The issue of a legal minimum support price (MSP) guarantee has divided not just political parties and governments but also the large community of farm experts and leaders, economists as well as commentators.
The debate is being conducted between seemingly irreconcilable camps: passionate, often angry, arguments are advanced either for or against the idea of ensuring universal coverage of MSP to all farmers.
Staggering figures of the outlays required by the government are calculated by some, warning against the foolhardiness of a legal MSP guarantee. Others offer more modest estimates with toned down numbers, as if a bargain price would somehow melt the hearts of policy makers.
The Union government, having agreed to set up an expert committee to examine the modalities of extending a legal MSP guarantee, has bought time to think through its next moves.
However, we are of the view that, even as the government comes out with its preferred solution, farmers’ bodies, experts, independent institutions and others must continue to explore options to provide an assurance to farmers that they will be able to realise MSP for their produce. While the legalese will be examined by the expert committee, such options need to be placed in the public domain for wider discussion with all stakeholders.
It is in this spirit that we offer the gist of a possible way forward in this note. We are not suggesting that this is the only way to achieve the objective, but certainly one of the possible pathways which appears shorter and requires minimal dislocation.
A bit of history is in order here. Those familiar with the story of how India travelled from a severely food deficit country, which produced barely 50 million million tonnes of food grains in 1950, to a situation of plenty, where the tentative estimate of last year’s food output is over 300 million MTs, know that this is one of most remarkable achievements of independent India. An agricultural sector which had been completely devastated by over a century of British policies was revived over barely three decades, with the adoption of far-sighted policies by the Union and state governments, the dedication of agricultural scientists, hard work by field administrators and of course the willing and eager participation of the farming community across the country.
Also read: Why the Farmers’ Demand to Legalise MSP is Justified
An elaborate ecosystem of research institutions, extension machinery, credit and input supply mechanisms, marketing and procurement infrastructure and a nation-wide public distribution system were created to permanently eradicate chronic food shortages and the spectre of famines. Much of the heavy lifting for this ambitious project was undertaken by the government. In fact, lack of ownership and pride in the fantastic achievement of national food security among many of the current generation of political leaders, policy makers and administrators remains one of the abiding puzzles of our times.
It is important to recall this history to emphasise that the buy-back of produce at minimum support prices (MSP) was a key pillar in the national effort to achieve self-sufficiency in food. It lay at the heart of the incentive structure offered to farmers to adopt new varieties of seed, learn the associated package of practices to nurture the crop, deal with unfamiliar pests and plant diseases and finally deliver the crop to procurement centres. From that point, the second aspect of the food security architecture took over, ensuring storage, transportation and distribution of food stocks throughout the country.
Critics of the current MSP regime make several valid points: procurement is largely limited to paddy and wheat (with small volumes of pulses and oilseeds) being added to the procurement list in the past few years); the geographical coverage of MSP is limited to only some states and even the most generous estimates suggest that only 10%-12% farm households in the country benefit from MSP directly.
We now have a historic opportunity to address these issues and create the template for a pan-Indian and inclusive mechanism to ensure assured returns to all producers who offer surplus produce for sale. And this can be done without the government having to procure the produce directly and wreck budgets. Rather, by intelligently leveraging the huge demand for food within the country and using the existing ecosystem of food marketing, we can achieve the objective of guaranteeing MSP to all farmers. We will call the suggested new arrangement, to be taken up in phases, the universal MSP or UMSP for the purposes of this write-up.
The proposal
UMSP is based on three premises:
- Production of all major commodities currently in the MSP regime is stable and will continue to be so in the medium term.
- Demand for food grains is also stable in the medium term (whether in the form of government needs under the food security law and welfare programmes such as MDM, ICDS, etc.), as well as private sector demand for manufacture of consumer food products).
- We accept current food security goals and the need for government agencies to procure food grains for welfare schemes and to hold buffer stock, hence UMSP does not propose to disturb the current direct procurement of wheat and paddy by government agencies; our proposal addresses the produce which is sold by farmers to private buyers (through the mandi or other systems prevalent in different states).
The solution we propose is a storage-linked price deficiency payment (SLPDP) mechanism that compensates producers for the difference between notified MSP and the actual realised price. Our proposal is fundamentally different from the ‘price deficiency payment model’ tried in Madhya Pradesh under the Bhavantar scheme.
The one-season price deficiency payment (PDP) experiment covering a few crops in Madhya Pradesh was shut down in 2018 by the State Government citing no reasons whatsoever. However, several commentators who followed the interesting trial concluded that the PDP had failed for the following three reasons:
- Price discovery in the mandis was not transparent and trader cartels seem to have forced down prices, leaving the government to bear higher compensation claims.
- The short window of the PDP scheme brought too much produce to the market yards and created a glut situation and distress sales.
- The compensation mechanism was complicated as it was based on market prices in APMCs. Moreover, many farmers could not benefit from the same due to their inability to file the required documentation.
In our view, any successful PDP must meet the test of being accessible to all farmers, be completely transparent in its functioning and implementation should be simple and cost-effective. A broad overview of the proposed UMSP solution below provides the outline of the scheme and makes an argument for its trial on a pilot basis covering a limited number of crops in a few States. If it meets the three objectives of inclusivity, transparency and ease of implementation, a gradual expansion to cover additional crops can be attempted.
The proposed architecture of UMSP would have four categories of actors:
- Producers (basically farmers);
- Aggregators (those who will virtually bundle produce into marketable lots);
- Buyers;
- Government (both the Central and state governments would have to be part of this solution as the entire architecture will be sponsored and regulated by designated authorities at each stage).
Producers will be registered on the UMSP system as a one-time on-boarding exercise. After the harvest, they can bring their produce to any UMSP-registered warehouse nearest to their village and deposit the same. These warehouses could belong to individuals, cooperatives, farmer producer organisations (FPOs), APMC market yards, corporates, public agencies etc. Basic norms such as quality of structure, capacity, accessibility etc. would be laid down in the registration norms. The objective should be to offer producers a choice of registered warehouses within 5-7 km radius of their village. Suitable norms, including standard pan-India storage costs, can be decided for these warehouses by the designated authority.
At the warehouse, the farmer’s produce would be checked for weight and quality and he will be issued an electronic, negotiable warehouse receipt (e-NWR). This instrument already exists and enables the farmer to raise up to 70% of the value of his deposited stock as a loan from a bank (for which standard rates and procedure can be offered), thus taking care of his immediate liquidity requirements. He can now afford to wait a few weeks or even months before selling off his deposited stock in small lots (or as he prefers) and benefit from any upside movement in prices.
To sell his produce, the farmer relies on the second set of actors, the aggregators. Like the farmers, aggregators would also be registered in the UMSP system through a one-time verification process. They can be individuals, cooperatives, FPOs, corporates, storage entrepreneurs, start-ups, mandi traders, commission agents, etc. Their fees would be uniform across the country and the list of services would be well defined. Moreover, since they only function online, there will be a complete audit trail of their activities.
Aggregators would bundle e-NWRs into saleable lots so that buyers are able to choose volumes, quality etc. Competitive bidding would be ensured by the system through screen-based trading for each lot, with full visibility to all players in real time. The price discovered would thus be a market-determined price. The model largely follows the practices of the well-established online trading of stocks which has worked for several decades. The only difference is that the securities (i.e. e-NWR) being traded in this case are backed by physical stocks instead of demat shares.
The third set of players on UMSP are the buyers. These can be individual traders, food processors, agribusiness companies, exporters, retailers, start-ups or even cooperatives and FPOs. As a matter of policy, mandi traders and commission agents should be included in UMSP. They are ones who will offer quotes for the e-NWR bundles being offered for sale and complete the transaction. Suitable arrangements can be made to build in transportation solutions on the UMSP portal to physically ensure the delivery of purchased stocks from the stored location to the buyer’s warehouse. All payments would be routed through the UMSP portal to the farmer’s bank account, leaving a clear audit trail of the actual realisation for the produce which passes through the system.
We now move to the final piece of the suggested UMSP architecture, the deficit payment mechanism. As is evident from the arrangement proposed above, the actual price realised by the farmer will be visible in his online account with the repository. The deposited stock x MSP/sale proceeds realised x100 will reveal the percentage of the farmer’s realisation which is either more or less than the MSP value. This deficit payment can be transferred into the farmer’s account by the designated authority of the Government. There should be no need for additional paperwork or filing of claims, thus saving both farmers and government agencies extra cost and effort. Of course, in case the realisation of the farmer for a particular crop is more than 100% of the MSP value, no payment would be released.
Two additional steps could reduce the potential cost of PDP for the government under this scenario:
One major move that can significantly strengthen the UMSP ecosystem is a vigorous futures market. All commodities for which MSP is notified should be on the futures trading platform and with full transparency of the harvested stocks, this market will be ideally placed to give price signals. With all trades backed by physical stocks, farmers or their FPOs or cooperatives can participate in futures options to lock in desired prices and de-risk themselves. This could help to reduce the payout by the government as PDP over a period of time as the futures market matures.
If the Government mandates compulsory registration of all warehouses with a designated authority, the private sector will come forward and register its warehouses, most of which are currently not registered. Many APMC-run mandis have surplus land which can also be utilised by them for construction of warehouses. These warehouses can provide competition to privately owned ones by offering better services. Cooperatives, FPOs and other rural entrepreneurs will also be incentivised to invest in warehousing space if the UMSP system is gradually expanded to cover more areas and crops.
It is noteworthy that this model does not disturb the normal market functioning in any way. In fact, it introduces complete transparency and rule-based trading for all produce where PDP is sought by the farmer. We also visualize that the traditional mandi system can co-exist with USMP, as there is a large volume of non-MSP crops (such as fruits and vegetables), as well as below FAQ (fair average quality) food grains which will continue to be traded in the mandis.
The outline provided in the foregoing paragraphs represents the kernel of the UMSP idea. Indeed, all its aspects require further debate and discussion, most importantly with stakeholders such as farmer unions, state governments, APMCs, banks, financial institutions, corporates and WDRA. We are of the view that a well-designed price deficiency payment system can be an effective pathway to deliver the promise of a universal MSP. Indeed, both the US and China follow their own models of PDP to give price support to producers.
Of course, it is neither desirable nor practical to switch suddenly to any new arrangement. Pilots covering a few crops like soybean, tur, urad, etc. can be initiated in a few states which have a wide enough network of WDRA registered warehouses (e.g. Madhya Pradesh). The results of such pilots can be subjected to independent concurrent evaluation for efficacy, efficiency and farmer experience etc. Given the unquestioned need to transit to a modern agricultural marketing system, which is both farmer and budget friendly, we submit that this idea needs to be widely debated.
Pravesh Sharma is former Agriculture Secretary, Madhya Pradesh and currently Director, Samunnati, an agritech company. Siraj Hussain is former Union Agriculture Secretary and presently Senior Visiting Fellow at ICRIER. Views expressed here are personal.