In India and Abroad, Michael Brecher Will Remain an Inspiration to Scholars of IR

Michael Brecher, besides being an important chronicler of post-Independence politics in India, was one of the foremost contributors to the vast corpus of knowledge in international relations.

Walking down the corridors of the Indian Council of World Affairs (ICWA) library in the 1980s, one could barely escape meeting scholars with intellectual acumen moving around. As a novice in foreign affairs, I, too, had unintended encounters with many of them.

The Sapru House (ICWA building) in New Delhi was already known as an international affairs public sphere, with ex-diplomats and foreign affairs scholars meeting frequently. It also had a cafeteria adjacent to its premises where scholars from the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA) gathered for informal conversations and engagements. The IDSA was housed in Sapru House at that time. Earlier, the Indian School of International Studies (SIS) was also functioning there, until the Jawaharlal Nehru University (JNU) was set up in the late 1960s. SIS was later merged with the JNU faculty. 

In the evenings, the lawns of the majestic Sapru House would witness scholars coming for a small break after the day-long strenuous work in the library. One evening, Professor T.T. Poulose, who had served as chairman of the Disarmament Division of JNU, approached me with his characteristic smile and asked, “Didn’t you get Brecher’s book?” In fact, this was his second reminder –knowing the subject of my doctoral thesis – to read Michael Brecher’s doctoral work, which had come as a book titled, The Struggle for Kashmir (1953).

Though I was familiar with Brecher’s widely-reviewed political biography of Jawaharlal Nehru (1959), I had kept his Kashmir volume pending for one or another reason. Professor Poulose said that it was here, in Sapru House, that Michael Brecher worked on another volume on V. K. Krishna Menon, in the 1960s, based on his long interviews with Menon himself. I knew this volume was very important for several reasons, insofar as Menon was almost like a de facto foreign affairs minister, as Brecher said. 

The Indian IR scholars of the 1950s and 60s fondly remembered Brecher for his great works on Nehru, Menon, Kashmir, and Indian politics. But little did Indian academia, since then, recognise him as a great scholar of IR with outstanding contributions to International Crisis Behaviour (ICB) literature. In fact, much of Brecher’s academic world since the 1970s was devoted to exploring IR as a discipline with rich insights in empirical data, and he sustained this quest for fresh enquires within a liberal-pluralist IR for decades.  

However, many would recall that Brecher had an important role in the founding of the Shastri Indo-Canadian Institute (SICI), way back in the 1960s. It was Brecher who mooted the idea of setting up such an institution to the visiting Indian Finance Minister T. T. Krishnamachari, who responded to his proposal positively. What followed was an official joint statement in 1967 issued by Canada and India, which eventually resulted in the formation of the SICI. 

The demise of Professor Brecher – on January 16, 2022 – came at a time when the discipline of IR had just passed through its ‘uncelebrated’ centennial across world academia, particularly with the increasing limitations imposed by the pandemic over the last two years. Brecher was R.B. Angus professor at McGill University and he had a long career as an active academic, which spanned over almost seven decades since the mid-50s. A scholar of international repute, Brecher has been held in high esteem for his immense contributions to the vast corpus of knowledge in International Relations (IR) – from international crisis, war, and conflict to foreign policy and decision making. 

Also read: Krishna Menon, a Fighter for Indian Independence Who Was Isolated in His Party

Brecher’s passage to India 

It was Brecher’s doctoral research on the subject of the Kashmir conflict at Yale University that later prompted him to visit India. That was the beginning of his deeper interest in decision-making (DM) as an approach to the study of IR, especially with the publication of a major volume by Richard C. Snyder, H. W. Bruck and Burton Sapin on DM.

The studies that proliferated since the 1950s branched out under different DM models and theories. Yet, one popular notion shared by all was ‘field research’ – promoting IR scholars to engage with decision-makers/policymakers across the world in understanding the complex situations of conflict, war, and international crisis. This is still a challenging domain of IR studies where scholars rarely get source materials from the horse’s mouth. However, as a young scholar, Brecher was fortunate to have met many – from Lord Mountbatten, Clement Atlee, Nehru, Menon, Ben Gurion, and a lot of others. 

As Brecher himself wrote, it was the Nuffield Foundation as well as the Canadian Social Science Research Council that facilitated his research by providing a travel fellowship to undertake visits to the UK and India in the mid-1950s. Brecher’s stay in India during 1955-56 (and subsequent visits) provided him with great opportunities to interact with several leaders, most prominently with Nehru and Menon.

Brecher’s Nehru: A Political Biography (1959) was perhaps one of the earliest of several biographies which shed light on many facets of Nehru’s personality. Having travelled with Nehru and spent long hours and days with him, Brecher had occasions to understand Nehru’s multifaceted personality. Brecher wrote that as prime minister, Nehru was “more the ‘giant among pygmies’ than ‘first among equals,’” (Brecher 1959: 15). 

The timing of Brecher’s visit was quite significant. The period witnessed several regional and international developments, which included Pakistan’s joining of Western sponsored military alliances, the Bandung Conference, visits of Chinese and Soviet leaders to India, the Suez crisis, the Hungarian uprising, the Soviet intervention, and more.

Notwithstanding differences between India and Canada over a variety of issues during the cold war, Escott Reid, the Canadian High Commissioner to India (1952-57), was quite receptive to Nehru and, inevitably, the bilateral ties between the two countries assumed the character of “a special relationship” (Reid, Escott – Envoy to Nehru, 1981: 24). Later, Reid in his memoirs said that his “views of what should be done to make the world safer and saner were much the same as Nehru’s” (Reid, Escott – Radical Mandarin: The Memoirs of Escott Reid, 1989).

Brecher and Reid obviously played a significant role in changing Nehru’s perceptions of Canada under the cold war conditions. Yet, both were sceptical about Nehru’s cautious approach to international issues. 

Writing on the Soviet intervention in 1956, Brecher noted that initially, “…the lack of direct knowledge and Soviet flattery inclined (Nehru) to disbelieve Western reports of Russian perfidy and ruthlessness. But as the evidence accumulated, he moved towards a mild censure of Soviet actions, reluctantly it appeared. His performance during this tragic affair disappointed many persons, both within India and abroad” (Ibid: 16). 

Nehru told Brecher that the Hungarian developments showed that communism, if “imposed on a country from outside, cannot last. I mean to say (a characteristic expression) if Communism goes against the basic national spirit, it will not be accepted. In those countries where it has allied itself with nationalism it is, of course, a powerful force. As in China, in Russia, too,” (Ibid: 23).

Nehru further admitted that he could not see the value of a military approach to these problems.” He went further: “This approach can no longer solve any problems. Besides, I do not see why some people in the West think the Russians are out to conquer other peoples. They are not interested in this. It is only when a neighbour is hostile that they try to weaken it. The Russian people want peace. So do the Americans. In fact, they are so similar, the Russians and the Americans. If only they could agree to end the Cold War,” (Ibid). 

Brecher wrote that “…the effect of these crises on the Prime Minister was profound. His buoyant spirit and vivid enthusiasm have been less in evidence since 1956. They have largely given way to a more sober appreciation of the facts of Indian and international life. It is as if Nehru discovered India afresh, not in a romantic setting but in all its harsh realities. With this rediscovery there came deeper insight, a greater awareness of the intractable nature of certain problems” (Ibid:17). 

Brecher also made comparisons between Nehru and other leaders. But some of them, obviously, would have come not from his direct interactions, but from other sources. For instance, Sardar Patel, who died in 1950, figured prominently in his comparison with Nehru. Brecher says: “Nehru is a man of great charm, generous to a fault, sensitive and aesthetically inclined, impulsive and emotional. Patel was generally dour and ruthless, unimaginative and practical, blunt in speech and action, cool and calculating. Nehru disliked political intrigue; he was a lonely and solitary leader, above group loyalties. Patel was a master of machine politics. Nehru was the voice of the Congress, Patel its organiser (and Gandhi its inspiration),” (Ibid 152).

Also read: If Statues Could Speak: What Netaji and Sardar Patel Would Tell Narendra Modi

Elsewhere he says: “Nehru is a master of words and used this technique brilliantly to carry the message of independence and socialism to the far corners of the country. Patel had undisguised contempt for speech-making. He rarely toured the countryside. And except in his native Gujarat he never established a rapport with the masses, partly because of his disdain for the crowd.”

He continues: “The only elements in the countryside who looked to the Sardar for leadership were the landlords and the orthodox Hindus. In the cities, too, they commanded the loyalty of different groups, Nehru the radicals and Patel the conservatives. Nehru appealed to the working class, the bulk of the Westernized intelligentsia, the young men and the minorities. Patel drew his support from the business community, orthodox Hindus, senior civil servants and most of the party functionaries. Nehru was (and still is) the outstanding idealist of the Congress and its leading exponent of socialism, a broad international outlook, a secular state and a modern approach. Patel was the realist par excellence, a staunch defender of capitalism, ‘national interests,’ Hindu primacy and traditionalism” (Ibid: 153). 

Brecher had realistically assessed India’s foreign policy strategy of non-alignment and argued that the country’s “economic weakness and the basic goal of development provide powerful inducements to the policy of non-alignment. The doors must be kept open to all possible sources of aid, Western and Soviet, if the desired economic targets are to be achieved,” (Ibid: 216). Brecher, who had already conducted extensive research on Kashmir, was pessimistic about the state of affairs in India-Pakistan relations. This holds true even after seven decades.

According to him, “The price of discord has already been exorbitant. The constant threat of renewed war over Kashmir has resulted in a very high defence expenditure. This, in turn, has had grave economic repercussions, notably the slowing-down of much-needed development programmes in both countries. Tension has also reduced the flow of goods and services, for some time eliminating it almost completely. Propaganda war has been endemic, heightening the sense of insecurity among minorities, and stimulating a continuous migration.” 

Brecher says: “What makes the picture especially distressing is that no one seems capable of finding a way out of the impasse.” He concludes: “The wounds of Partition are still deep. The secession of Kashmir and its inclusion in Pakistan would, in the opinion of Nehru and others, lead to a strengthening of Hindu communal forces, increasing distrust of the Muslim minority, and a clamour for war with Pakistan. It is this which deters them from carrying out their pledge to hold a UN-supervised plebiscite though most Indians remain convinced of Pakistan’s aggression, of the UN’s dereliction of duty, and of their legal and moral claim to Kashmir,” (Ibid: 222). 

After seventy or more years, Brecher’s observation remains true as it were: “The prospects for a friendly solution seem no brighter now than at any time in the past. It is pointless at this stage to apportion blame for the dispute. One thing is certain: the wrangling has accomplished nothing thus far; and in the absence of a bold new approach, the future of India and Pakistan will continue to be plagued by the impasse over Kashmir” (Ibid: 219). 

In The Struggle for Kashmir, Brecher had already noted that “the failure to bring about a solution of the conflict was due partly to the inept handling by the UN; but he had also felt that the deeper causes of the conflict would make a solution possible only through an effort at direct political settlement between the contestants,” (Brecher, 1953). The UN also later concurred with this reading when its representative, Frank P. Graham, submitted his final report to the world body. 

Brecher was critical of Nehru in his handling of bureaucracy. He says that though “Nehru himself has frequently criticized the central bureaucracy as ‘an administrative jungle’, the blame for this state of affairs rests largely with him. The problem is not that Nehru does not discharge his responsibilities; he over-discharges them,” (Ibid: 241-42). Brecher goes on to say: “The fact is that Nehru is an inept administrator. Decisions are concentrated in his hands to an incredible degree. He lacks both the talent and temperament to co-ordinate the work of the various ministries. Nor has he ever shown a capacity or inclination to delegate authority. The result has been the ‘administrative jungle’ which he bemoans,” (Ibid). 

Watch: ‘Nehru’s Intellectual Skills Overstated, Nehuriviasm Is Anything but Liberalism’

Did this not pay a heavy price in 1962, when India had to fight a major war with China, even as different sections of the government started blaming each other for the lack of coordination? 

Doesn’t this appear relevant even after several decades when the Prime Minister’s Office (PMO) has “unchallenged power” and “over-discharging” functions?   

Brecher’s India and World Politics: Krishna Menon’s View of the World (1968) remains one of the most comprehensive works on Menon. Jairam Ramesh, who wrote another comprehensive biography of Menon, says that Brecher “had produced an astonishing book which has not been rivalled since” (Ramesh, Jairam – A Chequered Brilliance: The Many Lives of V.K. Krishna Menon, 2019: 648).

The major source for the book was the record of an extended talk between Brecher and Menon from November, 1964 – May, 1965. These lively exchanges were tape-recorded and Menon edited the transcript in 1966. The subjects dealt with in the volume are wide-ranging, from non-alignment to China, Pakistan, UN, Bandung, Suez, Hungary and the like, (Brecher 1968). Ramesh writes: “No student of world history of the 1950s can afford not to read Brecher’s book. There was one topic that Krishna Menon did not speak much about and that was Nehru,” (Ramesh, 2019: 649). Obviously, Menon knew that Brecher had already made much of Nehru in his biography. 

Brecher and International Relations 

Brecher had a passion for studying foreign policies and international crises through a modified matrix of DM framework. He spent a lot of time with decision-makers across world capitals to study in-depth the context and perceptions in the making of strategic decisions. Back in 1963, Brecher had raised issues of ‘Levels of Analysis’ in IR studies in his World Politics article. He pointed out that IR “specialists have all but ignored the relevance of their discipline to Asia” and that the Asian studies “have not as yet, however, applied the insights of international relations to an area framework.”

Many of his subsequent studies went in that direction. His works on Israel, the Korean War and China (1974), Political Leadership and Charisma: Nehru, Ben-Gurion, and Other 20th Century Political Leaders (2016), Crises in World Politics: Theory and Reality (1993), A Study of Crisis, with Jonathan Wilkenfeld (1997), International Political Earthquakes (2008), Dynamics of the Arab-Israel Conflict: Past and Present (2017) are the best examples. 

Crises in World Politics is a significant contribution to the understanding of international crises from different vantage points. He placed the notion of ‘crises’ within a broader setting and processes of factors that are involved in the initiation, escalation, termination, and consequences of international crises. His basic objective was “to create a theory of crisis and crisis behaviour.” Brecher was also trying to help augment policy-makers’ capabilities to manage decision-making under stress. Many scholars considered Brecher’s ICB project “the most ambitious attempt so far to integrate the multitude of approaches in all the subfields of crisis research.” 

The volume Millennial Reflections on International Studies Brecher edited with Frank P. Harvey (2002) is undoubtedly a rich repertoire of IR studies with 45 renowned scholars having contributed to our understanding of the limits and possibilities of theory and practice in the discipline. The themes discussed are wide-ranging, from realism, institutionalism, critical perspectives, feminist theory and gender studies to methodology (formal modelling, quantitative, and qualitative), foreign policy analysis, international security and peace studies, and international political economy.

In this volume, Brecher and Harvey were deeply sceptical about the progress and knowledge accumulation in IR studies, stating that the scholars seemed to have problems in “agreeing on what they have accomplished” so far. It is obviously for these reasons that many in the volume have put across a synthesis formula – variously referred to as a “paradigmatic synthesis” of IR studies. 

Two years earlier, Brecher became president of the International Studies Association (ISA), a prestigious global platform of IR Scholars. In his  ISA Presidential Address in 1999, Brecher called for a pluralist-synthesis approach in the discipline of IR. The core of his address goes as follows: 

The state of International Studies as the 20th century draws to a close is disconcerting. Among the shortcomings are intolerance of competing paradigms, models, methods, and findings; a closed-mind mentality; a tendency to research fashions; the increasingly-visible retreat from science in International Studies; and the low value placed by most scholars on cumulation of knowledge. Flawed dichotomies are pervasive: theory versus history as approaches to knowledge; deductive versus inductive paths to theory; a horizontal (breadth) versus vertical (in-depth) focus of inquiry, based upon aggregate data (quantitative) vs. case study (qualitative) methods of analysis, using large ‘N’ vs. small ‘N’ clusters of data; system vs. actor as the optimal level of analysis, and closely related, unitary vs. multiple competing actors; rational calculus vs. psychological constraints on choice, and the related divide over reality vs. image as the key to explaining state behaviour; and neo-realism vs. neo-institutionalism as the correct paradigm for the study of world politics.

On the eve of a new century, it seems to me important to reaffirm that pluralism is necessary for renewal in International Studies. It would clear the air among argumentative scholars and as such is a precondition to progress. We must recognize that no school has a monopoly of truth and that continuing fratricide among paradigms and methodologies poses a grave risk that the embryonic discipline will implode. However, pluralism alone is not sufficient to achieve our goal. The way forward also requires a sustained effort to move from the thesis/antithesis syndrome to synthesis in every facet of the field – approaches, theory, methods, and empirical findings. Attempts must be made to build upon separate islands of knowledge so as to achieve a theory of how international systems evolve and change, and how actors behave under conditions of stress and in the “normal” course of interstate relations; we have been locked into the false dichotomies discussed earlier for too long. Without the integration of knowledge, revised from time to time in the light of fresh theoretical insights, improved methods, and new evidence, International Studies is destined to remain a collection of bits and pieces of explanation of reality and behaviour,” (Brecher 1999). 

Years later, Brecher’s work A Century of Crisis and Conflict in the International System (2018), again, reflected many of his arguments that he had made in the 1999 ISA Presidential Address. Brecher reiterated that “international stability is – or should be – a high value for all states and nations/peoples in an epoch characterized by weapons of mass destruction (WMDs), the persistence of anarchy despite the proliferation of international and transnational regimes, the increase of ethnic and civil wars, and the growing preoccupation with worldwide terrorism,” (Brecher, 2018).

Justifying the ICB project, he said that its objective “has been to enrich and deepen our knowledge of international crisis and interstate conflict in the twentieth century and beyond.” Analysing the state of affairs in the discipline, he also noted that “prominent advocates of contending approaches in International Studies have not been immune to crass intellectual intolerance.” 

Brecher says: “As someone who has learned from many of the pioneers and later ‘schools’ but is a prisoner or apostle of none, I present another answer to this elusive question. In particular, I will examine why this field of knowledge, using the terms, International Relations (IR), World Politics (WP), and International Studies (IS) interchangeably, has not yet crystallized into a mature social science discipline” (Ibid). Brecher wrote that many years ago, he had set out the case for ‘many paths to knowledge’ and had “made a plea for pluralism in International Studies.” 

He further said that he was “a pluralist in the matter of research strategy: there are, it seems to me, many paths to knowledge; no single path has a monopoly of truth. In this I was influenced by my South Asia experience, especially the Hindu adage that no religion has a monopoly of the truth; all can claim to know only a part of the whole. Translating this to the enduring issue of the optimal path to knowledge, I became committed, very early, to pluralism in methodology” (Ibid). 

Brecher put across “in-depth case studies of perceptions and decisions by a single state, using a micro-level model of crisis” that he had “designed to guide research on foreign policy crises for individual states and to facilitate rigorous comparative analysis of findings about state behaviour under varying stress.”  He called this approach “structured empiricism” which promotes gathering and organising “data on diverse cases around a set of common questions, permitting systematic comparison” (Ibid).

However, Brecher knew that comparative case study alone “cannot uncover the full range of findings about any phenomenon in world politics.” For this, he suggested “a second path” which should promote “studies in breadth of aggregate data on crises over an extended block of time and space.” Here, he argued, the research programme should be shaped by ‘theory’ and ‘history’; a synthesis of the two. 

Brecher remained convinced that (i) despite the critique of Post-Modernism, Positivism is still a valid basis for creating and accumulating knowledge about state behaviour and international system change”; (ii) “nation-states are no longer the virtually exclusive actors in the international system, the status they enjoyed during the three centuries of the Westphalia system”; (iii) the end of the Cold War has not ushered in the ‘Nirvana’ of cooperation, as is evident in the ubiquity of conflict, crisis, and war between and within states, though the domain of cooperation has dramatically expanded during the past 25 years”; (iv) “violence played an important part in world politics in the 1990s and the early years of the new century, as in previous decades, centuries, and millennia, and is likely to continue to do so”; (v) “nationalism has re-emerged as a primary force in world politics – in a new form, Ethnicity, which is manifested in the widespread demand for self-determination and secession”; and (v) “Parsimony is undoubtedly a high scientific value, and, wherever possible, it should be sought, but it should not be forced on to the data.”

Brecher said that the primary goal of all IR research is “not parsimony but accuracy in both the description and explanation of reality. The subject matter of crisis, conflict and war and, more generally, of world politics, is extraordinarily complex.” Brecher “would rather forego parsimony than accuracy in the explanation of any complex issue in world politics” (Ibid). 

Brecher was always open and categorical in his position on scientific rationality in IR, which he appealed to scholars to incessantly explore in field studies. T.V. Paul, James McGill professor of international relations at McGill University– Brecher’s colleague and successor as president of ISA in 2016-17 – said that his demise came after the death of another great scholar of South Asia, Baldev Raj Nayar, in 2021. It was actually Brecher who brought Nayar to McGill. According to Paul, both Nayar and Brecher remained great role models for IR scholars, and they were very committed and meticulous in field research, always willing to take up challenges. As Paul remarked, Brecher’s ability to maintain the trust of leading political figures he met and interacted with was exceptional. 

Admittedly, this is still a major challenge for IR scholars across the world – meeting the actual decision makers of foreign policy and bridging the gulf between the world of ‘facts’ and the ‘norms’ of international life. Michael Brecher, an accomplished scholar of great eminence, will remain as an inspiration to generations of scholars in both political science and international relations.

This article first appeared in Eurasia Review, January 30, 2022.

K.M. Seethi is ICSSR senior fellow and director, Inter University Centre for Social Science Research and Extension (IUCSSRE), Mahatma Gandhi University, Kerala. He also served as dean of social sciences and professor of international relations and politics, Mahatma Gandhi University, Kerala 

Six Killed as Electric Bus Rams Into Multiple Vehicles in UP’s Kanpur

According to eye-witnesses, the driver of the bus moved it onto the wrong side of the road after which the bus rammed into auto-rickshaws, motorcycles, cars and a traffic booth.

Kanpur (UP): Six people were killed and as many grievously injured after the driver of an electric bus lost control and rammed it into several vehicles in Rail Bazar area, police said on Monday.

According to eye-witnesses, the driver of the bus moved it onto the wrong side of the road after which the bus rammed into auto-rickshaws, motorcycles, cars and a traffic booth between Ghantaghar and Tat Mill Crossing on Sunday night.

It then hit a truck and broke down, they said.

The driver of the bus has been arrested, police said.

Deputy commissioner of police (East) Pramod Kumar confirmed the casualties in the accident.

Of the six injured, four people were admitted to Krishna Hospital while the other two were admitted to Lala Lajpat Rai Hospital, he said.

The officer said several cars and motorcycles were damaged and that the driver of the bus was being interrogated.

An FIR has been registered at the Rail Bazar police station and a detailed probe is underway, the police said.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi, chief minister Yogi Adityanath, Congress leader Priyanka Gandhi Vadra condoled the deaths.

(PTI)

Punjab: At 94, Parkash Singh Badal Is Contesting Again to Boost SAD’s Poll Prospects

By fielding Parkash again, it appears that SAD is still banking upon his legacy to overcome electoral losses of the 2017 polls.

Chandigarh: Parkash Singh Badal, patron of the Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD), was first elected sarpanch of Badal village, then in Bathinda district, when India became free in 1947.

The word ‘Badal’ would later come to be etched permanently in the history of Punjabi politics, with Parkash, then 29 years old, never looking back.

One of the few surviving politicians of that era, Badal, now 94, is in the electoral fray for a record 13th time from Lambi constituency in Muktsar district, which he has been winning since 1997.

Due to his age, it was uncertain whether Parkash would fight these elections; he had been saying for some time that his mind was not made up. He was not in action during the 2019 parliamentary polls. In fact his son and successor, Sukhbir Singh Badal, has already been declared party’s chief ministerial face for the 2022 polls.

By fielding Parkash again , it appears that SAD is still banking upon his legacy to overcome electoral losses of the 2017 polls, when the party was reduced to mere 15 seats in the 117-member state assembly, the lowest ever tally for the over-100-year-old party of Punjab.

Senior journalist Jagtar Singh told The Wire that Parkash had himself conveyed a few times in the recent past that his inning in politics were over. The plausible reason why he has been brought back is to push the party’s poll campaign.

Jagtar said the party is in a do-or-die situation after a massive defeat in the 2017 elections. Every seat is crucial in the ongoing polls. “With senior Badal in the fray, the party feels that the whole cadre will feel motivated and charged,” he said.

In politics for the last 75 years, Parkash has been unassailable barring one election in 1967 – when too he lost by just 57 votes.

Badal first entered the Punjab assembly in 1957 from the Malout constituency (another city in Muktsar district) on a Congress ticket. Later, he became part of the Akali Dal and became a pivotal figure in anti-Congress politics in Punjab.

Also read: Fight For Punjab’s Moga Seat Heats Up As Sonu Sood Campaigns for Sister Malvika

He went on to become chief minister five times after the reorganisation of Punjab in 1966, a record that he still holds apart from winning assembly elections again for a record 11 times. After Malout, Badal shifted his base to the nearby Gidderbaha constituency, which he won five out of six times between 1967 and 1985.

The state polls after 1985 were held in 1992, which the Akali Dal had boycotted in protest against the Congress government at the Centre for not fulfilling longstanding demands made by Sikhs.

Badal shifted to Lambi in the 1997 assembly polls – and has not lost from here since. Lambi is a small rural constituency of 71 villages. Badal village falls in the same constituency. Although Parkash was born in 1927 in the village Abul Khurana near Malout, Badal became his permanent home.

He has a big mansion in the village. It is from here he that has now been managing his election and meeting party supporters.

Parkash was recently diagnosed with COVID-19. He has recovered now and is in stable health.

According to media reports, after SAD announced his candidature on Wednesday, party workers inaugurated a poll office at Lambi village and organised a Sukhmani Sahib path to pray for his victory.

Less feisty contest

In 2017, when Amarinder Singh of the Congress confronted Parkash in Lambi, it was projected as the mother of all battles. Later, the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) also fielded Jarnail Singh, the former journalist-turned-politician who gained popularity for hurling a shoe at then Union home minister P. Chidambaram in 2009 over Congress leaders being given a clean chit in the 1984 pogrom.

Despite a feisty contest, Badal proved his mettle. He defeated Amarinder, who later became the Punjab chief minister, with over 24,000 votes.

This time there is no heavy weight in the poll fray against Parkash. AAP has fielded former Congress leader Gurmeet Singh Khuddian, while Congress’s nominee, Jagpal Singh Abul Khurana, is a newcomer. The BJP-Punjab Lok Congress has made Rakesh Dhingra its candidate from Lambi, another a newcomer.

Khuddian told The Wire that Punjab will deliver a political change this time. Badal has remained the chief minister for five terms but he could not give good schools to the people of his own constituency, forget about the whole of the state, the AAP candidate alleged. “Where are the affordable and quality health services here or elsewhere? Badal was recently diagnosed with COVID-19 and he received his treatment at a private hospital in Ludhiana. Why is there no big medical institute anywhere in Punjab like PGI in Chandigarh?”

He said unemployment in Punjab is at an all-time high, but did Parkash ever focus on generating employment? People have now realised that traditional parties have just used them for their vote bank. They are looking for a change this time from old politicians and old political parties, he added.

“AAP will improve education and health services once our party forms the government in Punjab, ” said Khuddian.

Also read: In Punjab Elections, the Sidhu Versus Majithia Clash Promises to Be Intense

On the other hand, Parkash has already made one around the constituency, holding public meetings in all 71 villages.

Local SAD leader Ranjodh Dhaliwal told The Wire that the AAP candidate is spreading lies. “Badals have made a huge contribution to developing civic infrastructure, not only in Lambi but the whole of Punjab. The AAP candidate is a turncoat who came from Congress, which ran a completely hollow government in the last five years.”

Dhaliwal said many senior leaders will also come here to campaign for Parkash. Abhay Chautala of the Indian National Lok Dal is expected on February 2. The Chautala family has had close personal ties with the Badals.

Apart from the Akali Dal cadre, Harsimrat Badal has also been visiting villages in Lambi on a regular basis to campaign for her father-in-law. Her son, Anantbir Singh Badal, has also been seen at many social functions since the first week of January.

In a meeting last month in Lambi, Harsimrat told the crowds, “When SAD-BSP comes to power, Sukhbir Badal will be your CM but Badal Sahab will be your ‘super CM’. He keeps on saying that now health does not allow him, age factor is also there. But you all convince him, you can make him win elections even if he sits at home. He has served this area as a sewadar for decades.”

Gurugram Namaz: CJI Promises Urgent Listing to Plea for Contempt Action Against Haryana Officials

Advocate Indira Jaising appeared for former MP Mohammad Adeeb who sought action against Haryana’s chief secretary Sanjeev Kaushal and DGP P.K. Agrawal over namaz disruptions by Hindutva groups.

New Delhi: The Supreme Court on Monday, January 31, agreed to urgently list for urgent hearing a former Rajya Sabha MP’s plea seeking contempt action against top Haryana government officials in the backdrop of Friday namaz disruptions by Hindutva groups in Gurugram.

A bench comprising Chief Justice N.V. Ramana and Justices A.S. Bopanna and Hima Kohli took note of the submissions of senior advocate Indira Jaising, appearing for former MP Mohammad Adeeb, and said state government officials have not been following the 2018 apex court judgment issuing a slew of directions to stop hate crimes.

“This is not only based on newspaper reports, we have ourselves filed complaints. We are not asking for any enforcement of FIR. This court has laid down preventive measures,” the senior lawyer said.

“I will look into it and post before the appropriate bench immediately,” the CJI said.

LiveLaw has reported that Adeeb’s petition submitted that in recent months, there has been a constant rise in incidents around Friday prayers offered by Muslims. These incidents, he said, took place at the behest of certain “identifiable hooligans, who portray themselves falsely in the name of religion and seek to create an atmosphere of hatred and prejudice against one community across the city.”

As The Wire has reported, Hindutva groups have been disrupting Muslims’ Friday prayers are spots which had earlier been demarcated by the administration itself. As the disruptions grew increasingly charged, Haryana chief minister M.L. Khattar announced the withdrawal of the earlier agreement which permitted Muslims to offer Friday prayers on government-allocated land in late 2021.

“This nefarious design being given effect to by propagation and dissemination of hateful content through social media platforms spreading false narratives, terming the performance of Friday Namaz, which is being done in the open due to compulsion and the same is permitted by the appropriate authorities in the circumstances as being illegal and in a manner of some sort of encroachment,” the plea states.

Adeeb has filed a contempt plea seeking action against Haryana’s chief secretary, IAS officer Sanjeev Kaushal, and the director general of police, IPS officer P.K. Agrawal.

“While a considerable number of police forces were present [in an incident on December 3] despite the same videos emerged clearly showing such persons as having no fear of law. The police reportedly detained some persons from the mob, but the same were subsequently let off the same day,” the plea stated, according to LiveLaw.

Meanwhile, shortly after Adeeb moved Supreme Court, Haryana police lodged an FIR against him and others on an alleged complaint filed by local Hindu activists accusing them of “disrupting communal harmony and trying to grab land.”

“The FIR has been lodged against Adeeb, Abdul Haseeb Kashmi and Mufti Mohammad Salim Kashmi at Sector 40 police station under sections 153 (wantonly giving provocation with intent to cause riot) and 34 (common intention) of the Indian Penal Code,” officials told PTI.

Adeeb’s petition also states that top Haryana officials have not complied with an earlier judgment passed by the apex court’s on Tehseen Poonawalla’s plea.

In 2018, the apex court issued guidelines to the Union government and states, asking them to take steps such as fast-tracking trials, victim compensation, deterrent punishment and disciplinary action against lax law-enforcing officials.

One guideline said states shall designate a senior police officer not below the rank of police superintendent as the nodal officer in each district. These officers will set up a task force to be assisted by one DSP-rank officer for taking measures to prevent mob violence and lynching.

The task force will gather intelligence reports on people likely to commit such crimes or who are involved in spreading hate speeches, provocative statements and fake news, it had said.

The state governments shall immediately identify districts, sub-divisions and villages where instances of lynching and mob violence have been reported in the recent past, it had said.

(With PTI inputs)

Economic Survey Sees GDP Growth Slowing to 8-8.5% In FY23

“This (growth) projection is based on the assumption that there will be no further debilitating pandemic-related economic disruption,” the lead author of the Economic Survey said.

New Delhi: India has forecast its economy will grow 8% to 8.5% for the fiscal year starting in April, down from 9.2% projected in the current year, as it fights a spike in COVID-19 cases and rising inflationary pressure.

All macro indicators indicated Asia’s third-largest economy was well placed to face challenges, helped by improving farm and industrial output growth, the government’s annual economic survey said on Monday.

The report was tabled by finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman in parliament ahead of the annual budget on Tuesday.

“This (growth) projection is based on the assumption that there will be no further debilitating pandemic-related economic disruption,” said Sanjeev Sanyal, principal economic adviser at the finance ministry and the lead author of the report.

The growth projections also assumed a normal rainfall and an orderly withdrawal of global liquidity by major central banks, the report said.

India’s economy has been on the mend after the government lifted mobility measures in June to curb the spread of coronavirus, after contracting 7.3% in the previous fiscal year.

Also read: Just These Two Things, Madam Finance Minister 

But after a surge in Omicron cases early this month, many private economists and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) have cut growth estimates to 9% from an initial 11% estimate.

The annual report, which presents a report card of India’s economic achievements and provides new estimates, has often missed targets.

Last year, it forecast annual economic growth of 11%, that was later revised down by the Ministry of Statistics to 9.2%, after economic activity was hit hard by the Omicron variant.

Economists said inflationary pressures from high global crude prices along with sluggish domestic demand and fresh waves of COVID-19 infections pose risks to the economic recovery.

Private consumption, accounting for nearly 55% of GDP, remains weak amid rising levels of household debt, while retail prices have soared since the coronavirus outbreak began in early 2020.

(Reuters)

Low-Intensity Blast Rocks Shillong’s Commercial Hub, One Suspect Identified

No one was injured in the blast that happened around 6.30 pm in the commercial hub of the state, police said.

Shillong, Jan 30 (PTI) A low-intensity blast rocked Shillong’s busy Khydailad area on Sunday evening, police said.

No one was injured in the blast that happened around 6.30 pm in the commercial hub of the state, they said.

A large number of casualties could have happened if it was a working day, police said.

Chief minister Conrad K Sangma said it was an attempt to disrupt peace in Meghalaya.

“Strongly condemn the blast at Police Bazar, Shillong this evening. An attempt to disrupt peace and bring harm is nothing but a cowardly act. Perpetrators will not be spared. We will ensure peace prevails in the State.”

State home minister Lahkmen Rymbui said a person suspected to be behind the blast was identified.

“Suspect have (sic) been identified and investigation is on and I am sure that the police will be able to nab all the people involved. Strongly condemn this act & assured that peace will be maintained at all cost,” he said in a statement.

The front portions of a mobile store and a wine shop were damaged due to the blast, police said.

It is suspected to be an improvised explosive device (IED) blast, a senior police officer told PTI.

Bomb squad personnel visited the spot and collected evidence, he said.

Explainer: Can the UN Do More Than Just Talk About the Ukraine Crisis?

The US describes the meeting of the 15-member body as a chance for Russia to explain itself, while Russia signalled it could try and block it.

The UN Security Council is due to meet in public on Monday, at the request of the United States, to discuss Russia’s troop build-up on the border with Ukraine as international diplomacy aimed at easing tensions moves to the world body in New York.

The United States describes the meeting of the 15-member body as a chance for Russia to explain itself, while Russia signalled it could try and block it. Nine votes are needed for the meeting to proceed and Washington is “confident” it has sufficient support.

But aside from all members having the opportunity to air their views openly, there will be no action by the council – even if Russia were to invade Ukraine. A simple statement needs consensus support and Russia could veto any bid for a resolution.

Russia is one of five permanent, veto-wielding powers on the council along with the United States, France, Britain and China. The Security Council is charged with maintaining international peace and security. One day after the meeting, Russia is set to assume the council’s rotating presidency for February.

“The US and its allies will use the UN as a political theatre where they can publicly shame Russia in the event of war,” said Richard Gowan, UN director at Crisis Group, a think-tank.

“I fear that this will be just one more crisis, like the Ethiopian war and Burmese coup, that shows what little clout the U.N. carries in the real world,” he added.

What Happened With Crimea?

If Russia’s military escalates the crisis, diplomats and foreign policy analysts say diplomacy and action at the United Nations is likely to mirror what happened in 2014 after Russia annexed Ukraine’s Crimea region.

The Security Council has met dozens of times since then to discuss the Ukraine crisis. In March 2014, it voted on a U.S.-drafted resolution opposing a referendum on the status of Crimea and urging countries not to recognize it. It received 13 votes in favour, China abstained and Russia cast a veto.

Seeking to demonstrate Russia’s international isolation, Western countries then took a similar text to the 193-member General Assembly, which adopted a resolution declaring the referendum invalid. It received 100 votes in favour, 11 against and 58 abstentions, while two dozen countries didn’t vote.

General Assembly resolutions carry political weight but are not legally binding. Unlike the Security Council, no country has veto power in the General Assembly.

Also read: Ukraine Crisis Exposes Geopolitical Fault Lines in an Era of Shifting Power

What Are Western Diplomats Doing?

So far, Western diplomacy at the United Nations during the latest military build-up has largely focused on trying to rally support – should they need it – among UN members by accusing Russia of undermining the UN Charter.

The Charter is the founding document of the United Nations, outlining its purposes and principles agreed in 1945.

“Russia’s actions toward Ukraine are not only a regional issue,” US President Joe Biden’s ambassador to the United Nations, Linda Thomas-Greenfield, told reporters last week.

“They impact every U.N. member state, and we must be prepared to stand together in unity and solidarity should Russia defy the shared values and principles that undergird our international system,” she said.

What Can Russia Do as Security Council President?

On Tuesday, Russia takes over the council’s rotating presidency for February. This is largely an administrative role but does involve scheduling meetings, so some diplomats warn Russia could delay any attempts by council members to request another discussion on actions by Russia.

As things stand, the council is already due to discuss Ukraine on Feb. 17, diplomats said. It is a regularly scheduled meeting on the Minsk agreements, which were endorsed by the council in 2015 and designed to end a separatist war by Russian speakers in eastern Ukraine.

The General Assembly is also set to hold an annual discussion on “the situation in the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine” on February 23.

(Reuters)

Home Lost to Wildfire, Poet Sophia Naz Explores Climate Change Through Personal Loss

‘Open Zero’ expresses the frustration, anger and bewilderment that Naz may have felt with global political leaders dragging their feet on climate change action.

Wildfires swept across California in the autumn of 2017, destroying property worth $9 billion and claiming at least 45 lives.

American climate scientist Noah Diffenbaugh as well as other researchers have claimed that the devastating fires were a direct consequence of climate change and predicted more such incidents in the future. Their prediction proved true with bigger, record-setting, fires in 2018 and 2020, sparked by heatwaves and winds.

During the 2017 incident, one of the houses that burnt down belonged to Pakistani-American poet Sophia Naz.

‘Open Zero’, Sophia Naz, Yoda Press, New Delhi, 2021.

“Almost nine years ago I fell in love with this quirky house in Glen Ellen, a tiny village in Northern California’s wine country,” Naz writes in the Introduction to her new book of poems Open Zero. But as Naz and her family are evacuated on October 15, 2017, she sees her home for the last time before the tongues of the devastating fire consume it.

In his 2016 non-fiction book The Great Derangement, novelist Amitav Ghosh writes how climate change – perhaps the greatest existential crisis of our times – is missing from “serious” fiction.

“That climate change casts a much smaller shadow within the landscape of literary fiction than it does even in the public arena is not hard to establish,” he writes.

“To see that this is so, we need only glance through the pages of a few highly regarded literary journals and reviews… It is as though in the literary imagination climate change was akin to extra-terrestrials or interplanetary travel.”

Indian poetry has begun to respond to this lacunae in recent years with books such as Open Your Eyes edited by Vinita Agarwal, which I had reviewed this column, and Anthropocene: Climate Change, Contagion, Consolation by Sudeep Sen.

Naz also cannot help referring to the real cause of her home burning down. “[B]eyond the immediate cause of the apocalyptic history-making fires lay a deadly trifecta of conditions. An unusually wet winter, an unusually dry summer, and unusually strong winds. The first two culprits are clear hallmarks of climate change.” She goes on to address how former president Donald Trump’s continuous denial of climate change has only aggravated the situation in the US.

Having lost one’s home, Naz must have felt acute frustration and anger at local and global political leaders dragging their feet on climate change action, as seen recently in the Glasgow summit. This frustration or sense of loss, maybe even bewilderment, manifests itself through the image of burnt trees.

The trees are real – the ones Naz must have seen herself – but also metaphorical:

Trees wear their green reluctantly.
Who knows the wind’s true intention?

(“Seasoned Player”)

In “Sketching ‘Normal’”, Naz performs the Platonic challenge of representing a burnt-out tree in a sketch:

At the pinnacle
of the forest path, a grove
burned trees, no birds
next in leafless arms, only
the wind lays
an occasional limb
to rest.

When you sketch
torched barks, thickness
of scabs sinks in
night-blighted dawns
dominoes falling on cue, a snake
swallowing time

 But even burnt trees can be a source of hope, of song, as in “Arrive Slowly”:

I saw a bird at sundown, perched
atop the burned redwood, where limbs
fell away, leaving sole étude
point of trunk, reservoir
unspooling

Or they can be glorious, verdant, full of promise, as in “Wish Fulfilling Tree”:

I dreamed a tree at river’s edge,
grand, motherload of shade
and I, a refugee, leafing through
promise of a green country

In all these images of trees, there seems to be hidden a desire for the cyclical nature of seasons that can be a source of comfort in our uncertainty-saturated times.

Perhaps, this cycle is best represented by a “zero” – which is at once nothing and everything, the beginning, and the end. To open up a zero is to rupture it like an egg, to allow precious life to leak out and catastrophe to leak in.

The 67 poems in Naz’s book are divided into four parts, each part beginning with an epigraph from another poet—Octavio Paz, Paul Celan, Meena Alexander, and Athena Kashyap. It is not really evident how these poems have been divided. Besides climate change, the other important theme in the book is language. In poem after poems, such as “Mother Tongues”, “The Ballad of Allah Miyan”, “Barq”, “Nakhoda”, “Bera Gharq”, “Kaffir”, and others, she harks back to her roots in Urdu and the culture of the Indian subcontinent.

For instance, in “Bera Gharq”, she writes:

Letters lie folded
Stowaways in the suitcase
Guantanamo of your immigrant throat
ghain and qaf suffocate, refuse
to give up the ghost

 Of Urdu

Poems such as these continue to be fashionable but are likely to leave a serious reader cold. Naz herself has explored such poetry in great depth in her previous collections Pointillism and Date Palms. (This book, too, has seven pages of Glossary explaining non-English terms.) She needs to find newer themes or newer ways to explore these themes.

Also, some of the shorter poems seem only to be turning verbal tricks and not really engaging with any idea or theme. For instance, “Bomb”, which opens the eponymous third part of the book:

Semantics
Seem antics
See, man ticks
Language is the bomb.

What sense does this make really? Perhaps Naz is trying to emulate the trick used by some Urdu poets at mushairas where they would begin their performance by reciting a witty couplet. Agha Shahid Ali was also fond of doing this, but Naz’s “Bomb” is nowhere near, say, Shahid Ali’s “Stationery”.

These are, of course, complaints of someone who has read Naz’s poetry for years and even reviewed her previously. (Full disclosure: My first book of poems, Visceral Metropolis, was launched along with her Pointillism in New Delhi in 2017.)

In Open Zero, what really shines for me are the four prose poems – “The Mirroring Gossamer”, “Nakhoda”, “Descano for America”, and “Thumbnail”. Liberated from the tyranny of the short, free-verse line, these poems expand like the greening banyan trees of her childhood in Karachi:

Dug into flesh with a savage tenacity, feral as a meathook, the jagged nail is a gnawing bipolarity, both earth and air, a wing of Lilith, a Kinnari, bird-woman in microcosm. Perhaps this is the original meaning of familiar; pain as a totemic animal, a prehistoric relic perched on her wrist.

I look forward to more of these in her next book.

Uttaran Das Gupta’s novel Ritual was published in 2020; he teaches at O.P. Jindal Global University, Sonipat. 

‘Social Security Spending Imperative’: Advocacy Group’s Demands From Budget 2022-23

Jan Sarokar, a national policy advocacy group, has issued a statement detailing various demands and expectations from the upcoming Union budget which focus on increasing social security spending in areas such as job creation, food security, security of sexual and ethnic minorities and more.

New Delhi: Jan Sarokar, a public interest policy advocacy group in India consisting of civil society organisations, social movements and academics, has issued a statement addressed to finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman on certain demands and expectations from the upcoming Union Budget, set to be presented on February 1.

The expectations detailed in the statement focus on reviving the Indian economy through equitable development, ensuring social justice and ecological sustainability. In the context of the ongoing coronavirus pandemic and the widening of inequality it brought on, the statement details what members of the group would like to see in specific sectors vis-a-vis government policy and public expenditure.

Effects of the pandemic

The statement notes that India’s had been witnessing declining economic growth even before the pandemic, however, the most vulnerable sections of Indian society have had to bear the brunt of its adverse effects.

The statement highlights rising income and wealth inequality in the country – citing reports on the subject from Oxfam and the World Inequality Lab – as well as increasing unemployment and poverty and falling household incomes. 

While these are pressures that a cataclysmic event such as the pandemic would naturally put on an economy, the statement details the differences in responses between India and the world. Many governments spent vast amounts of money to revive their economies; loan and interest waivers, spending on social security to compensate citizens for job and other losses and to improve health outcomes and so on. 

India, on the other hand, spent far too little, the statement says. Budget 2021-22 saw virtually no change in allocations for health, food security, pensions and so on and actually saw decreased spending for some sectors, such as education. 

Government’s response on resource mobilisation

Apart from its grossly inadequate spending on social security, the statement pulls up the government for the way in which it has sought to finance this spending; that is, through selling public assets “acquired over a period of 75 years” by raising resources through the National Monetisation Pipeline. 

By privatising PSEs, government banks and insurance companies and thereby “dismantling the public sector, the government has been “subjugating our national  economic interests, our economic independence, and sovereignty to the interests of  international finance capital and corporate entities,” the statement reads.

Instead, members of Jan Sarokar suggest that the government mobilise resources in different, more equitable ways. 

Firstly, the statement notes that there is significant unutilised capacity and foodgrain stocks in the country such that larger government expenditure, even if financed through a fiscal deficit rather than by raising additional taxes, would be able to use up these stocks without generating inflation.

The statement notes, however, that this “would unnecessarily put wealth into private hands in the form of claims on the  government.” To avoid this, the statement suggests financial resource mobilisation through the floating of two taxes; a wealth tax and an inheritance tax on the richest 1% of the population.

The statement says that the richest 1% owns about 40% of private wealth, about Rs 300 lakh crore. Therefore, even a 2% wealth tax would give the government Rs 6 lakh crore to spend on the economy. Moreover, if the wealthy decide to, conservatively, pass down 5% of their wealth to their children, an inheritance tax of 33.3% would yield another Rs 5 lakh crore.

Thus, the statement details an alternative model for the government to fund potential social security spending.

Also read: What We Could Hope For – But Should Not Expect – in Budget 2022-23

Expectations from Budget 2022-23

In this context, the statement lays down certain expectations from the upcoming Union budget, demanding a shift of the government’s focus” towards the interest of the larger majority instead of the minuscule minority such that the Union Budget can fulfil the aspirations of every citizen of India.”

NREGA: The National Rural Employment Guarantee Act, 2005, requires, by law, that households covered under the scheme are provided with 100 days of employment in a year. Citing a report by People’s Action for Employment Guarantee, the statement notes that Rs 2.64 lakh crores will be required to provide employment to the same number of households that worked in FY’ 2021-22. 

Moreover, the statement cites a study by the NREGA Sangarsh Morcha that Rs 3.36 lakh crores would be required to provide the same for all households with active job cards.

The Jan Sarokar members also noted a trend in the past that, by the third quarter of any given year, funds allocated for NREGA begin to dry up. “As a result, work slows down and delays in wage payments escalate… We demand timely disbursal of wages and an increase in funds,” the statement reads. 

The statement also demands that wages under NREGA be revised in line with the Consumer Price Index – Rural (CPI-R) so that the wage offered is at least equal to the minimum wage offered in states.

Food security: In this regard, the statement demands that the Public Distribution System (PDS) be universalised “to give subsidised rations to everyone who demands it.” 

It seeks for the National Food Security Act (NFSA) to be expanded on the basis of population projections for 2022 to include the most vulnerable people in society, “especially migrant workers, the homeless, sex workers, trans people and all vulnerable communities, even without  ration cards.”

The statement also demands that the PDS be expanded to include millets, pulses, oil and other nutritious commodities and to procure these at MSP from local farmers wherever possible in order to incentivise diversified production.

Further, the statement seeks the revival of hot cooked meals provided under the Integrated Child Development Services (ICDS) and the midday meals scheme under local gram sabhas and panchayats rather than private contractors and the inclusion of nutritionally dense meals in these schemes.

Finally, regarding food security, the statement demands that maternity entitlements should be universalised and made unconditional and that the benefit should be increased to Rs 6,000 per child.

Pensions: The statement demands that coverage under the pension scheme be expanded to all households which do not meet even one of the seven criteria for economic well-being put forth by the Socio-Economic and Caste Census (SECC). If the SECC is applied to all potential beneficiaries and not just widows, the number of people covered under the scheme would be increased from the current 33 million to 109 million.

Moreover, the statement demands that the amount to be paid should be indexed to inflation and should undergo regular revisions.

Finally, the statement calls for a substantial increase in allocation for pensions, saying, “Provisions for the elderly, disabled and widows cannot be a matter of fiscal availability but are a matter of the right to a life of dignity.” As such, it calls for the present “meagre” allocation to be increased from 0.45% of GDP to at least 1.45% of GDP.

Also read: A Pandemic and a Union Budget: A Study in Three Acts

Agriculture and allied sectors: The statement calls for the provision of loan waivers to small farmers with land holdings smaller than five acres. It also demands that support under cash transfer schemes be made available to tenant and woman farmers as well as rural workers in the sector and to offer these groups support under the MGNERGA by making “on-farm sustainable farming-related tasks and functions eligible for MNREGA investments.”

Moreover, the statement calls for the government to protect farmers from profiteering by corporates by controlling input prices and involving the public sector in making these inputs available to farmers to make farming remunerative and sustainable.

It also implores the government to support “the practice of integrated nutrient management, agroecological crop protection, including integrated pest management, providing seeds for ecologically diversified agriculture and so on.”

The statement also demands budgetary allocation of funds for the implementation of the MSP regime and to make public procurement of produce widely available by providing support for decentralised storage and marketing.

It also calls for expanded public investment in the sector to support small cooperatives and non-farm business; watershed development, flood control and climate adaptation; and to expand research through state agriculture universities (SAU), the Indian Council for Agriculture Research (ICAR), the National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development (NABARD) and so on.

Banking and finance: In this regard, the statement’s first demand is for the withdrawal of the proposal to amend banking laws to privatise public banks.

It also calls for priority-sector lending to be stepped up to 50% of total loans with a sub-target of 10% for loans below two lakhs.

Additionally, the statement demands that the 11 lakh ‘bank correspondents’ be converted into bank employees; customer service points be converted into bank branches (both of which would also help with the problem of job creation); bank charges for low and middle income customers be removed; and the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) be wound up with stringent rules for recovery.

Importantly, the statement calls for LIC’s IPO to be stopped since “LIC is owned by policyholders who get 95% of their profit as bonus and who have contributed Rs 95 crores to capital and Rs 1.86 lakh crore to the solvency margin.

Also read: As the Clock Ticks Towards LIC IPO, What Policyholders Should Consider

Dalits and Adivasis: In her budget speech last year, the finance minister had talked about an increase of Rs 35,219 crore towards Post Matric Scholarship (PMS) for 4 crore Scheduled Caste (SC) students. However, last year’s budget allocation for SC students was only Rs 3,415.62 crore and for STs, it was 1,993 crore. Calling this sum “inadequate”, the statement calls for the allocation of at least Rs 7,000 crore for this section of students.

Moreover, the statement demands that a specific allocation is made for Dalit women as well as a special component plan for them.

Additionally, the statement seeks allocations towards access to justice for the country’s marginalised population, which includes Dalit men, women, persons with disabilities and sexual minorities. To this end, it seeks for the establishment of special courts for quick trials and increased compensation for victims of caste and ethnicity-based atrocities.

Persons with disabilities: The statement calls for the introduction of ‘disability budgeting’ with 5% allocations to be made across all ministries and an increase in allocations to the Department of Empowerment of Persons with Disabilities under the Ministry of Social Justice and Empowerment.

It also calls for a uniform disability pension of at least Rs 3,500, linked to price indices and the provision of Antyodaya Anna Yojana (AAY) cards to persons with disabilities. 

Moreover, the statement calls for free, universal health coverage to all persons with disabilities including life and other insurance coverage, coverage of assistive devices and rehabilitation needs and greater allocations for mental health programmes. It also seeks the removal of the income criteria under the Pradhan Mantri Jan Arogya Yojana, tabling the proposal to cluster various national institutes engaged in providing rehabilitative services and rejecting Public-Private Partnerships (PPS) in this regard.

Small-and-medium-scale industries and crafts: The statement calls for a substantial increase in allocations for the creation of small-scale industries based on local ecological conditions with a focus on building upon local knowledge. These industries would be run by worker cooperatives. 

It also calls for increases in reservations in the textile, footwear and household items sectors which can be produced by such enterprises.

Moreover, the statement calls for a “substantial increase in allocations for sustaining and reviving crafts, the removal of GST and other taxes on handmade goods and assistance in marketing such produce.

Gender: The statement demands increased allocations for the National Social Assistance Programme (NSAP) of which women and transgender people comprise 59.2% of beneficiaries, in light of the increased vulnerabilities highlighted amongst this section of the population due to the pandemic.

It also calls for a debt moratorium for all women in debt and the regulation of Microfinance Institutions (MFI), capping their interest rates.

Moreover, it calls for increased allocation for schemes in Part A of the Gender Budget (schemes meant exclusively for women), in particular, for those schemes regarding the safety and protection of women, given increased violence against women being seen of late.

The statement also calls for the inclusion of the Transpersons Budget in the Gender Budget.

Also read: A Gender-Discriminatory Crisis Requires a Gender-Responsive Union Budget

Environment: The statement demands a budgetary allocation of at least 4% to safeguarding the environment which could be used to curb pollution of various kinds, help communities conserve ecosystems and biodiversity, incentivise decentralised clean energy sources and replace wasteful, toxic products with ecologically sensitive ones.

It also calls for the establishment of the post of an Environment Commissioner to ensure compliance with environmental norms, policies and laws.

It also calls for increased allocation for “population-proportionate funds and a basket of schemes for direct disaster risk reduction (DRR) and climate change adaptation (CCA) programmes to support rural and urban communities to take steps for climate mitigation and adaptation, including building or sustaining climate resilient livelihoods, settlements and living conditions; localised infrastructure rather than mega-linear projects; and public transport.”

North Korea Tests Biggest Missile Since 2017, US Calls for Talks

North Korea confirmed on Monday it had launched a Hwasong-12 ballistic missile, the same weapon it had once threatened to target the US territory of Guam.

Seoul: North Korea confirmed on Monday it had launched a Hwasong-12 ballistic missile, the same weapon it had once threatened to target the US territory of Guam with, sparking fears the nuclear-armed state could resume long-range testing.

The launch of the intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) was first reported by South Korean and Japanese authorities on Sunday. It was the seventh test conducted by North Korea this month and the first time a nuclear-capable missile of that size has been launched since 2017.

The United States is concerned North Korea’s escalating missile tests could be precursors to resumed tests of nuclear weapons and intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) and vowed an unspecified response “designed to show our commitment to our allies,” a senior US official told reporters in Washington.

“It’s not just what they did yesterday, it’s the fact that this is coming on the heels of quite a significant number of tests in this month,” the official said while urging Pyongyang to join direct talks with no preconditions.

North Korea has said it is open to diplomacy, but that Washington’s overtures are undermined by its support for sanctions and joint military drills and arms buildups in South Korea and the region.

Amid a flurry of diplomacy in 2018, including summits with then-U.S. President Donald Trump, North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un declared his nuclear force complete and said he would suspend nuclear testing and launches of the country’s longest-range missiles.

Kim said he was no longer bound by that moratorium after talks stalled in 2019, and North Korea suggested this month it could restart those testing activities because the United States had shown no sign of dropping its “hostile policies.”

It is unclear if IRBMs such as the Hwasong-12 were included in Kim’s moratorium, but none had been tested since 2017.

North Korea analysts said the tests appear aimed at securing global acceptance of its weapons programmes, whether through concessions or simply winning tired acquiescence from a distracted world.

“The world’s distraction on other issues actually seems to be working to North Korea’s benefit right now,” Markus Garlauskas, a senior fellow with the Atlantic Council think tank and former U.S. national intelligence officer for North Korea.

South Korean President Moon Jae-in said the recent flurry of North Korean missile tests was reminiscent of heightened tensions in 2017, when North Korea conducted multiple nuclear tests, launched its largest missiles, and drew threats of “fire and fury” from the United States.

South Korean defence minister Suh Wook visited his country’s Army Missile Command on Monday to check its readiness in the face of the North Korean launches, the ministry said in a statement.

“North Korea’s series of missile test-fires, including intermediate-range ballistic missiles, pose a direct and serious threat to us and a grave challenge to international peace and stability,” Suh said after being briefed. “We will maintain a full military readiness posture that can respond immediately to any situation.”

Japan’s Defence Minister Nobuo Kishi told reporters North Korea was escalating its provocation of the international community and said its “remarkable improvement” in missile technology “cannot be tolerated”.

Boosting missile capabilities

Sunday’s test “confirmed the accuracy, safety, and operational effectiveness of the produced Hwasong-12 type weapon system,” North Korean state news agency KCNA reported.

State media coverage of the launch made no mention of the United States, and Kim was not reported to have attended. North Korean officials said this month the tests are for self-defence and not targeted at any specific country.

Kim vowed ahead of the New Year to bolster North Korea’s military capabilities in the face of international uncertainties caused by “hostile policies” by the United States and its allies.

North Korea has previously said the Hwasong-12 can carry a “large-size heavy nuclear warhead,” and analysts estimate it has a range of 4,500 km (2,800 miles).

In August 2017, just hours after Trump told the North that any threat to the United States would be met with “fire and fury”, the commander of the North’s Strategic Forces said it was “seriously considering a plan of enveloping fire” involving a simultaneous launch of four Hwasong-12 missiles toward Guam.

That year North Korea flight-tested the Hwasong-12 at least six times, including flying it over the northern Japanese island of Hokkaido twice.

KCNA said Sunday’s missile launch was conducted in such a way as to ensure the safety of neighbouring countries, and that the test warhead was fitted with a camera that took photos while it was in space.

(Reuters)