the country.”

Meanwhile, the Patna high court on Monday dismissed two PILs challenging the formation of a new government by Nitish, saying the court’s intervention was no longer required after the floor test in the state assembly.

While one public interest litigation was filed by RJD MLAs Saroj Yadav and Chandan Verma, the other was by Jitendra Nitish, a Samajwadi Party member.

Nitish comfortably won the confidence vote, 131-108, on Friday.

Even as Nitish defended his decision of aligning with the BJP, JD(U) veteran Sharad Yadav voiced his disapproval, saying the mandate in the 2015 assembly polls was for the grand alliance. He termed the development “unpleasant” and “unfortunate”.

“The situation is very unpleasant to us… It is unfortunate that the coalition has been broken. Peoples mandate was not for it. Bihar’s 11 crore people had endorsed our alliance,” Yadav told reporters outside parliament.

The Rajya Sabha member has met a number of opposition leaders since Nitish walked out of the three-party mahagathbandhan and joined the NDA camp.

Nitish, on the other hand, played down Sharad’s views, saying people have different opinions in a democracy and the party leaders would get to air them at the JD(U)’s national executive meeting in Patna on August 19.

Addressing a press conference in Patna, he said the Bihar unit of the party had endorsed the decision to snap ties with the RJD and join hands with the BJP.

In Lucknow, BJP chief Amit Shah dismissed allegations of his party engineering splits and defections in rival political organisations.

“In Bihar, we did not break any party. Nitish had tendered his resignation as he had decided that he will not put up with corruption. Should we have told him with a gun to his temple that stay in that alliance?” Shah told a press conference.

(With PTI inputs)

How the Lingayat Demand for Religion Status Became a Pre-Election Issue in Karnataka

The Congress’s backing of the demand is being seen as an attempt to woo Lingayat votes and undercut the BJP’s push for Hindu consolidation.

The Congress’s backing of the demand is being seen as an attempt to woo Lingayat votes and undercut the BJP’s push for Hindu consolidation.

The Lingayat rally in Bidar. Credit: Twitter/@Lingayatas

The Lingayat rally in Bidar. Credit: Twitter/@Lingayatas

A new political drama debuted on the pre-election stage in Karnataka last week, promising maximum sparring, contest and a bounty of contested positions in the lead up to the state assembly polls in April-May 2018. Playing on screens now is a high-stakes tussle between the Congress and the BJP, the two principal parties in the fray, for the votes of the Lingayat community, which makes up close to 17% of the state’s population.

With the community having stayed firmly outside the Congress fold in recent times, the party has made a bold incursion into what is now BJP territory. It has come out in full support of a contentious demand from a section of the Lingayats for a separate religion tag outside of Hinduism.

The Congress’s offensive against the BJP and its chief ministerial face, B.S. Yeddyurappa, a powerful Lingayat leader seen as being able to carry the community with him on election day, is aimed at widening its own stagnating electoral support base beyond the minorities, the backward classes and Dalits (known as the AHINDA vote bank). The move is widely perceived to be the brainchild of current chief minister Siddaramaiah, one of the last surviving regional Congress leaders with heft.

The issue, swathed in layers of complexity, puts the spotlight on how democratic politics shapes caste and religious identities, and the contingent discourse around reservation benefits. But in a more immediate context, it brings into play tricky questions surrounding Lingayat identity with an aim to unsettle the existing equations – the undiluted backing of the community is crucial for the BJP to come to power in the 2018 polls. It also plugs into a larger political debate with national implications. For by supporting the demand, the Congress in the state stands to be seen as chipping away at the BJP’s, and its parent organisation RSS’s, attempt to forge a unified Hindu identity. This could be leveraged by the BJP for deadly electoral impact, as it was in the 2017 Uttar Pradesh assembly polls.

The history of Lingayat identity

The separate religion demand has captured all-round attention in Karnataka politics. The Lingayats are what political scientists call a ‘caste-sect’, and fall within the OBC category in the state. It is a community that is made up of different castes within Hinduism, united by their allegiance to the teachings of Basaveshwara, a 12th-century social reformer and a poet-saint within the Bhakti movement. Basavanna, as he is popularly known, fought the inequalities of the Hindu social order by establishing a new egalitarian religious stream or sect of Shiva worship called Veerashaivism, which attracted followers from different sections of society.

The position that the Lingayat religion is separate from Hinduism has been stated from time to time within the community. It gained momentum in the past decade. During the 2011 census, some Lingayat community organisations had campaigned to convince community members not to register as Hindus. However, for the first time the demand for a separate religious identity was made at a public Lingayat gathering attended by 50,000 or more people at a rally in Bidar on July 19.


Also read: The History, Dilemmas and Dangers of Karnataka’s Flag Debate


In addition to their demand, the faction of religious and political leaders at Bidar held that Lingayats and Veerashaivas were not one and the same, as they are commonly held to be. According to them, Veerashaivism was a sect of Shiva worship within Hinduism, whereas the Lingayat religion was an independent religion based on the Vachanas or the poetic corpus left behind by Basavanna. This, according to them, was the founding text of Lingayat worship. Therefore, they ought to be recognised both as separate from Veerashaivas (who were one of the many sects within the Lingayat community) and Hindus.

The numbers at the rally notwithstanding, the issue got a shot in the arm after Siddaramaiah, almost on cue, said that he was willing to make a representation on the matter to the central government if the Lingayats were unanimous about asking for separate religious status. Soon, Yeddyurappa hit back by describing the Congress’s support as aimed at dividing the community on a religious issue for electoral benefits. He dismissed the separate religion claim completely. “There is no difference between the Veerashaivas and Lingayats, and they are very much part of Hinduism,” he was quoted by the Times of India as saying. These statements by the two chief ministerial candidates, in turn, unleashed a series of claims, counter claims and arguments by various sections of the Lingayat community, including some by chiefs of religious muths.

The Lingayat rally in Bidar on July 19. Credit: Twitter/@anandbabusd

The Lingayat rally in Bidar on July 19. Credit: Twitter/@anandbabusd

The Congress has deployed a group of ministers to tour the state and build opinion in favour of the issue, while the BJP plans to do the opposite. Even Janata Dal (Secular)’s H.D. Kumaraswamy, whose party is seen as the custodian of the Vokkaliga community’s votes – the other big powerful voting bloc to rival the Lingayats – has jumped into the fray, disparaging the Congress’s actions.

Political experts, however, see the ferment within the Lingayat community over the move as closely linked to the assembly-election cycle rather than a widespread call to move out of the Hindu fold. “Demands erupt because of assembly elections…There would be pro-Congress groups (making the demand). They can also challenge the dominant Hindutva identity of the BJP,” said Rajeshwari Deshpande, professor of politics at the University of Pune, who has written extensively on the caste associations of Lingayats.

An unlikely change

She described the demands as “far-fetched” and a “tall kind of claim”, putting it down to a “political struggle for spaces” in the Lingayat community.

According to her, the Lingayat/Veershaiva identity has been in flux historically. “That is the beauty of it. (Lingayats) have a certain kind of affiliation with Hinduism and the castes within Hinduism have accepted Veershaivism…This duality makes it possible for versions of identity politics to exist,” she said. She  felt that the distinction between Veerashaivas and Lingayats have never sustained in the past.

The factions in the Lingayat community wanting to convince people to register as Lingayats and not Hindus in the 2021 census would encounter two dilemmas. Since the Lingayats already enjoying reservations, they would be apprehensive of losing benefits by describing themselves as non-Hindus. Moreover, practising Lingayats did not have much problem with a Hindu identity and were not extremely uncomfortable with it, she said.

Political scientist and psephologist Sandeep Shastri, who has studied Karnataka politics for a long time, pointed out that an important reason why the demand was finding favour with some sections of the Lingayat community had to do with the large number of educational institutions run by Lingayat leaders and religious muths. As members of a minority religious community, Lingayats would be able to enjoy the benefits that are accorded to such groups, including the freedom to administer their own educational institutions.

“Many influential leaders are running educational institutions. It is their belief that by demanding minority religion status for Lingayats they would get to enjoy a special status,” he said.

Shastri and other political observers felt it may be a case of the Congress “floating a trial balloon” and attempting to keep the BJP on tenterhooks. “It is a clever move by Siddaramaiah, who knows the caste arithmetic in the state inside out, but I don’t think he will follow through on the demand. This has been his strategy on the flag issue as well (the demand for a separate state flag for Karnataka),” said G.B. Harish, a Bangalore-based columnist and literary critic, who has written on Kannada culture and its literary icons.

Shastri said it would be critical for the BJP to “sidetrack the issue”, since the Lingayats were the mainstay of their electoral support, and the party would work towards refocusing the campaign towards issues that would suit them better.

In a situation where there is a possibility of a split in Lingayat votes, the BJP’s push for Hindu consolidation cannot be ruled out. This is a risk the Congress party runs if it backs Siddaramaiah toying with the Lingayat religion tag issue, political watchers believe. “The Congress party (at the Centre) should not be touching this issue even with a barge pole. The Lingayat community is not wholly behind the demand. The moment you take a rival position, you’ll unite Hindu sections,” said Shastri.

The real reason why the Congress may be unable to cash in on this social engineering experiment may have more to do with its drawbacks vis-à-vis building real linkages with the Lingayat community, although it may just succeed in rattling the BJP in the short term.

Aarthi Ramachandran is a Bangalore-based journalist and the author of Decoding Rahul Gandhi (Westland, 2012). She tweets at @homernods